WISE EXPLOITATION OF NEWLY GROWING LAND RESOURCES——An Assessment on Land—use Change of Chongming Island Using GIS

Chongming Island, the third largest island in China and the largest alluvial island in the world, is situated in the north of Shanghai Municipality at the mouth of the Changjiang (Yangtze) River. Along the fertile and prosperous sea coast there are a total area of over 120×10³ha, with a population of 735 000, accruing some 500ha of new tidal land resources come from silt, sand and mud carried by the Changjiang River every year, extending about 140m per year. This dynamic process of alluvial growth has run for some 1500 years. Mudflat on Chongming Island at the mouth of the Changjiang River is a resting ground for migratory birds and host more than a hundred species, including rare cranes and geese. But the local people keep reclaiming the tidal land for economic development. Obviously, it is crucial to have a well-concerted plan for future exploitation. In this study, we attempted to investigate the status changes of land use and wild life habitats on Chongming Island in recent 10 years, and then analyzed different human activities and their effects on wild life habitats using satellite image data (1990, 1997 and 2000) as well as field survey. Based on the analysis, this study explored the relationships between island growth and land use/cover change (LUCC), predicted what the habitat would be like in the future and tried to find more effective use of this new growing resource. At last, this study provided some preliminary management plans for Chongming Island that will coordinate the development of local economies and the conservation of wild life and their habitats. Foundation item: Supported by WWF (World Wildlife Fund) China Program (CN0079.08). Biography: ZHAO Bin (1969 - ), male, a native of Hubei Province, Ph. D., specialized in landscape ecology and biodiversity information system management.     

<Emphasis Type="Italic">Steak up to the horns</Emphasis>!

Recent conversations concerning organic food systems have focused on the conventionalization hypothesis, which posits that the organic food sector has become increasingly bifurcated between “historical” players in the organic movement on one side, and on the other by distributors and industrial operators recently arrived in the sector, who practice a more conventionalized form of organic agriculture which is now on the ascendancy. The most prominent explanations for the growth and dominance of a conventionalized organic food system have been economic, based in the logics of input costs, especially land rent. We use the cases of the Belgian Blue commodity system and the Belgian organic beef commodity system to argue that conventionalization is also cognitive. To understand the role of cognition in the ascendance of the conventional organic food sector, we utilize concept of “référentiel”—or system of cognitive references—as developed by Muller and Jobert. We believe that comparing organic and conventional practices as two systems of cognitive references makes a deeper understanding of conventionalization possible in two ways: first because it makes it clear that the two systems coexist on a cognitive level, understood in a broad sense as tightly knit sets of knowledges, beliefs, standards, and images. Secondly, the concept of référentiel enables one to understand how the conventional system can become irreversible (lock-in effect) and thus incompatible with the development of the organic system.

郯庐断裂在胶东金矿聚集区的成矿效应

郯庐断裂带是中生代华北与扬子板块的碰撞造山带的陆内转换断层,大规模左行韧性剪切位移牵引胶北太古宙穹隆(栖霞复背斜)逆时针旋扭隆升,并且形成三山岛一仓上、焦家一黄县和招远一平度(破头青)等弧形右行剪切带和混合花岗岩.早白垩世末期郯庐断裂从韧性向脆性构造域的快速转换,引发招掖变质地体的金矿成矿大爆发,形成胶东独特的金矿床汇聚链.     

顾及土地生态安全的环鄱阳湖城市群土地利用情景模拟

在国家大力推进新型城镇化和落实城市群空间规划的背景下,评价城市群土地生态安全水平,并以此为限制条件预测城市群未来土地利用格局,对城市群可持续发展具有重要意义。本文以环鄱阳湖城市群为研究对象,对城市群土地生态安全格局和变化进行分析,根据土地生态安全评价结果设置自然发展情景和生态保护情景,结合多分类Logistic回归和多标准评价方法(MCE),构建CA-Markov模型,预测2种情景下2030年土地利用格局并进行对比分析。研究结果表明:①2005、2010和2015年,环鄱阳湖城市群网格平均生态安全值分别为0.574、0.573和0.571,空间布局上呈现"中部低、东西高"的特征;②预测2030年,自然发展情景下新增城镇用地主要位于九江市、上饶市和南昌市,生态保护情景下限制城镇用地和其他建设用地向土地生态安全高值区扩展,使得城镇用地和其他建设用地扩展更加集中;③预测生态保护情景下,高生态安全区面积比自然发展情景下多39.39%且分布更加均匀,包括鄱阳湖周边区域、九江市中部以及新余市和吉安市,城市群生态安全得到有效保护。该研究可为环鄱阳湖城市群土地利用规划及生态保护提供参考。     

结合像元级与对象级的滨海湿地变化检测方法

滨海湿地是动态且脆弱的生态系统,遥感变化检测技术为滨海湿地动态变化监测提供了有效手段。为解决像元级变化检测对配准误差敏感及其椒盐现象严重,对象级变化检测受分割参数影响较大且过程繁琐等问题,本文提出了显著图引导的结合像元级与对象级变化检测方法。首先,提取湿地亮度、归一化差异植被指数、归一化差异水体指数三个特征,得到特征差异影像;其次,利用最大对称环绕显著性检测算法生成显著图,采用结合模糊C均值和马尔可夫随机场方法对显著区域进行分割得到初始像元级变化检测结果;最后,在面向对象分割的基础上,通过构建对象的不确定性指数自适应选择训练样本,采用随机森林分类器进行分类得到最终变化检测结果。利用江苏盐城滨海湿地资源三号影像进行实验,结果表明,结合像元级与对象级方法的湿地变化检测总体精度为93.51%,与像元级、对象级方法相比,虚检率分别降低了29.04%和22.78%。     

灾害链领域本体构建方法——以暴雨洪涝灾害链为例

自然灾害发生具有突发性、随机性和链式效应,而且自然灾害拥有庞大的概念体系和灾害事件之间异常复杂的时空关系,由于缺乏对灾害知识的统一描述表达机制,导致灾害领域知识难以实现共享和重用,因此,构建灾害链的统一描述模型并实现灾害知识的共享与重用是当前亟须解决的一个问题。本文提出了一种灾害链领域本体的构建方法,在对比现有方法基础之上,定义了灾害链相关概念、属性,以及概念之间的关系,采用网络本体语言OWL对灾害链领域本体进行建模,并实现了灾害链领域本体的可视化,为灾害知识的共享与重用提供了有效支撑。最后,以暴雨-洪涝灾害链为例验证了该方法的有效性和可靠性。     

基于隐马尔可夫模型的中小河流致灾雨量阈值研究

基于数字高程模型(digital elevation model,DEM)高程数据和D8算法实现了湖南中小河流流域子流域划分。利用洪水预报网络传播模型,构建中小河流各子流域径流拓扑结构并提出了空间子流域等效面雨量的概念。基于等效面雨量序列和径流观测序列,构建了基于时空概念的隐马尔可夫降水-径流模型,并利用该模型计算了中小河流各子流域不同时间尺度条件下暴雨致灾临界面雨量阈值,最后利用2010—2015年实况资料对阈值进行检验,结果证明相比传统统计法,新方法的计算结果与传统方法结果一致且具有很好的准确性和稳定性。基于2015年6月的一次暴雨灾害预报,证明了该方法适应于业务化运行。     

经济型连锁酒店的空间布局研究——以北京市如家快捷酒店为例

以北京市如家快捷酒店为例,基于空间数据探索分析技术,采用全局空间相关性分析其空间聚集程度,并通过局域相关性分析开展热点探测,研究其历年来在北京各区县的空间拓展状况。研究发现:如家快捷酒店的空间拓展可分为前期空间扩散(2002—2006年)、中期集中布点(2007—2010年)和后期的延伸拓展(2011年以后)3个阶段。据此,提出经济型连锁酒店发展的3个阶段:首先,占领商贸、行政中心等重要节点;其次,加大城区的布点密度;最后,再向周边区县延伸扩展。     

灰线性马尔科夫模型在建筑物变形监测中的应用

针对传统灰色GM(1,1)预测模型在建筑物变形监测预报中的拟合精度较差、预测精度较低和预测时间较短的问题,文中以传统GM(1,1)、线性回归和马尔科夫模型为理论基础,构建了灰线性马尔科夫预测模型,并结合某建筑物变形监测的观测数据,运用新陈代谢的计算模式进行预测。结果表明,灰线性马尔科夫预测模型的拟合精度和预测精度优于单一的灰色GM(1,1)预测模型和线性回归预测模型,灰线性马尔科夫预测模型具有预测精度高、预测时间长和稳定性高的优势。     

Efficient detection of pathogen virus in sand dabs, Paralichthys olivaceus using loop-mediated isothermal amplification (LAMP)

Viral hemorrhagic septicemia virus (VHSV) and marine birnavirus (MABV) are the causative pathogens for some of the most explosive epidemics of emerging viral diseases in many Asian countries, leading to huge economic losses in aquaculture. Rapid molecular detection for surveillance or diagnosis has been a critical component in reducing the prevalence of pathogen infection. The loop-mediated isothermal amplification (LAMP) of DNA is currently one of the most commonly used molecular diagnostic tools, as it is simple, quick, and easy to amplify target DNA under isothermal conditions. In the present study, a novel and highly specific LAMP assay for the sensitive and rapid detection of VHSV and MABV infection in fish was developed. Using a set of synthesized primers matching a specific region of the genome, the efficiency and specificity of the LAMP assay were optimized in terms of the reaction temperature and DNA polymerase concentration, as they are the main determinants of the sensitivity and specificity of the LAMP assay. In particular, we demonstrated that our assay could be applied to efficient detection of VHSV and MABV infection in the wild fish, Paralichthys olivaceus. Our results demonstrate the simplicity and convenience of this method for the detection of viral infection in aquatic organisms.