气井水力压裂有效缝长评估及影响因素研究

为了准确确定气井压后有效缝长及其影响因素,提高川西须家河气藏水力压裂针对性,对于具备生产历史拟合条件的气井,利用数值模拟软件进行了生产历史拟合获得有效水力裂缝缝长,与采用净压力拟合方法获得的水力裂缝支撑缝长进行对比和拟合,获得了有效缝长和支撑缝长的关系式,计算了川西须家河储层单井压后有效缝长;采用灰色关联分析理论分析了各个参数对有效缝长的影响程度和对压裂设计的启示。结果表明：压后有效缝长与支撑缝长具有较强相关性(Le=00584 Lp1359 3),有效缝长明显比支撑缝长短;施工参数(特别是用液量)是影响须家河储层有效缝长的关键,而储层和隔层间应力差则是影响有效缝长的重要客观因素。该研究方法为水力压裂压后评估和提高压裂设计水平提供了较好的借鉴。     

基于最优概率的中期延伸期过程累计降水量分级订正预报

采用ECMWF集合预报降水量资料和中国降水量观测资料,研发了基于最优概率的过程累计降水量分级订正预报(OPPF)技术,并在遵循总体技术思路的基础上设计出三种不同的OPPF计算方案(OPPF1、OPPF2、OPPF3),继而选用2015—2017年汛期(5—9月)中国91次区域性强降水过程进行回报试验和预报效果对比评估,结果表明:(1)在中期延伸期预报时效(96~360小时),对强降水和有无降水的预报效果,三种OPPF均明显优于集合平均(EMPF)和控制预报(CTPF);对中等以上或较强以上强度降水的预报效果,OPPF1和OPPF3明显优于CTPF、与EMPF基本接近。(2)三种OPPF相比,OPPF3的预报效果较OPPF1总体略胜一筹,两者均好于OPPF2。(3)预报效果存在明显的地域差异,南方地区强降水预报的TS评分明显大于北方地区,且OPPF3预报效果明显优于EMPF;在96~240小时预报时效,东北地区东部OPPF3强降水的预报效果也明显好于EMPF。      

陕北新庄地区延长组长2油层组储层特征

一般河道砂体的正粒序性决定了其下部物性条件优于上部,但新庄地区长2油层组河道砂体的物性特征截然相反,而是中上部物性条件好,下部物性条件普遍差.在储层岩石学特征、孔隙类型等研究的基础上,对此进行了探讨,认为造成其特殊性的原因主要是由于压实、胶结、次生加大等作用.指出河道边滩砂体中上部储层为该区的主力储层.     

缝洞型油藏超大规模酸压技术

塔河油田缝洞型油藏主要的储集体空间类型为溶蚀的裂缝及大型的溶洞,连通关系极其复杂,70％的钻井需要酸压才能投产.为进一步沟通远井地带的缝洞储集体,室内模拟及现场监测结果表明,超大规模酸压技术能够提高造缝长度,沟通井眼远处的储集体.通过多口井的研究及现场试验,在油气富集带上具有明显的地震反射异常,生产过程中供液不足的井进...     

蛋白质营养对高密度养殖凡纳滨对虾生长与免疫力的影响

在高密度养殖条件下,进行单因素随机设计动物试验.用5种饲料(蛋白质水平31%、35%、39%、43%、47%,以A～E组表示)分别投喂平均体质量6.2 g+0.2 g、平均养殖密度3.1 kg/m3的凡纳滨对虾(Litopenaeus vannamei),探寻蛋白质营养对虾生长、免疫、水质、抗胁迫的影响特征.结果表明:(1)中高蛋白质水平具有显著促进对虾生长的效果,随着蛋白水平的提高,特定生长率先增加后降低,饲料系数正好相反,D组两指标最佳,分另q为110.98%和2.54;C、D、E组差异不显著.(2)中高蛋白质水平有利于提高对虾多数免疫指标的活力,血淋巴中血细胞浓度、T-AOC活力、POD活力、总蛋白含量、白蛋白、血蓝蛋白含量,随着蛋白质水平提高先增加后降低,前5指标含量均以D组最高,比A组显著提高16.8%～33.9%;而血蓝蛋白含量C组最高,比A组提高15.0%.(3)高蛋白质水平有利于提高对虾SOD活力,也显著增强抗低盐胁迫的能力,但同时极显著加大了水环境中氨氮和亚硝氮的污染.(4)在我国北方集约化高密度养殖条件下,凡纳滨对虾中后期生长阶段适宜的饲料蛋白质营养水平为39%～43%.     

厚层河道砂体储层非均质性研究——以葡萄花油层组PI1-PI4小层为例

储层非均质性对油气田的勘探和开发效果影响很大.结合测井资料二次解释的孔隙度(Φ)、泥质含量(Vsh)、粒度中值(Md)、束缚水饱和度(Swi)等资料,借助BP网络对渗透率进行预测.对萨尔图油田中部葡萄花油层组的非均质性进行了定量半定量的研究,认为萨尔图油田中部葡萄花油层组PI2小层层内非均质性最严重,与沉积微相密切相关.单砂层垂向上渗透率的变化以正韵律和复合式韵律为主,局部发育反韵律模式.葡萄花油层组PI1-PI4小层层内非均质性强弱依次为PI2a,PI3,PI2b,PI1,PI4;层间非均质性在PI3和PI4间表现得最强,其他相对要弱;各小层平面非均质性相差无几,整体表现为较强的非均质性.     

Analytical and experimental investigations on seismic performance of exterior beam–column subassemblages of existing RC‐framed building

Seismic performance of exterior beam–column subassemblages of reinforced concrete structure designed and detailed on the basis of the provisions of Eurocode and Indian Standards at different stages of their evolution is evaluated. Performance of the subassemblages designed and detailed according to the three different stages of codal evolution (gravity load design, ‘Nonductile’, and ‘Ductile’) is evaluated through analytical formulations and experimental investigations. In the ‘NonDuctile’ specimens, it has been observed that the shear distortion and degradation in stiffness and strength are significantly high. Performance of the ‘Ductile’ specimens based on Eurocode and Indian Standards is almost similar in terms of strength and stiffness degradation. Nevertheless, the specimen designed on the basis of Indian Standard shows higher energy dissipation at a given drift ratio. In the analytical study, shear and flexural failure of members of subassemblage and shear failure of the joint are considered as possible modes of failure of the beam–column subassemblage. For evaluating the shear strength of the joint region, a soften strut‐and‐tie model is used. Analytically obtained strengths based on the failure criteria of different components of the specimens have been first validated with experimental results and then used to determine the strength of the specimens. The investigation could indicate even the mode of failure at local level. It is utmost important to mention here that even the ductile specimens dissipate most of the energy through the development of damage in the joint region, which is neither desirable nor safe for the stability of whole structure. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

致密砂岩气藏可动流体赋存特征的微观地质因素: 以苏里格气田东部盒8段储层为例

以苏里格气田东部盒8段典型的致密砂岩气藏为例,运用核磁共振、恒速压汞、铸体薄片、物性、X-衍射等实验资料,探讨了影响可动流体赋存差异的微观地质 因素。结果表明,盒8段储层可动流体饱和度低,T₂谱分布均为左高峰右低峰的双峰态;黏土矿物的充填与孔隙类型是孔隙结构复杂的重要因素,孔隙结构是影响可动流体赋存特征的关键;面孔率、喉道 半径、孔喉半径比是影响可动流体饱和度的主要因素,有效孔隙体积、分选系数对可动流体饱和度影响明显,储层物性、黏土矿物、有效喉道体积、孔隙半径对可动流体饱和度影响较弱。     

Expected loss‐based alarm threshold set for earthquake early warning systems

Earthquake early warning systems (EEWS) seem to have potential as tools for real‐time seismic risk management and mitigation. In fact, although the evacuation of buildings requires warning time not available in many urbanized areas threatened by seismic hazard, they may still be used for the real‐time protection of critical facilities using automatic systems in order to reduce the losses subsequent to a catastrophic event. This is possible due to the real‐time seismology, which consists of methods and procedures for the rapid estimation of earthquake features, as magnitude and location, based on measurements made on the first seconds of the P‐waves. An earthquake engineering application of earthquake early warning (EEW) may be intended as a system able to issue the alarm, if some recorded parameter exceeds a given threshold, to activate risk mitigation actions before the quake strikes at a site of interest. Feasibility analysis and design of such EEWS require the assessment of the expected loss reduction due to the security action and set of the alarm threshold. In this paper a procedure to carry out these tasks in the performance‐based earthquake engineering probabilistic framework is proposed. A merely illustrative example refers to a simple structure assumed to be a classroom. Structural damage and non‐structural collapses are considered; the security action is to shelter occupants below the desks. The cost due to a false alarm is assumed to be related to the interruption of didactic activities. Results show how the comparison of the expected losses, for the alarm‐issuance and non‐issuance cases, allows setting the alarm threshold on a quantitative and consistent basis, and how it may be a tool for the design of engineering applications of EEW. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Stochastic Structural Modeling

A consistent stochastic model for faults and horizons is described. The faults are represented as a parametric invertible deformation operator. The faults may truncate each other. The horizons are modeled as correlated Gaussian fields and are represented in a grid. Petrophysical variables may be modeled in a reservoir before faulting in order to describe the juxtaposition effect of the faulting. It is possible to condition the realization on petrophysics, horizons, and fault plane observations in wells in addition to seismic data. The transmissibility in the fault plane may also be included in the model. Four different methods to integrate the fault and horizon models in a common model is described. The method is illustrated on an example from a real petroleum field with 18 interpreted faults that are handled stochastically.