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91.
92.
Catalogues of actual observed intensities are constructed for three towns in the Ionian Islands. They are used for seismic hazard assessment and the results are compared with those obtained by standard approaches; that is, by statistics applied to the data computed from epicentral parameters. The results show that seismic hazard is better assessed using observed rather than computed data, but preparation of the local catalogue presents non-trivial difficulties. 相似文献
93.
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95.
Introduction With rapid development and advancement of economy and society, lots of city groups or city belts with ex-tra-large cities as their centers have been formed in China. The regions these city groups lie in usually have well-developed economy, dense population, and are regional politics and culture centers. Some groups lie in the regions with high level of earthquake activity, such as the Surrounding Capital City Group with the centers of Bei-jing and Tianjin. Once a large earthqua… 相似文献
96.
This paper designs three quasi-geostrophic barotropic models with a radial/horizontal grid length being 2 kin,one in the polar coordinates,one on a stationary typhoon circulation condition and another on a non-stationary typhoon circulation condition in the Cartesian coordinates,to investigate the effects of azimuthal and radial linear advections,and nonlinear advection on the inward propagation of mesoscale vorticity and the changes of typhoon intensity.Results show that the azimuthal linear advection may result in the formation of spiral vorticity bands;the radial linear advection in a certain parameter set is able to transfer vorticity inwards,leading to a slight enhancement of typhoon;the nonlinear advection of perturbation vorticity on a stationary typhoon circulation condition may transfer more vorticities inwards,thus resulting in a distinct enhancement of typhoon;and the nonlinear advection on a non-stationary typhoon circulation condition possesses duality,i.e.on the one hand,the advection increases the vorticity of inward propagation,thus favorable to the intensification of typhoon,and on the other hand,in the inward propagation process of vorticity the originally concentric and axisymmetric structure of typhoon basic flow is damaged,and a complex flow pattern forms,which in turn tends to weaken the circulation of typhoon.At last the paper discusses the possible applications of those results in typhoon intensity prediction. 相似文献
97.
R.M.W. Musson 《Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering》2004,2(1):101-112
Three sites in the UK are taken, representative of low, medium and high hazard levels (by UK standards). For each site, the
hazard value at 10−4 annual probability is computed using a generic seismic source model, and a variety of ground motion parameters: peak ground
acceleration (PGA), spectral acceleration at 10 Hz and 1 Hz, and intensity. Disaggregation is used to determine the nature
of the earthquakes most likely to generate these hazard values. It is found (as might be expected) that the populations are
quite different according to which ground motion parameter is used. When PGA is used, the result is a rather flat magnitude
distribution with a tendency to low magnitude events (\le 4.5 ML) which are probably not really hazardous. Hazard-consistent scenario earthquakes computed using intensity are found
to be in the range 5.8–5.9 ML, which is more in accord with the type of earthquake that one expects to be a worst-case event
in the UK.
This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date. 相似文献
98.
Crack widths and rock temperatures were monitored on an andestic bedrock cliff in the summit area of the Daisetsu Mountains, Hokkaido, northern Japan. Sequential data recorded the gradual widening of a crack to the point of critical crack extension, which resulted in catastrophic rock breakage. The data indicate that a combination of liquid water in?ltration into crack tip and subsequent freezing is the most signi?cant factor contributing to critical crack extension. The recorded sub‐critical crack movements involved a number of minor crack extensions and contractions, the timing of which correlates well with the magnitude of the reconstructed thermal stresses at the crack tip derived from thermal deformation of the plate‐shaped rock fragment. Larger crack extensions occurred when stress at the crack tip exceeded a threshold value, possibly re?ecting the control of rock fracture mechanics by which cracks are thought to propagate when the stress intensity factor at the crack tip exceeds the threshold values for stress corrosion cracking and the fracture toughness of the material. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
99.
山西省主要河流流域面雨量预报业务流程 总被引:3,自引:1,他引:3
以T213、HLAFS模式、MM5中尺度模式输出的格点资料以及日本降水量格点资料为基础,将影响山西降水的天气动力模型归纳为诊断模型,从中引出多个能够全面反映降水模型特征的综合物理因子;根据各种数值模式输出的降水量预报性能和质量优劣特点,依据数值模式的形势场预报优于要素场预报的现实,构造在不同环流形势背景下,启动不同预报方程的面雨量预报业务流程,有效地遏止了在环流形势调整时预报输出不能快速响应的弱点,提高了点和面雨量预报的准确度。 相似文献
100.