印太暖池区域海温异常与北极海冰变化的联系

采用统计方法,分析了全球海洋表层海温和印太暖池区域海表温度的长期变化特征,探讨了热带印度洋-西太平洋(印太暖池)海表温度异常(SSTA)与北极海冰快速消融之间的可能联系。结果表明,从整体来看,百年来全球SSTA呈现缓慢升高,但期间也存在年际变化的波动,近10年来全球SSTA升高有减缓的趋势,印太暖池区域的SSTA长期变化与全球基本一致。而北极海冰覆盖率自20世纪80年代初由正距平转换为负距平,且以-1.5%/10 a的速度快速减少,每年7—10月的海冰覆盖率减少速度最快,分别为-2.6%/10 a、-2.8%/10 a、-3.0%/10 a和-2.5%/10 a。由相关分析可知,北极海冰覆盖率的快速减少与印太暖池区域SSTA变化存在密切联系,它们之间存在准两年的显著相关。这种联系的重要途径是通过北极涛动(AO)作为桥梁来完成的。采用回归分析,首次建立了夏秋季北极海冰变化与印太暖池区域SSTA之间的预报方程,并对未来两年北极海冰的变化进行了预测试验,2015年和2016年6—10月北极海冰覆盖率异常变化均为-6.16%,仍为快速减少的两年。这一工作对北极海冰变化的深入研究和预测具有一定的推动作用,对全球气候变化的评估提供了理论依据。     

池养黄河鲤鱼含肉率及其肌肉营养成份的分析

本文就池养黄河鲤鱼的含肉率及其肉肉营养成份进行了测定分析。结果表明：池养黄河鲤鱼的含肉率为７１、９８５％；其肌肉营养成份蛋白质含量为１７．５８％、脂肪含量为３．９７％、灰分含量为１．１２％、水分含量为７７．３３％；肌肉中含有丰富的体全部必需８种氨基酸和４种鲜味氨基酸；肌肉中还含有丰富的人体必需微量元素铜，锌、铁等及大量元素、磷。     

西太平洋暖池形成与维持的动力学机制

建立了一个简单海气耦合模式,其中大气垂直分为两层,为-β平面近似线性模式。在非绝热加热项中包含了对流凝结潜热与大尺度流场之间相互作用的CISK机制以及蒸发、感热与扰动风场之间的反馈机制,并考虑了平均东风区和西风区的不同。由于只研究大气的平均纬向运动,故模式大气中仅含有Kelvin波。海洋模式为一约化重力模式,在一定条件下采用准地转近似,模式海洋中仅保留了Rossby波。对这一海气耦合模式进行特征波动分析,发现海气耦合并不显著改变大气波动的性质。在中东太平洋的平均东风区,大气的Kelvin波仍然增幅和东传。在平均西风区,大气Kelvin波振幅衰减。但耦合作用却使海洋Rossby波的性质发生变化,且波长超过某一临界波长Le的Rossby波的振幅增长。在平均东风区,结论相论。这一理论说明西太平洋暖池的形成与海洋Rossby波有关。在东太平洋,由于是平均东风区,短的Ross-by波振幅增长,不能形成水平尺度很大的“暖池”。而在平均西风的西太平洋区,有可能形成水平尺度很大的“暖池”。     

南海夏季风爆发与西太平洋暖池区热含量及对流异常

利用1955～1998年逐月的上层海洋热含量资料和NCEP/NCAR再分析资料,研究了南海夏季风爆发与热带西太平洋暖池区热含量异常的关系,并对影响过程进行了探讨.结果表明:(1)热带西太平洋暖池区是热带上层海洋热含量变化最大的区域,暖池区的热含量的变化与ENSO关系密切,是ENSO循环的重要组成部分,也是影响南海夏季风爆发最明显的地区.(2)南海夏季风爆发与前期(特别是前期冬、春季)暖池热状态的变化有密切关系,当前期暖池热含量高时,南海夏季风爆发早,反之爆发晚,这与由暖池变化所产生的上空大气的对流活动密切相关;4月暖池区热含量高(低)是预报南海夏季风爆发早(晚)的一个很好指标.(3)西太平洋暖池区热含量正异常时,辐散中心位于南海—西太平洋,对流强,西太副高弱且位置偏东,季风环流(印度洋纬向环流和经向环流)和Walker环流为正距平环流;正距平的季风环流有利于低空西到西南气流的加强,南海夏季风爆发早,反之爆发晚.由暖池变化所引起的大尺度季风环流和Walker环流的异常变化可能是影响南海夏季风爆发的一个重要动力机制.     

西太平洋暖池区低层大气气象学特征的观测分析

根据TOGA—COARE强化观测资料分析西太平洋暖地区低层大气的气象学特征。讨论北半球冬季(11月-2月)该区域海面风和温度的特征,ITCZ及其有中尺度动力学特征的赤道大气涡(Eddy)的演变特征,对流混合边界层大气和低层正压大气层特征,以及云形态及降水特征等。指出,对于赤道大气,把正压大气层顶取为700hPa是合适的。     

黄海冷水团的环流结构

运用定性分析和数值模拟，对黄海冷水团的环流结构进行了探讨，结果表明黄海冷水团的垂向环流结构为双环结构：跃层以上区为中心上升，边缘下降的弱环流;跃层以下区为中心下降，边缘上升的强环流；在冷水团的中心区域，流动很弱，且无穿越温跃层的垂向流动。同时也对以往有关黄海冷水团垂向环流结构的工作进行了讨论。     

南海北部带鱼生长死亡与参数动态综合模式

根据我国近海带鱼分种研究结果,利用南海北部底拖网调查收集的带鱼属3鱼种的生物学资料,运用长度频率法估算了3鱼种的生长和死亡参数.带鱼、南海带鱼和短带鱼von Bertalanffy生长方程的渐近肛长分别为70.0,54.5和48.0 cm;生长系数分别为0.27,0.27和0.17;理论生长起点年龄分别为-0.60,-0.68和-1.10龄.用长度变换渔获曲线法估算的3鱼种总死亡系数分别为3.02,0.80和2.43;用经验公式估算的自然死亡系数分别为0.39,0.58和0.44;捕捞死亡系数分别为2.63,0.22和1.99.动态综合模式的分析结果表明,3鱼种都能承受较大的捕捞压力,资源利用的不合理之处是大量捕捞1龄以内的幼鱼;在最适利用状态下,带鱼、南海带鱼和短带鱼的开捕年龄分别应为3.0,2.0和2.7龄,对应的肛长分别为44,28和23 cm.     

一门新兴的边缘科学——火山岩储层地质学

石油工业持续稳定的发展要求不断有效地寻找勘探新领域、新地区和新类型。随着国内外火山岩油气藏的发现，火山岩储层作为一种特殊的油气储层类型越来越受人们的重视。20世纪90年代末期，石油地质学中出现了一门生命力很强的边缘学科——火山岩储层地质学，其任务是深入研究火山岩油气储层的宏观展布、内部结构、储层参数分布、孔隙结构等特征以及在火山岩油气田开发过程中储层参数的动态变化特征，为油气田勘探和开发服务。其研究内容包括储层地质特征、储层物理性质及储层非均质性、储层孔隙类型与空隙结构、孔隙演化模式及其控制因素、储层地质模型、储层敏感性、储层预测与储层综合评价7个方面。     

Assessment of hydrodynamic simulation results for eco‐hydraulic and eco‐hydrological applications: a spatial semivariance approach

Output from a three‐dimensional numerical flow model (SSIIM) is used in conjunction with high‐resolution topographic and velocity data to assess such models for eco‐hydraulic applications in river channel design and habitat appraisal. A new methodology for the comparison between field measurement and model output is detailed. This involves a comparison between conventional goodness‐of‐fit approaches applied to a spatially structured (riffle and pool) sample of model and field data, and a ‘relaxation’ method based upon the spatial semivariance of model/field departures. Conventional assessment indicates that the model predicts point‐by‐point velocity characteristics on a 0·45 m mesh to within ±0·1 m s⁻¹ over 80% of the channel area at low flow, and 50% of the area at high in‐bank flow. When a relative criterion of model fit is used, however, the model appears to perform less well: 60–70% of channel area has predicted velocities that depart from observed velocities by more than 10%. Regression analysis of observed and predicted velocities gives more cause for optimism, but all of these conventional indicators of goodness of fit neglect important spatial characteristics of model performance. Spatial semivariance is a means of supplementing model appraisal in this respect. In particular, using the relaxation approach, results are greatly improved: at a high in‐bank flow, the model results match field measurements to within 0·1 m s⁻¹ for more than 95% of the total channel area, provided that model and field comparisons are allowed within a radius of approximately 1 m from the original point of measurement. It is suggested that this revised form of model assessment is of particular relevance to eco‐hydraulic applications, where some degree of spatial and temporal dynamism (or uncertainty) is a characteristic. The approach may also be generalized to other environmental science modelling applications where the spatial attributes of model fits are of interest. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Climatic and topographic limits to the abundance of bog pools

On patterned peatlands, open water pools develop within a matrix of terrestrial vegetation (‘ridges’). Regional patterns in the distribution of ridge–pool complexes suggest that the relative cover of these two surface types is controlled in part by climate wetness, but landscape topography must also be an important controlling factor. In this paper, a functional model that relates relative cover of ridges and pools to climate and surface gradient was developed and tested. The model was formulated in terms of a water budget, based on the differential effects of ridges and pools on losses by evapotranspiration and subsurface flow. It predicts a positive relationship between surface gradient and ridge proportion, with a linear effect related to water supply and ridge hydraulic conductivity, modified at high ridge proportion by differences in evapotranspiration between ridges and pools. The limit to patterned peatland distribution occurs where the surface is completely covered by ridges. The model may be sensitive or insensitive to climate differences between localities, depending on whether hydraulic characteristics of ridge peat co‐vary with water supply. To distinguish between these alternative hypotheses, surface gradient and ridge proportion were surveyed along 20 transects in each of three localities in Scotland that differ threefold in net precipitation to pools. The results of the field survey served to reject the climate‐sensitive hypothesis, but were consistent with the climate‐insensitive hypothesis. Analysis of the residuals suggested that variation within localities was related more to topographic control of water supply than to ridge hydraulic conductivity or developmental stage. Hence, within this maritime climate region, the distribution of ridge–pool complexes and the relative abundance of pools are controlled mainly by topographic variables. Field surveys across both maritime and continental regions are required to confirm a subtle climatic effect that allows pools to occur on higher gradients in drier climates than in wetter climates. Further development and testing of the functional model will provide a stronger basis for assessing potential feedback between climate change, peatland surface structure and methane emission from pools. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.