风尘石英在物源示踪和古气候研究中的应用

系统总结了近几十年来应用风尘石英的物理和化学特性(如粒度、形貌特征、电子自旋共振(ESR)信号强度、结晶度指数(CI)、含量和通量,以及δ~(18)O等)进行物源和古气候示踪等方面的研究进展,并分析了其中存在的问题。结果表明石英的这些指标具有稳定性,可以指示物源和古气候变化,对目前研究提出的问题和建议也对今后用风尘石英指示古气候变化的研究有重要的借鉴意义。     

台湾海峡西岸闽江口和九龙江口沉积物中碎屑锆石铀-铅定年及物源意义

碎屑锆石能较好保存源区岩石组成的信息,其铀-铅年龄是沉积物源区示踪有效的方法。利用激光剥蚀等离子体质谱和多接收器等离子体质谱联机(LA-MC-ICPMS)技术,对台湾海峡西部闽江口和九龙江口沉积物中的碎屑锆石进行原位铀-铅测年,同时获得锆石的微量元素。研究表明大部分碎屑锆石的钍与铀含量之比值大于0.1,稀土元素球粒陨石标准化配分曲线呈左倾型,并具有明显的铈含量正异常和铕含量负异常,结合阴极发光图像表明这些锆石绝大部分为岩浆成因。闽江口和九龙江口的碎屑锆石具有相同的印支期(峰值为236 Ma)、燕山早期(峰值为155 Ma)和燕山晚期(峰值为110 Ma)等3个峰值,这三期碎屑锆石占主要部分,反映闽江口和九龙江口碎屑沉积物主要来自各流域上游印支期和中下游燕山期岩体,而闽江口碎屑锆石具有明显的加里东期峰(峰值为465 Ma)和前寒武纪(553~2 765 Ma)较多的碎屑锆石,这些碎屑物质可能来自上游武夷山地区加里东期和前寒武纪基底的物质。对比闽江口碎屑锆石铀-铅年龄与台湾岛西部海滨沙滩(苗栗-新竹、嘉义-台南)中的独居石年龄具有相似的谱峰特征,表明台湾岛西部海滨沙滩碎屑物质可能有部分来自闽江。闽江口碎屑物质明显区别于福建的九龙江和浙江的瓯江,这为判别台湾海峡沉积物的物质来源提供可靠的依据。     

南黄海中部泥质沉积成因和物源研究综述

当前南黄海沉积学研究的核心问题是泥质沉积的形成过程和动力机制及其物质来源。许多学者对南黄海中部泥区的成因和物源进行了大量研究,但比较局限,缺少系统性。现有研究认为南黄海泥质沉积的形成受黄海冷水团和上升流的影响,但黄海冷水团并不是其形成的必要条件。对泥区物源的研究,主要考虑现代黄河物质、老黄河物质以及长江物质对其的影响,并且仅是定性的研究。对于朝鲜半岛物质对南黄海中部泥区的影响,国内的研究更是寥寥无几。海水对海底基岩的侵蚀沉积以及黄海暖流对海底沉积物的改造和再悬浮作用对南黄海中部泥区沉积的贡献仅是个别学者的观点。     

大井矿冶遗址冶炼产物的输出方向

大井矿冶遗址是我国北方发现最早的一处古铜矿遗址。本文利用ICP方法,测试了该遗址的铜矿、炼渣和辽西地区出土的部分青铜器。结果显示,遗址的冶炼金属产品Ag、As、Sb、Bi、Co、Zn等元素含量偏高,Mo含量偏低。同时发现,这批辽西地区出土的青铜器样品微量元素特征明显不同于铜绿山和皖南的铜锭,而与大井铜矿很相似,其铜料来源很可能来自大井古铜矿或其周边铜矿。这一结论,对探讨大井古铜矿冶炼产品的使用范围和辽西地区的冶金历史有重要意义。     

Analyse fréquentielle régionale des précipitations journalières maximales annuelles au Québec,Canada / Regional frequency analysis of annual maximum daily precipitation in Quebec,Canada

Abstract

Abstract A complete regional analysis of daily precipitations is carried out in the southern half of the province of Quebec, Canada. The first step of the regional estimation procedure consists of delineating the homogeneous regions within the area of study and testing for homogeneity within each region. The delineation of homogeneous regions is based on using L-moment ratios. A simulation-based testing of statistical homogeneity allows one to verify the inter-site variability. The second step of the procedure deals with the identification of the regional distribution and the estimation of its parameters. The General Extreme Value (GEV) distribution was identified as an appropriate parent distribution. This distribution has already been recommended by several previous research studies for regional frequency analysis of precipitation extremes. The parameters of the GEV distribution are estimated based on the computation of the regional L-CV, L-C_S and the mean of annual maximal daily precipitations. The third step consists of the estimation of precipitation quantiles corresponding to various return periods. The final procedure allows for the estimation of these quantiles at sites where no precipitation information is available. The use of a jack-knife resampling procedure with data from the province of Quebec allows one to demonstrate the robustness and efficiency of the regional estimation procedure. Values of the root mean square error were below 10% for a return period of 20 years, and 20% for a return period of 100 years.     

Assessing uncertainties in a conceptual water balance model using Bayesian methodology / Estimation bayésienne des incertitudes au sein d’une modélisation conceptuelle de bilan hydrologique

Abstract

Abstract The aim of this study was to estimate the uncertainties in the streamflow simulated by a rainfall–runoff model. Two sources of uncertainties in hydrological modelling were considered: the uncertainties in model parameters and those in model structure. The uncertainties were calculated by Bayesian statistics, and the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm was used to simulate the posterior parameter distribution. The parameter uncertainty calculated by the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm was compared to maximum likelihood estimates which assume that both the parameters and model residuals are normally distributed. The study was performed using the model WASMOD on 25 basins in central Sweden. Confidence intervals in the simulated discharge due to the parameter uncertainty and the total uncertainty were calculated. The results indicate that (a) the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm and the maximum likelihood method give almost identical estimates concerning the parameter uncertainty, and (b) the uncertainties in the simulated streamflow due to the parameter uncertainty are less important than uncertainties originating from other sources for this simple model with fewer parameters.     

青藏高原东缘晚新生代大邑砾岩的 物源分析与水系变迁*

成都盆地晚新生代碎屑沉积物的快速堆积是青藏高原东缘强烈隆升的产物,同时为青藏高原东缘晚新生代的隆升提供了强有力的证据。文章以盆地底部的大邑砾岩作为研究切入点,详细研究了它的物源区,以深化对青藏高原东缘晚新生代隆升过程的理解。通过砾石成分统计、砂岩薄片鉴定、重矿物分析以及古流向恢复等方面的研究表明,成都盆地北部和南部的大邑砾岩分别受不同的物源区和河流所控制。其中北部的大邑砾岩受控于出口在都江堰南约4km处向南流的河流所控制,其物源区为玉堂镇以西、汶川-茂汶断裂以东的流域范围内。而南部的大邑砾岩则主要受向东流的古青衣江的控制,其物源区即为现代青衣江流域。大邑砾岩的物源分析表明晚新生代期间岷江和青衣江都曾发生河流改道。     

Late Quaternary clay minerals off Middle Vietnam in the western South China Sea: Implications for source analysis and East Asian monsoon evolution

High-resolution clay mineral records combined with oxygen isotopic stratigraphy over the past 450 ka during late Quaternary from Core MD05-2901 off Middle Vietnam in the western South China Sea are re-ported to reconstruct a history of East Asian monsoon evolution. Variations in Illite, chlorite, and kaolinite contents indicate a strong glacial-interglacial cyclicity, while changes in smectite content present a higher frequency cyclicity. The provenance analysis indicates a mixture of individual clay minerals from various sources surrounding the South China Sea. Smectite derived mainly from the Sunda shelf and its major source area of the Indonesian islands. Illite and chlorite originated mainly from the Mekong and Red rivers. Kaolinite was provided mainly by the Pearl River. Spectral analysis of the kaolin-ite/(illite chlorite) ratio displays a strong eccentricity period of 100 ka, implying the ice sheet-forced win-ter monsoon evolution; whereas higher frequency changes in the smectite content show an ice sheet-forced obliquity period of 41 ka, and precession periods of 23 and 19 ka and a semi-precession period of 13 ka as well, implying the tropical-forced summer monsoon evolution. The winter monsoon evolution is generally in coherence with the glacial-interglacial cyclicity, with intensified winter monsoon winds during glacials and weakened winter monsoon winds during interglacials; whereas the summer monsoon evolution provides an almost linear response to the summer insolation of low latitude in the Northern Hemisphere, with strengthened summer monsoon during higher insolation and weakened summer monsoon during lower insolation. The result suggests that the high-latitude ice sheet and low-latitude tropical factor could drive the late Quaternary evolution of East Asian winter and summer monsoons, respectively, implying their diplex and self-contained forcing mechanism.     

714SD多普勒雷达在强降水中的应用

本文针对近几年汕头地区出现的强降水天气，重点开展了多普勒天气雷达速度回波及其产品的应用研究，结合相应的天气背景、物理量变化对强度回波和速度场回波作一些分析，归纳总结出台风、冷锋锋面、暖切变、西南急流、脊后槽前辐合区、东风波等不同天气形势下强降水的类型及其回波特征，并尝试性地解释了一些特殊回波的风场结构和天气现象。