A MODEL OF INTEGRATED RANDOM INITIAL VALUES AND RANDOM FORCING AND ITS PRELIMINARY EXPERIMENT

A simple quasi-geostrophic barotropic vorticity equation model is used as the dynamic frame of themodel in this paper.Considering that there are many random errors in model's initial values of meteorolo-gical data,and that it is not perfectly complete about model's physical processes (for example,take no ac-count of the interaction between atmosphere and underlying surface,radiation,etc.),we add the random for-ced term to the model and use the Monte-Carlo method with random initial values.A statistical-dynamicintegrated model is thus built up,and a numerical forecasting experiment of 500hPa monthly mean height fieldof January 1983 has been carried out.The experiment result proves that the forecasting result of the model,considering random forcing and random initial values at the same time,is better than that by the pure dynamicmodel,the random initial value model and the random forced model.     

The Long‐Term Robustness and Stability of Consensus Values as Composition Location Estimators for a Typical Geochemical Test Material in the GeoPT Proficiency Testing Programme

Re‐issuing the same test material, its true identity unknown to participants, in two rounds of the GeoPT proficiency testing programme 18 years apart has demonstrated remarkable similarity, and therefore stability, of consensus values independently estimated for over fifty measurands in each round. A comparison of the two data sets, GeoPT5 (AMH‐1) from 1999 and GeoPT41 (ORA‐1) from 2017, shows that corresponding consensus values, rigorously derived by current procedures for complete compatibility, are for the most part statistically indistinguishable when account is taken of their associated uncertainties. Inferences that may be drawn from this exceptional agreement include: (a) the consensus estimation procedure was robust and gave consistent results; (b) overall, the balance of the contributed data was unaffected by significant changes in: (i) the populations of laboratories participating, (ii) the proportions of laboratories producing results by different techniques, (iii) the manner in which systems were calibrated, or (iv) the aspirations of laboratories to attain higher quality results over time; and (c) unsurprisingly perhaps, that the test material itself had remained stable and unchanged during that time. Additionally, a statistical comparison of the original values for AMH‐1 with consensus values derived by current procedures demonstrates that they are also effectively indistinguishable.     

Assessment on the commonweal values of wetlands

1THECOMPOSITIONOFWETLANDS'COMMONWEALVALUESThematterflow,energyflowandinformationflowgeneratedfromnaturalcapitalofwetlandsformecosystemcommonwealvalues.Theflowsaswellasartificialcapitalandlaborcapitalcommonlygeneratehumanitywelfare(COSTANZAetal.,1997).Generallyspeaking,thevaluesofwetlandsmaybedividedintothreetypes:directproductionvalues,valuesbroughtwithbiologicalfunctionsofwetlandsecosystem,andattributivevaluesaspartofsocialmakeup(BARBIER,1997).Thesevaluescannotallbeembod…     

基于效用值的模糊最短路问题的研究

模糊数学是研究和处理模糊现象的一种数学方法,而最短路径问题一直是运筹学、地理信息科学、计算机科学等学科的一个研究热点,被广泛地应用于交通运输、通讯工程、计算机网络和供应链管理等领域．模糊最短路问题的求解,实质就是比较模糊数的序关系,对模糊数进行排序,从而得出模糊最短路问题的结果．在基于对效用值的研究基础上,综合考虑了模糊数隶属函数的分布情况,得到一种新的三角模糊数和梯形模糊数的排序．并应用于求解模糊最短路问题,获得了求解模糊最短路问题的新算法．通过几个实例,验证了方法的有效性和实用性．     

彩色CRT显示器描述颜色特性的数学模型

以CRT显示器的特征函数与特征矩阵来描述CRT显示器的输入/输出色度特性;建立了CRT显示器数字驱动输入值与其显示颜色三刺激值之间关系的数学模型。     

A comparison of alternative criteria for defining fuzzy boundaries on fuzzy categorical maps

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乔治王岛菲尔德斯半岛地区环境背景值初探

本文探讨了南极乔治王岛菲尔德斯半岛地区岩石、原始土壤(风化壳)、沉积物、地表水、大气降水、气溶胶、生物等环境要素的基本化学组成和物理化学分析方法。本研究可为评价区域环境质量、制定环境标准、确定环境中的元素迁移、转化规律以及为南极资源的合理开发利用提供科学依据。     

Coral δO records as an indicator of winter monsoon intensity in the South China Sea

We have used correlative analysis between mean December-January-February winter wind velocities, measured at the Xisha Meteorological Observatory (16°50′N, 112°20′E) in the middle of the South China Sea, and mean δ¹⁸O data for the corresponding month from Porites lutea coral, collected in Longwan waters (19°20′N, 110°39′E), to obtain a linear equation relating the two datasets. This winter wind velocity for the South China Sea (WMII_scs) can then be correlated to the coral δ¹⁸O by the equation WMII_scs = −1.213-1.351 δ¹⁸O (‰ PDB), r = −0.60, n = 40, P = 0.01. From this, the calculated WMII_scs-δ18O series from 1944 to 1997 tends to decrease during the 1940s to the 1960s; it increases slightly during the 1970s and then decreases again in the 1980s and 1990s. The calculated decadal mean WMII_scs-δ18O series had a obvious decrease from 5.92 to 4.63 m/s during the period of 1944-1997. The calculated yearly mean WMII_scs-δ18O value is 5.58 m/s from 1944 to 1976 and this decreases to 4.85 m/s from 1977 to 1998. That is the opposite trend to the observed yearly mean SST variation. The yearly mean SST anomaly is −0.27° from 1943 to 1976 and this increases to +0.16° from 1977 to 1998. Spectral analysis used on a 54-year-long calculated WMII_scs-δ18O series produces spectral peaks at 2.4-7 yr, which can be closely correlated with the quasibiennial oscillation band (QBO band, 2-2.4 yr) and the El Ñino southern oscillation band (ENSO band, 3-8 yr). Hence most of the variability of the winter monsoon intensity in the middle of the South China Sea is mainly constrained by changes in the thermal difference between the land and the adjoining sea area, perhaps due to global warming.     

岩体稳定性评价的模糊概率方法

岩体稳定性受多种不确定性因素的影响,不仅具有随机性,也具有模糊性,属于模糊概率的范畴,利用经典的模糊综合评判方法进行研究将会导致不合理的结果。在模糊概率理论的基础上,建立了一类新的岩体稳定性综合评价方法——模糊概率方法,并提出了模糊权重的概念,从而避免了权重取值带来的不确定性。结合所选取的5个影响岩体稳定性的因素,建立了这5个影响因素的隶属函数与模糊权重;利用该方法对某一地下岩体工程进行分析,并与其他方法评价的结果进行比较,表明了其方法的合理性与可靠性。