甘肃省春季降水的空间异常分布及年代际变化

利用甘肃省80个气象站建站至2012年3-5月的降水量资料, 分析了甘肃省春季降水的基本气候特征; 通过EOF、REOF、小波分析等方法, 对甘肃春季降水的时空特性进行了研究, 用Mann-Kendall检验法检验了甘肃春季降水序列是否存在突变现象. 结果表明, 甘肃春季降水空间分布极不均匀, 其空间分布特征是东南部为多雨区、西北部为少雨区. 甘肃春季降水在第一空间尺度上为全区一致, 在第二空间尺度上可分为2个自然气候区, 在第三空间尺度上可分为7个自然气候区. 从年代际变化来看, 1960年代是近50 a来降水最多的10 a, 1990年代是降水最少的10 a; 甘肃春季降水的年际变率十分显著, 降水最多的年份是最少年份的近5倍. 1961-2012年间甘肃春季降水发生了明显的突变, 1982年出现了一次增多趋势的突变, 1992年出现了一次减少趋势的突变. 5 a的短周期和18～19 a的长周期是其主要周期. 甘肃春季降水偏少(多)年份的500 hPa异常环流形势为极涡弱(强)、中纬度亚洲为一脊一槽型、东亚大槽深(浅)、南支槽浅(深).     

天山地区夏季极端降水特征及气候变化

基于1961—2007年天山地区32站的逐日降水资料,分析了夏季天山地区极端降水事件的气候分布和时间变化特征.结果表明:夏季天山地区的极端降水量、极端降水日和极端降水比分布存在明显的区域差异.局地极端降水频繁,平均3～4d就有1次发生,大范围极端降水较少发生.连续性极端降水以1d为主.极端降水量在天山南北坡均随地形增加而增多,地形高度对降水的影响,北坡要大于南坡.在相同高度范围内,北坡极端降水量基本均大于南坡.天山地区的极端降水事件呈增多趋势,在1970年代中后期至1980年代中前期,极端降水事件为低值期,而1990年代是高值期.     

河北唐山地区盛汛期短时强降水概念模型及物理量特征分析

利用2006-2013年区域自动站降水资料以及NCEP再分析资料,应用EOF分析和中尺度天气图分析等方法对唐山地区盛汛期短历时强降水的时空分布特征、天气学概念模型以及物理量特征进行研究.结果表明：唐山东北部是短时强降水的活跃区、西南部为不活跃区,但西南部极端短时强降水更强;存在5种降水空间分布类型,分别是“一致型”“西北多型”“东南多型”“东北异常偏多型”“东北异常偏少型”.700 hPa切变线是否断裂、副热带高压及高低空急流的位置以及高低空干湿区配置决定了降水分布;短时强降水发生时局地水汽丰富,暖云层厚度较大,垂直风切变较弱,存在一定的不稳定能量,强天气威胁指数较小、0℃层较高,大多数类型都有强的水汽辐合,但“东北异常偏多型”辐合较弱,其水汽主要来源于本地.     

滇黔桂地区卡林型金矿床成因探讨

矿化剂和沉淀富集剂是成矿物质中的重要组成部分，也是人们分析成矿作用和建立成矿模式的基础。在分析滇黔桂地区金矿地质特征和成矿流体的基础上，提出该类矿床的矿质主要来源于被动陆缘沉积建造，促使金活化、迁移的矿化剂主要是盆地热卤素流体和有机质流体，促使金局部沉淀富集的沉淀富集剂则主要是沉积建造内和深源富硫的流体和热液改造的有机质。认为矿质、矿化剂和沉淀富集剂在有利容矿空间的耦合是形成滇黔桂地区卡林型金矿的主要成矿机制，并在此基础上讨论了卡林型金矿的成因和成矿模式。     

地下水氘过量参数的演化

本文详细地介绍了提出水体氘过量参数 (d值 )的依据、源于大气降水的地下水氘过量参数 (d值 )的演化特点、影响因素、误差来源 ,并分析和讨论了应用中的一些问题。     

中国东部土壤温度、湿度变化的长期趋势及其与气候背景的联系

利用1971—2000年中国722站逐月的土壤温度资料和1981—1998年178站逐旬的土壤湿度观测资料,分析了中国东部土壤温度、湿度变化的长期趋势及其与气温、降水变化的关系。结果表明：①我国东部土壤温度的变化在年际—年代际时间尺度上存在明显的区域性差异,其中东北地区表现为持续上升型,而西北东部—华北、江淮和西南—华南地区均为先降后升型;②1970—2000年代,土壤温度的变化在东北以及西北东部—华北地区有显著的上升趋势,而在江淮和西南—华南地区,总体而言变化趋势不显著。此外,1980—1990年代,各区域土壤湿度的变化趋势均不显著;③在年际—年代际尺度上,各区域土壤温度和气温的变化具有显著的正相关关系,而土壤湿度与土壤温度的变化普遍呈负相关关系,其中尤以西北东部—华北地区最为显著。而在较长的时间尺度上,土壤湿度与降水的变化仍然存在较好的正相关关系。     

Anatomy of garnets in a Jurassic granite from the south-eastern margin of the North China Craton: Magma sources and tectonic implications

The Late Jurassic Jingshan granite located at the south-eastern margin of the North China Craton contains abundant garnets which can be subdivided into three types based on texture and composition: (i) euhedral garnet in mafic biotite and garnet rich enclave (Grt I), (ii) coarse-grained garnet (Grt II) in the host granite, and (iii) small euhedral garnet in aplite (Grt III). In general, Grt I has higher FeO, CaO and lower MnO contents than Grt II. Grt III has higher Mn, but lower Ca contents than others. Grt I has lower MREE and HREE contents than Grt II. Grt III has prominent and distinctly negative Eu anomaly as well as higher MREE composition compared to the others. Systematic variations in oxygen isotope compositions are observed among the three garnet types, with δ¹⁸O values of <3.8‰ in most of Grt I, 3.8–4.7‰ in most Grt II (for inclusion-free garnets), and typically >4.7‰ in Grt III. Some of the Grt II and Grt III display two distinct zonings with cores having similar major and trace element compositions to Grt I.Cathodoluminescence (CL) images revealed that the zircons from different garnet-bearing samples possess fine-scale oscillatory zoned magmatic rims with inherited cores. In situ zircon U–Pb dating and trace element analyses show that the dark-luminescent magmatic rims all have Jurassic concordia ages (∼160 Ma) and similar trace element patterns. Most of the inherited cores also display similar Triassic ages of 210–236 Ma, which is similar to the ages of ultrahigh pressure (UHP) metamorphic rocks of the Dabie–Sulu orogen (230 Ma). In addition, Jurassic concordia ages were also found in a zircon inclusion in Grt I, implying that the Grt I was formed shortly before the main magmatic event. The age data suggest that the three different garnet types may be genetically related and modified by cogenetic magmatic events.Based on the zircon U–Pb ages from different garnet-bearing samples, the major element, trace element, oxygen isotope, and zoning textures of the three kinds of garnet we suggest that Grt I may be peritectic garnet, whereas Grt II and III are probably the results of magmatic dissolution–precipitation processes and re-equilibration of garnets with changing magmatic conditions during melting, differentiation, crystallization, and cooling within the granite. We conclude from the oxygen isotopic character of the garnets and ages of the zircons that the source rocks for the Jingshan granites are from Dabie–Sulu orogen representing the South China Craton.     

潮白河流域降水演变及其径流效应

分析了潮白河流域1991~2000年降水资料时空演变规律,采用同倍比放大法对各年的降水数据进行整体轮换处理,处理后各年总降水量为1991~2000年的平均年降水量。随后基于GBHM(Geomorphology-Based Hydrological Model)模型进行了10年径流量模拟。结果显示,在降水总量相同的情况下,1994年型降水时空分布最有利于产流,径流总量与峰值流量最大,1999年型径流总量与峰值流量最小。1994年型径流总量是1999年型径流总量的3.88倍;1994年型峰值流量是1999年型峰值流量的35.87倍。由此可见,降水总量相同时,其时空分布对径流总量和峰值的影响极大。     

Recrystallization of Magnesian Calcite Overgrowths on Calcite SeedsSuspended in Seawater

The formation and subsequent reactions of magnesiancalcite overgrowths on calcite were investigated bymeans of closed system seeded precipitationexperiments. These experiments demonstrated that(1) thin overgrowths of magnesian calcite are precipitatedon calcite seeds suspended in seawater;(2) the solubilities of the coatings increase outward from theseed crystals as a linear function of the log ofrelative coating thickness;(3) during the period ofthese experiments (up to 5.5 months), the magnesiancalcite coatings continued to increase in thickness,but became less soluble in composition. Thestabilization reaction, referred to asrecrystallization, can be described by the followingequation:Cax Mg(1-x) CO3 + [z + y(x + z)]Ca2++ 2yHCO3- ]= (1 + y)Ca(x + z)Mg(1 - x -z)CO3 + [z + y(x + z - 1)]Mg2++ y CO2 + yH20;]4) recrystallization rate is dependent on solutionsaturation state, with a reaction order of 3.2 forartificial seawater and 4.0 for natural seawater; and(5) by the cessation of the closed system experiments,overgrowth compositions approached that of the stablecalcite (a few mol % MgCO3).Armoring of suspended carbonate particles in thesurface oceans with magnesian calcite overgrowthswould provide an effective barrier to release of theoceanic supersaturation with respect to calcite. Thicknesses of such coatings would be limited by therecrystallization rate of the magnesian calcite. Estimates based on the recrystallization ratesdetermined in this work indicate coatings on the orderof 0.02 µm in thickness could form on particles asthey sink through the mixed layer. According to thesecalculations, the total amount of carbon precipitatedannually in magnesian calcite overgrowths iscomparable to the riverine flux of dissolved carbon tothe oceans. Field observations of severalinvestigators indicate the likely presence ofmagnesian calcite coatings on planktonic particles,and provide evidence for possible recrystallization ofbiogenic magnesian particles in the marineenvironment.     

基于权马尔可夫链模型的庐江县降水量预测

由于降水过程的随机性与不确定性,使得降水量预测存在一定的难度。对安徽省庐江县1952~2009年逐年降水资料进行了分析,采用样本-标准差分级法将这58年的逐年降水量序列分为枯水年,偏枯水年,平水年,偏丰水年,丰水年5个状态,采用权马尔可夫链模型预测了2010年的降水量,预测结果与实测结果相吻合。