Mapping of climatic parameters under climate change impacts in Iran

ABSTRACT

This research aims to provide a comprehensive evaluation of climate change effects on temperature, precipitation and potential evapotranspiration over the country of Iran for the time periods 2010–2039, 2040–2069 and 2070–2099, and under scenarios A2 and B2. After preparation of measured temperature and precipitation data and calculation of potential evapotranspiration for the base time period of 1960–1990 for 46 meteorological stations (with a nationwide distribution), initial zoning of these three parameters over the country was attempted. Maximum and minimum temperatures and values of precipitation were obtained from the HadCM3 model under scenarios A2 and B2 for the three time periods, and these data were downscaled. Corresponding maps were prepared for the three parameters in the three time periods, and spatial and temporal variations of these climatic parameters under scenarios A2 and B2 were extracted and interpreted. Results showed that the highest increase in temperature would occur in western parts of the country, but the highest increase of potential evapotranspiration would occur in the central region of Iran. However, precipitation would vary temporally and spatially in different parts of the country depending on the scenario used and the time period selected.

Editor Z. W. Kundzewicz; Associate editor not assigned     

Delineating groundwater potential zones in a hard-rock terrain using geospatial tool

Abstract

Geospatial techniques have become one of the leading tools in the field of natural sciences for assessment, monitoring and management of natural resources, particularly in groundwater research. The paper discusses the demarcation and assessment of groundwater potential zones using geospatial techniques in the Deccan Volcanic Province of Maharashtra, India, using multi-criteria analyses. The study incorporates integration of thematic information (geomorphology, lithology, drainage density, slope and lineaments) in a GIS environment in order to identify groundwater potential zones. The methodology adopted can be used as a rapid assessment tool in groundwater exploration and is helpful in predictive groundwater resource management. Multi-criteria evaluation techniques were used to integrate all the thematic layers. Individual themes and their corresponding categories were assigned a knowledge base ranking from 1 to 5, depending on their importance for groundwater potential. Using the Raster calculator tool in Arc GIS software, all thematic maps were integrated to produce a composite groundwater potential map of the study area. The identified groundwater potential zones were classified into four classes, from excellent to poor. The generated groundwater potential zones were validated with field checks and borewell/dugwell yield data, and showed consistency with the observations.

Citation Singh, P., Thakur, J. K., and Kumar, S. (2013) Delineating groundwater potential zones in a hard-rock terrain using geospatial tools. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 58 (1), 1–11.     

Probability-consistent spectrum and code spectrum

IntroductionInChina,thecombinationofseismicdesigncodewithzoningmapofseismicintensityorgroundmotionparametersisusuallyadoptedtodeterminetheseismicfortificationcriterionforthegeneralindustryandcivilbuildings.Thepresentproceduresareasfollows.Accordingtothepro-jectlocation,thedesignbasicaccelerationofgroundmotionandthedesigncharacteristicperiodofresponsespectrumareobtainedfromthezoningmapofseismicgroundmotionparameters(GeneralAdministrationofQualitySupervision,InspectionandQuarantineofthePeople…     

Change of crustal gravitational potential energy in the Taiwan orogen by the Chi-Chi earthquake sequence

The active convergence between the northwest corner of the Philippine Sea Plate and the southeast margin of the Eurasian Plate has given rise to the Taiwan mountain-building and produced numerous earthquakes. Among the earthquakes, the 1999 Chi-Chi earthquake is the largest one recorded in the century. In this study, we examine the crustal gravitational potential energy (GPE) change in the Taiwan orogen caused by the Chi-Chi earthquake sequence, which was catalogued by the regional broadband seismometer array for a whole year. As a result, we find that the crust was going up and down randomly during the earthquake sequence, but an overall cumulative gain of the crustal GPE, +1.82×10¹⁶ J, was rapidly achieved in 1 month after the main shock. The crustal GPE was nearly still afterwards and reached +1.90×10¹⁶ J in 1 year. Spatially, although the main surface faulting has occurred in western Taiwan, the crustal GPE gain is mainly distributed in central Taiwan at the area where the existing crustal GPE is high and the existing lithospheric GPE is relatively low. The crustal GPE loss by the Chi-Chi earthquake sequence can also be observed and is generally distributed at both sides of the crustal GPE gain area. The crustal GPE gain mainly found in central Taiwan corroborates that the uplift of the Taiwan orogen is principally taking place in central Taiwan, rather than in the more hazardous western Taiwan.     

中国油气页岩分布与存储潜能和前景分析

基于当今化石油气能源的需求还在扩展,它的紧缺势态波及全球,而我国的确需要更多的页岩油气.为此,非常规油气能源,特别是页岩油气的勘探、开发和利用就必然地提到社会进步和经济发展的议程上,并得到世界各个国家的高度重视.因此,页岩油气现已成为我国能源界和科技界及政府部门的热门话题.在经过了一段时间的"热炒"和依据尚不充分的评估后,本文通过对中外有关资料的分析和讨论认为:1)必须在了解世界各国、特别是北美页岩油气赋存与开发的条件下,认识我国页岩的分布状态和页岩油气潜能;2)在理解其它国家页岩属性、页岩油气的前景和勘查及储存背景下,在我国较全面的进行页岩和页岩油气存储的勘探和对其进行要素匹配,并选择远景好的典型地区进行示范研究与探索;3)集理念与实践综合研究制定页岩油气在我国的发展方案和路线图.     

西藏班戈日阿铜多金属矿床地质特征及找矿前景

西藏班戈日阿铜多金属矿床位于班戈-腾冲多金属成矿带,是近年来新发现的矽卡岩型铜多金属矿床,已探明资源量达中型规模。最新研究和找矿成果显示矿带呈北西向展布,受燕山晚期白垩纪花岗岩类岩体侵入作用控制,矿体分布于岩体与下白垩统灰岩地层接触带及附近部位。在空间上,矿床主要分为三个矿段：主矿体分布在矿区中西部,目前在西矿段已圈定5个（条）铜矿体,矿体呈似层状、透镜状,其中最大的Cu13号矿体长221 m,平均厚9 m,沿倾向已控制延深100 m以上,铜品位：0.45%~2.01%,平均0.9%。主要金属矿物为黄铜矿、磁铁矿。中矿段已经圈定3条矿体,成矿元素除铜外,铅、锌、银含量也较高,为铜多金属矿体。矿体呈似层状、透镜状。其中以Cu-23号矿体最大,长达300 m,矿体最宽处达110 m。矿体平均品位Cu1.48%,Pb 1.25%,Zn 2.52%,A g 32.52×1-0 6。本文在矿区地质特征研究的基础上,通过对1：5万水系沉积物测量成果分析,对比中、西矿段成矿条件,对矿区东段进行了预测评价,指出该矿区具有较好的铜多金属找矿前景。同时建议对已圈定的1：5万水系沉积物异常开展1：1万土壤地球化学测量工作,进而圈定该区铜多金属矿带或矿（化）体,为矿区深入勘查工作提供依据。     

重力学反问题中零外部位密度的研究

对重力学反问题研究中零外部位密度的数学性质及物理意义进行了系统研究和分析．首先从基本定义及条件的描述入手，推演出其数学表示和限制，由此揭示重力学反问题的非适定性形态，进而论及其与非零外部位密度之间的数学关系．由此证明对应于给定外部位的场源函数可以分解成零外部位密度与调和密度的直和．通过对其物理意义的讨论，为地球物理反演非零外部位场源及物理大地测量学构制等效场源提供理论依据．     

山西大同桑干河流域富锶土壤地球化学特征及资源潜力评价

对山西大同桑干河流域富锶土壤的研究表明, 其表层土壤锶元素含量为108.7×10-6~413.9×10-6, 平均值为261.7×10-6, 是中国土壤A层的1.57倍. 深层土壤锶元素含量为106.2×10-6~467.0×10-6, 平均值279.2×10-6, 是中国土壤C层的1.65倍. 区内表、深层土壤富锶是围岩在地下水的作用下, 锶在水中溶解, 随之迁移并在盆地富集的结果. 区内前寒武纪变质岩中锶的含量最高达1 259×10-6, 是锶的主要物质来源. 表、深层土壤中锶与Ba、B、Cr、La、Nb、Na、As、Sb、Si等关系密切. 盐碱土是主要的储锶土壤类型. 耕地中锶含量高于其他土地利用类型. 通过富锶土壤资源潜力评价, 圈出富锶土壤面积1 104 km2, 占调查区面积的69.87%, 其中适宜开发区面积442 km2. 区内具有较好的富锶优质土地资源开发潜力.     

输电线路杆塔危岩威胁等级评价方法研究

从影响滚石击中塔体时的能量以及塔体被滚石击中的可能性出发,提出现场评价危岩对塔体威胁等级的方法。该方法考虑了边坡形状、塔位与山体的相对位置、坡上危岩的数量和大小以及坡脚滚石的数量和大小等因素。当边坡总体坡度相同时,上缓下陡的折线边坡,滚石落地速度最大;而内凹的曲线边坡,滚石落地速度最小。位于山体内凹一侧的塔位,塔体受危岩威胁最大,而位于山体凸出一侧的塔位,受危岩威胁最小。