A collective human mobility analysis method based on data usage detail records

Human mobility patterns have been widely investigated due to their application in a wide variety of fields, for example urban planning and epidemiology. Many studies have introduced spatial networks into human mobility analyses at the collective level. However, these studies merely analyzed spatial network structure, and the underlying collective mobility patterns were not further discussed. In this paper, we propose a collective mobility discovery method based on community differences (CMDCD). We constructed spatial networks where nodes represent geographical entities and edge weights denote collective mobility intensity between geographical entities. The differences between communities detected from the networks constructed in different periods were then identified. Since collective spatial movement has a large influence on network structure, we can discover groups with different mobility patterns based on community differences. By applying the method to data usage detail records collected from the cellular networks in a city of China, we analyzed different collective mobility patterns between the Spring Festival vacation and workdays. The experimental results show that our method can solve these two problems of identifying community differences and discovering users with different mobility patterns simultaneously. Moreover, the CMDCD method is an integrated approach to discover groups whose mobility patterns have changed in different periods at the large spatial scale and the small spatial scale. The discovered collective mobility patterns can be used to guide urban planning, traffic forecasting, urban resource allocation, providing new insights into human mobility patterns and spatial interaction analyses.     

网纹红土中的植硅石组合及其环境意义的初步研究

长江中下游地区网纹红土中的古气候记录，在第四纪全球变化研究中具有十分重要的意义，阐述了江西修水网纹红土的岩性特征和形成时代，重点讨论了网纹红土中的植硅石及其古气候信息，根据植硅石形态的环境意义，结合因子分析，将修水剖面网纹红土所含的植硅石划分为１２个组合带。并将其与黄土－古土壤气候旋回和深海氧同位素气候旋回进行了对比，提出网纹红土也是第四纪全球变化的良好信息载体。     

Seismic hazard assessment using the theory of records

This article is a review of some basic results for analysis of records. First, the general methods appropriate for seismic hazard are discussed. Then, in view of the frequency-magnitude law of Gutenberg and Richter, some results relevant for hazard assessment related to earthquakes are presented. The discussion is concluded with an example of application and comparison with classical methods.     

中国历史文献档案中的古环境记录

我国的历史文献记录是古气候、古环境信息的重要来源,对古全球变化（PAGES）研究计划的目标时段——近2000年（人文记录和自然记录并存的时段）来说,尤其具有重要的科学价值。介绍了我国古文献中的古气候、古环境记录的概况和各项记录如水、旱、雨、雪等的数量统计,综述了这些记录被用于重建定量的气候序列、绘制历史气候复原图、编制古环境事件年表、获取高分辨率的古气候信息诸方面的主要进展。     

Understanding the bias of call detail records in human mobility research

ABSTRACT

In recent years, call detail records (CDRs) have been widely used in human mobility research. Although CDRs are originally collected for billing purposes, the vast amount of digital footprints generated by calling and texting activities provide useful insights into population movement. However, can we fully trust CDRs given the uneven distribution of people’s phone communication activities in space and time? In this article, we investigate this issue using a mobile phone location dataset collected from over one million subscribers in Shanghai, China. It includes CDRs (~27%) plus other cellphone-related logs (e.g., tower pings, cellular handovers) generated in a workday. We extract all CDRs into a separate dataset in order to compare human mobility patterns derived from CDRs vs. from the complete dataset. From an individual perspective, the effectiveness of CDRs in estimating three frequently used mobility indicators is evaluated. We find that CDRs tend to underestimate the total travel distance and the movement entropy, while they can provide a good estimate to the radius of gyration. In addition, we observe that the level of deviation is related to the ratio of CDRs in an individual’s trajectory. From a collective perspective, we compare the outcomes of these two datasets in terms of the distance decay effect and urban community detection. The major differences are closely related to the habit of mobile phone usage in space and time. We believe that the event-triggered nature of CDRs does introduce a certain degree of bias in human mobility research and we suggest that researchers use caution to interpret results derived from CDR data.     

皮山6.5级地震前地表MODIS热红外异常与气象台站记录对比

利用2015年皮山6.5级地震前半年的MODIS影像,通过劈窗算法对震中周边地表温度进行反演,通过对比地表反演温度和震中周边气象台站气象记录,研究发现震中附近在震前80 d和15 d左右出现明显的热异常,但在震前1个月左右存在短暂的温度低异常现象。另外,根据近22年的气象记录,震中及周边在震前半年气温明显偏高,这种气象异常或可视为地震前兆。     

Mann-Whitney U非参数检验方法及其在冰心气候学研究中的应用

介绍了最强的非参数检验之一Mann－WhitneyU非参数检验方法及其在冰心气候学研究中的应用。由于冰心气候环境记录具有分辨率高、保真性好和所记录的气候环境信息量大等优声、,因此将该非参数检验方法用于冰心气候学,可以帮助我们进行一些极端事件的研究,并对厄尔尼诺年古里雅冰心中所记录的降水量及δ18O的变化进行检验。     

东海嵊山岛风尘黄土中的植物硅酸体与环境研究

东海岛屿风尘黄土地层的存在是下蜀黄土在东部的继续与延伸，红外释光测年（IRSL）表明，东海嵊山岛黄土剖面形成年代约为50－10kaBP，即形成于晚更新世末次冰期期间；植物硅酸体分析发现该剖面样品含有丰富的禾本科植物硅酸体化石，且在剖面中变化较大，在对植物硅酸体进行分类的基础上，运用了判别分析、冷暖比值判别和古植被类型判别的方法，对植物硅酸体所反映的古环境进行了分析，将岛屿风尘地层中的植物硅酸体划分为7个变化阶段，反映了岛屿黄土堆积期的7次气候变化过程，探讨了该地区末次冰期期间古环境、古气候变迁特征，发现该剖面沉积期间主要为干冷的草原环境且经过了一系列冷－暖气候变迁。     

长江三角洲地区晚第四纪古土壤中的植物硅酸体及其古环境意义

长江三角洲地区晚第四纪古土壤层，即以前所谓的“暗绿色硬粘上层”过去被看作是“哑地层”，本文首次发现该层中含有丰富的植物硅酸体，且各种类型的硅酸体在地层中均有出现，并在剖面上有较大的变化。在定量统计分析的基础上，利用其组合特征，并进一步利用对应分析方法，探讨了本区晚第四纪古地理、古环境变迁历史，认为该层形成子一种弱草甸环境，且在其形成过程中有四次气候冷—暖变化。     

方志和区域研究

我国方志是反映各种区域时空实体的文化载体。方志的演化可分先秦至西汉。东汉至南宋和南宋以后三个时期。与西方方志比较中国方志具有重区内、轻区间;重人文,轻自然和含“天—地—人”的原始系统论等特点。新方志可有资料性、知识性和研究性三种类型。创新方志应该从“方志乃一方全史”说中解脱出来,加强区域研究。