一种确定联合反演中相对权比的两步法

提出确定联合反演中相对权比的两步法。第1步是不考虑相对权比,建立两类或多类数据的联合反演模型,通过赫尔墨特方差分量估计使得两类或多类观测数据的单位权方差相等（或单位权方差的比值接近1）,从而理论上确定观测数据合理的权阵,同时对不同种类数据进行归一化;第2步是在获得合理的观测数据权阵之后,建立顾及相对权比的联合反演模型,...     

基于人工智能技术的热带气旋灾害评估方法研究:以广东省为例

基于历史观测资料,系统地研究了广东省热带气旋（tropical cyclone,TC）风雨及其带来的直接经济损失的空间分布特征。结果表明,粤西沿海地区受TC大风影响最为频繁,但TC经济灾损率和受灾频次在粤西和粤东较重。根据广东省TC风雨和直接经济损失的空间分布特征,将广东分为粤西、粤东、珠三角和粤北4个区域,进而利用演化建模方法建立了广东省各区域TC经济灾损率评估模型。该评估模型模拟的TC经济灾损率与实际值的相关系数达0.66以上,基于该模型对独立样本的预测检验结果与实际值的相关系数达到0.61以上（显著性水平a=0.05）。这表明,基于演化建模方法建立的广东省各区域评估模型在广东省TC灾害评估中有着潜在的应用价值。     

Detecting multi-scale riverine topographic variability and its influence on Chinook salmon habitat selection

Quantifying geomorphic conditions that impact riverine ecosystems is critical in river management due to degraded riverine habitat, changing flow and thermal conditions, and increasing anthropogenic pressure. Geomorphic complexity at different scales directly impacts habitat heterogeneity and affects aquatic biodiversity resilience. Here we showed that the combination of continuous spatial survey at high resolution, topobathymetric light detection and ranging (LiDAR), and continuous wavelet analysis can help identify and characterize that complexity. We used a continuous wavelet analysis on 1-m resolution topobathymetry in three rivers in the Salmon River Basin, Idaho (USA), to identify different scales of topographic variability and the potential effects of this variability on salmonid redd site selection. On each river, wavelet scales characterized the topographic variability by portraying repeating patterns in the longitudinal profile. We found three major representative spatial wavelet scales of topographic variability in each river: a small wavelet scale associated with local morphology such as pools and riffles, a mid-wavelet scale that identified larger channel unit features, and a large wavelet scale related to valley-scale controls. The small wavelet scale was used to identify pools and riffles along the entire lengths of each river as well as areas with differing riffle-pool development. Areas along the rivers with high local topographic variability (high wavelet power) at all wavelet scales contained the largest features (i.e., deepest or longest pools) in the systems. By comparing the wavelet power for each wavelet scale to Chinook salmon redd locations, we found that higher small-scale wavelet power, which is related to pool-riffle topography, is important for redd site selection. The continuous wavelet methodology objectively identified scales of topographic variability present in these rivers, performed efficient channel-unit identification, and provided geomorphic assessment without laborious field surveys.     

赫章片区地热地质条件特征及勘查远景探讨

区域性北西向紫云-垭都深大断裂带斜贯县境,其上下盘次级构造,层间破碎带及挽近期构造发育,具有中低温地热资源有利地热地质条件;潜在地热资源丰富,具有开发价值热储层为第一热储单元和第二热储单元的白云岩,以混合热储构造类型为主,其次是层状带状热储构造类型。根据地热地质条件,结合已成井成果资料,预测了六个靶区。     

基于磁力资料的珠江口盆地构造单元分布特征

珠江口盆地是南海北部陆坡最大的前新生代沉积盆地,油气资源丰富,由于新的地球物理资料未得以充分应用等问题导致盆地内部构造单元分布特征存在诸多不同看法,这些问题制约了盆地的进一步勘探和开发。本文以最新实测1∶10万高精度航磁数据为基础,采用切线法对研究区航磁异常深度进行反演计算,结合钻井、地震及南海北部陆域物性资料研究珠江口盆地磁性基底分布特征。在充分调研珠江口盆地已有构造单元划分的基础上,以盆地磁性基底展布特征为基础,结合断裂、区域构造等对珠江口盆地内部构造单元进行研究。研究表明:珠江口盆地磁性基底深度在0～9 km之间,磁性基底呈"三隆两坳"构造格局,整个坳陷区具有"南北分带,东西分块"的特征; NE向深大断裂为控盆断裂,常为盆地二级构造单元的边界,NW向断裂常控制次一级构造单元并影响其展布形态。     

云南三江造山带西部的重要断裂特征与构造单元划分

经资料搜集与野外调研,对云南三江造山带西部重要断裂的位置、特征及南北连接,形成了一些新的认识.即：①怒江断裂在滇西北为高黎贡山变质基底杂岩与丙中洛地块、滇西南为潞西断块与保山地块的边界断裂,属三级构造单元的边界断裂;②班公错-东巧断裂进入云南后,北段、中段与位于高黎贡山主峰的向东倾斜的高黎贡山逆冲推覆断裂相连接,南段称为龙陵-瑞丽断裂;③高黎贡山断裂、龙陵-瑞丽断裂为腾冲造山带与三江造山带的边界断裂,属一级构造单元的边界断裂;④昌宁-孟连结合带东西两侧的双江-竹塘断裂、沧源断裂北延至滇西北后,分别与位于碧罗雪山西坡的福贡断裂、捧当断裂相连接;⑤迪麻洛-昌宁-孟连结合带为二级构造单元,东西两侧的二级构造单元分别为崇山-临沧地块、丙中洛-保山陆块.云南三江造山带西部划分为2个二级构造单元、7个三级构造单元.     

山东半岛海域成矿区带划分浅析

山东半岛海域成矿区带划分以往研究程度较低。该文利用海域重磁资料,在研究区梳理了渤海和黄海的重磁异常特征,渤海和北黄海呈负布格重力异常,南黄海北部与之相反;渤海为正磁异常,黄海与之相反。以重磁异常为基础,基于陆域构造单元划分,对海域构造单元划分至Ⅲ级10个构造单元,海域构造单元多为陆域向海域的延伸,仅渤中坳陷和北黄海盆地为独立的海域构造单元。参照陆域成矿区带划分,以构造单元边界为界线,海域成矿区带划分至Ⅳ级6个成矿区,各成矿区特征不同,坳陷构造单元内成矿区富集油气矿产,隆起构造单元内成矿区表现为埕宁隆起富集煤矿,胶北隆起富集金、菱镁矿、煤、灰岩矿,千里隆起富集岩金、蛇纹岩、石棉、花岗石矿。     

Mapping crime harm and priority locations in New Zealand: A comparison of spatial analysis methods

Despite progress being advanced with spatial approaches to crime and crime control, the geography of crime harm has to date received little attention. The recent development of “Crime Harm Indices”, which weight crimes by an estimate of the relative harm they cause, offers an opportunity to improve on volume based spatial analysis approaches to identify where crime harm concentrates.This study aims to address this issue via the use of a Crime Harm Index (CHI) developed for New Zealand. By contrast to localized ‘harm-spotting’ analysis, we apply a census unit based approach to identify, at a macro level, the neighborhoods and wider communities suffering the highest crime harm in New Zealand. This approach enables harm to be viewed not only as a total Index but as a rate controlled for population and allows for the identification of census based sociodemographic factors which predict harm. Specifically, this paper compares the CHI with the New Zealand Priority Locations Index (PLI), an existing census unit based crime analysis tool which combines crime and demographic variables to identify communities vulnerable to crime and disorder issues.In this study CHI and PLI scores were calculated for Census Area Units (normally containing 3000–5000 population) across New Zealand. Bivariate correlations and a general linear model were used to determine the relationships between the CHI and PLI and additional population related variables. The CHI and PLI were weakly correlated, with population size and urban/rural categorization also accounting for CHI variance. Mapping techniques are used to illustrate outlier locations where the CHI and PLI differ widely and to identify location features which may assist in explaining CHI/PLI differences.This work exemplifies a novel geographic approach to the problem of crime harm with implications for resource allocation at national through to local levels. Wider implications for the theory and practice of crime and crime harm control are discussed, along with limitations of the study and areas for further research.     

祁连造山带研究概况——历史,现状及展望

回顾了祁连造山带的研究历史，对研究现状作了简要总结。认为在祁连造山带已初步建立起岩石圈结构及动力学模型，划分了板块构造单元，祁连山自震理纪以来先后出现大陆裂谷和板块构造两种构造体制及三种不同类型的造山作用（俯冲造山，碰撞造山和陆内造山）而构造体制变更，盆地类型转换以及造山作用类型变化的地球动力学机制是地幔柱构造。提出了造山带研究现存在的关键问题，对未来的研究进行了展望，作者认为祁连山造山理论的研究