基于熵权的五元联系数法在郑州市水资源丰富程度评价中的应用

针对水资源丰富程度评价中的不确定性及水资源分布特点,将集对分析中的五元联系数法应用于水资源丰富程度评价。在确定各评价指标的权重时,将信息论中的熵值理论引入该模型,运用信息熵所反映实测数据的效用值计算各评价指标的权重。通过对郑州市的实例应用表明基于熵权的五元联系数法计算简便,评价结果合理,为水资源丰富程度评价提供了一种简单而实用的评价方法。     

Petrology of the greenstones of the Lower Sorachi Group in the Sorachi–Yezo Belt, central Hokkaido, Japan, with special reference to discrimination between oceanic plateau basalts and mid-oceanic ridge basalts

Abstract   The Lower Sorachi Group of the Sorachi–Yezo Belt in central Hokkaido, Japan is a peculiar accretionary complex characterized by numerous occurrences of greenstones (metabasalts and diabases), which are mostly composed of aphyric basalts. Clinopyroxene-rich phenocryst assemblage in phyric basalts is different from olivine–plagioclase assemblage in mid-oceanic ridge basalts (MORB). The greenstones are geochemically uniform, and show a lower-Ti trend than MORB in an FeO*/MgO-TiO₂ diagram, mostly plotting on the island arc tholeiite (IAT) field in a TiO₂−10MnO−10P₂O₅ diagram. In a MORB-normalized spider diagram, the greenstones show a flat pattern from P to Y, which are lower than those of normal mid-oceanic ridge basalt (N-MORB). These indicate that the greenstones were derived by a higher degree of partial melting from a depleted mantle similar to a N-MORB source, and experienced olivine–clinopyroxene fractional crystallization. However, a positive spike of Nb in the spider diagram cannot be explained, and may be attributed to mantle heterogeneity. These characteristics are analogous to those of oceanic plateau basalts (OPB) such as in Ontong Java Plateau, Manihiki Plateau and Nauru Basin, suggesting that the greenstones in the Lower Sorachi Group are of oceanic plateau origin. The present study proposes new field divisions to distinguish OPB from MORB in the conventional FeO*/MgO–TiO₂ and TiO₂−10MnO−10P₂O₅ diagrams.     

澜沧-耿马Ms 7.6地震前前兆综合加权信息熵的变化

利用“专家系统”的思想对澜沧－秋马Ms7．6和Ms7．2地震前每一前兆异常事件进行综合评估,以每一异常的最可能发震时间来计算发震概率,利用各类地震前兆异常群体信息熵研究了系统熵值与地震的关系。分析了1988年11月6日澜沧－耿马Ms7．6和Ms7．2地震前这种信息熵变化的特点。地震前,出现了明显的减熵有序变化。     

地震监测中的电阻率层析技术

将电阻率层析技术应用于地震监测,由视电阻率值重建出介质的真电阻率图像,取得了较好效果.在宝坻台和昌黎台设立的两个试验点上于1998年4月14日ML5.0和ML4.4唐山两次地震前的6天左右层析图像出现了明显的异常变化:宝坻台的电阻率图像一改通常的在平稳背景上叠加小量随机变化的特点,出现了一种有序性特征的新图样;昌黎台也出现了反差加大、高低阻区集中分布的有序性特征.上述异常图样均在震后消失.层析图像在震前出现的熵值降低可能是这次地震活动的前兆.地层导电结构和孔隙度的变化,是引起电阻率异常的直接原因.研究表明,常规的单一极距的视电阻率测量之所以对真电阻率的变化不敏感且丧失空间分辨能力,是由于该物理量同时具有积分值和位函数这两个固有特征所决定的.在地震监测中,改造现行观测系统,引入层析成像,是发展技术的方向.     

Deterministic uncertainty in landscapes

Deterministic complexity (chaos) may be common in geomorphic systems, but traditional definitions may have limited practical utility for empirical geomorphology. These definitions are based on sensitivity to initial conditions, which in geomorphology are both unknown and unknowable. Further, chaos analysis depends on distinguishing deterministic complexity from stochastic complexity. This is problematic in geomorphology because some stochastic complexity is virtually always present in addition to any chaos that may be present. While it is important to recognize that some complex, apparently random patterns may derive from inherent non-linear system dynamics, this is of limited use in explaining process–response relationships or mechanics of landscape evolution. A more general term, which subsumes chaos, is deterministic uncertainty, i.e. uncertainty associated with an identifiable but unknown or uncertain source. An analysis of landscape entropy shows that such underlying constraints produce spatial patterns which are apparently chaotic. For the case of geologic controls, the apparent contribution of deterministic chaos to the landscape entropy is a direct non-linear function of the extent of geologic constraints. However, the underlying constraints and their contribution to observed spatial patterns can also be interpreted in non-chaotic terms. Examples are given, involving geologic constraints on stream channel networks and parent material control of surface soil textures. Because both randomness and chaos may be more apparent than real, the concept of deterministic uncertainty is more useful in process geomorphology than that of chaos.     

信息熵在地倾斜中的应用初探

本文把信息熵引入到地倾斜资料的分析中,在地震的前兆识别方面取得了初步成果。结果表明,这种方法对地震的短临预报有一定意义。     

Receiver function estimated by maximum entropy deconvolution

Maximum entropy deconvolution is presented to estimate receiver function, with the maximum entropy as the rule to determine auto-correlation and cross-correlation functions. The Toeplitz equation and Levinson algorithm are used to calculate the iterative formula of error-predicting filter, and receiver function is then estimated. During extrapolation, reflective coefficient is always less than I, which keeps maximum entropy deconvolution stable. The maximum entropy of the data outside window increases the resolution of receiver function. Both synthetic and real seismograms show that maximum entropy deconvolution is an effective method to measure receiver function in time-domain.     

沿海城市竞争力评价及资源环境约束分析

在借鉴国内外研究的基础上,建立了城市竞争力评价指标体系。通过熵值法和均方差决策法确定各指标权重,对我国14个沿海开放城市竞争力进行了评价。分析发现,各城市综合竞争力具有内部差异大、极化现象突出等特点。从城市竞争力要素层得分及其状况来看,各城市之间差异显著,而生态环境竞争力普遍偏低。从空间角度看,各城市竞争力水平大致形成了以中部上海为核心,南部广州、北部天津为两翼,连接各城市构成了一条倒"V"字型向东突出的城市竞争力发展格局。根据评价结果由高到低可将14个城市分为强竞争力、较强竞争力、一般竞争力、弱竞争力四大类。     

北京云蒙山浅色花岗岩脉及韧性剪切变形的地球化学特征

对云蒙山地区的花岗岩、糜棱岩化花岗岩及周围太古宙花岗片麻岩中的浅色花岗岩脉的主要及稀土元素地球化学研究结果表明：与未糜棱岩化花岗岩相比，浅色花岗岩脉具有较低的LREE和P2O5含量及（La／Gd）N比值，Sm／Nd比值较高，而剪切应变岩石的LREE相对富集；糜棱岩化花岗岩具有近平行于未糜棱岩化花岗岩的稀土元素配分模式；浅色花岗岩脉BH-2-5和BH-2-6具有和未糜棱岩化花岗岩相似的重稀土元素配分模式；浅色花岗岩脉BH-2-3的稀土元素配分模式和所有分析的样品都不一样，推断BH-2-3有可能是古老变质岩部分熔融的产物。在部分熔融过程中，诸如独居石这样的富含轻稀土元素的副矿物以残留体的形式出现，不参与部分熔融，导致BH-2-3具有很低的LREE和P2O5含量及高达0．4122的Sm／Nd比值。而其他两条浅色花岗岩脉有可能是云蒙山花岗岩后期岩浆分异的产物，随分异程度的增强和富含轻稀土元素的副矿物的分离结晶作用，导致最后岩浆的SiO2增高、LREE含量减少及Sm／Nd比值发生变化。     

Tropical cyclones and floods in Fiji

Abstract

Daily flow records, rainfall data and tropical cyclone maps during 1970–1998 are used to document the impact of tropical cyclones (TCs) on floods in the Rewa River system, Viti Levu, Fiji. Floods are large, brief, isolated events caused by TCs and non-TC tropical rainstorms. More floods are caused by tropical rainstorms than by TCs, but TC floods are larger. The log Pearson Type III distribution consistently provided the best fit to partial duration flood series and the widely-recommended generalized Pareto distribution performed very poorly, underscoring the need to test a variety of distributions for a particular geographic location. Tropical cyclones occur more often in Fiji during negative values of the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) and all TCs that occurred during El Niño conditions caused floods. Peak flood discharges caused by TCs are inversely correlated with the SOI, reflecting possible links with tropical cyclone frequency and precipitation intensity.