Incorporating rainfall intensity into daily rainfall records for simulating runoff and infiltration into soil profiles

Hydrological modelling often implies the use of rainfall data. Its quality and resolution directly affect the accuracy of the simulation results. This study illustrates that a simple approach of incorporating rainfall intensity information in daily rainfall records significantly improves the simulation of surface runoff and rainfall infiltration into soil profiles. The procedure is developed using a frequency analysis on rainfall data of the Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium, collected with a resolution of 10 min and for a consecutive period of 61 years. The frequency analysis of the data allowed the incorporation of rainfall intensity information into daily rainfall records. To test the effect of this approach the surface runoff and water flow into three different soil types was simulated using the HYDRUS‐1D model for a typical dry, normal and wet year. The simulation results whereby the observed 10‐min rainfall data was used as input were considered as the reference. Comparative analysis revealed that the simulations using the 10 min rainfall data deducted from the incorporation of rainfall intensity into daily rainfall records, deviate a maximum 1·2% from the reference and produce much better results than the Soil Conservation Service (SCS) runoff curve‐number method because rainfall intensity is considered in the procedure presented. The SCS curve‐number method typical overestimates surface runoff during periods of low rainfall intensity (winter) and underestimate runoff during periods of high rainfall intensities (summer). Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

历史地震考察中历史资料辨伪与查证

本文通过具体实例说明在查阅历史地震记载资料时应特别注意以下几个方面:(1)地震历史记载的辨别;(2)地震历史记载资料评价的应用;(3)无震历史记载的查证;(4)历史行政分区和地名考证的应用。在历史地震记载的真实性、可靠性确定之后,确定的地震参数才可信、可用。     

Effect of isolation on fragility curves of highway bridges based on simplified approach

The trend of isolating highway bridges is on the rise after the recent large earthquakes in Japan, the United States, and other countries. Recent investigation shows that isolated systems perform well against seismic forces as the substructures of such systems experience less lateral forces due to energy dissipation of the isolation device. Hence, it is anticipated that there might be an effect on fragility curves of highway bridges due to isolation. In this study, 30 isolated bridge models were considered (and they were designed according to the seismic design code of highway bridges in Japan) to have a wider range of the variation of structural parameters, e.g. pier heights, weights, and over-strength ratio of structures. Then, fragility curves were developed by following a simplified procedure using 250 strong motion records, which were selected from 5 earthquake events that occurred in Japan, the USA, and Taiwan. It is observed that the level of damage probability for the isolated system is less than that of the non-isolated one for a lower level of pier height. However, having the same over-strength ratio of the structures, the level of damage probability for the isolated system is found to be higher for a higher level of pier height compared to the one of the non-isolated system. The proposed simple approach may conveniently be used in constructing fragility curves for a class of isolated bridge structures in Japan that have similar characteristics.     

陕西省精细化预报评分系统

Web日志数据包括：客户端浏览器日志记录、网站服务器访问记录、代理服务器日志记录、用户注册信息等。Web日志挖掘分为：数据预处理、模式发现、模式分析三个阶段。本文意在讨论这三个阶段所遇到的问题和解决办法。     

Sea-salt aerosol transport patterns over the Northern Hemisphere inferred from two subarctic ice core records

Ice core records provide the most direct, detailedand complete measure of past climate change[1,2]. Gla-ciochemical records have been used to investigate thechanges in atmospheric circulation patterns overGreenland Ice Sheet and West Antarctic[3—6]. Mostrecently, major ion series developed from new suban-nual scale sampling of GISP2 ice core from centralGreenland are calibrated with instrumental series ofsea level pressure (SLP) provide proxy records of ma-jor marine (Icelandic Low) and…     

《江苏省地质资料管理办法》 立法目的、主要内容及实施途径

介绍了《江苏省地质资料管理办法》的起草目的和立法依据，该管理办法在国务院《地质资料管理条例》、国土资源部《地质资料管理条例实施办法》的基础上，明确、细化和延伸的具体内容，可解决具体实际问题及该管理办法的主要实施途径等。     

长白山天池火山公元1199—1200年大喷发历史记载的发现及其意义

长白山天池火山是世界著名的火山之一,是我国规模最大、最具有潜在喷发危险的一座近代活动火山。目前国内外许多火山学者为了研究天池火山最近一次大喷发年代问题,做了大量工作,并取得了较为精确的＾１４Ｃ年代资料,但地直未取得有关这次大喷发历史记载的证实。本文通过再次收集和查阅上千万字的文史古籍资料进行整理、筛选、考证和分析,首次发现了白头山天池火山于公元１１９９￣１２００年间一次特大喷发的历史记载。这对于长     

The use of varved clay chronology for dating paleoseismic events: the Erstavik record in the Stockholm area, south Sweden

Geological structures suggest that the Fennoscandian Shield was subjected to a higher seismicity at the end of the last glaciation than today. This article demonstrates the use of varved clay chronology for dating paleoseismic events. It is argued that the deposited annually layered glacial varves were sensitive to past ground movements. In the Stockholm area, the Erstavik varved clay chronology suggests four paleoseismic events: a first (I) dating from varve year 10,473 to 10,468 BP; a second (II) 10,451 to 10,445 BP; a third (III) 10,429 to 10,425 BP; and a fourth (IV) 10,409 to 10,404 BP. In De Geer's ‘old' (1940) chronology the first (I) dating corresponds with −1117 to −1112, the second (II) with −1095 to −1089, the third (III) with −1073 to −1069, and the fourth (IV) with −1053 to −1048. The most pronounced event was the one at around varve year 10,429 BP (varve −1073 in De Geer's ‘old' chronology). The recurrence time of about 20 years suggests a totally different seismic regime at the time of deglaciation than what exists today. It coincided with the period of maximum isostatic uplift. The complexity of the varved clay response to seismic events is also discussed.     

江汉平原近3000年来古洪水事件的沉积记录

洪水发生规律是洪灾预报的前提,已有的历史洪水记录时间尺度不足以认识和把握洪水的出现规律。因此,利用地质记录延长洪水时间序列,从地质记录中认识洪水的发生规律,显得非常重要和必要。江汉平原江陵地区的洪水地质记录表明,近3000年来,该区共发生了18次特大洪水漫滩事件。这些古洪水的频发与湿冷气候相对应。功率谱分析发现古洪水漫滩事件包含26、31、36、43、52、79、110年这样的周期。分析表明江陵地区古洪水发生的驱动因子可能是太阳活动。     

近300a来古里雅冰芯记录的气候突变事件

根据古里雅冰芯高分辨率气候环境信息记录,利用小波气候突变的检测方法,对近300a来的气候突变事件进行了检测.结果表明,在百年尺度上,近300a来古里雅冰芯中所记录的δ¹⁸O(温度代用指标)发生了2次突变,分别在1788年和1932年;净积累量(降水量的代用指标)也发生了2次突变,分别在1805年和1939年;降水突变发生的时间迟于温度突变发生的时间.时间尺度越短,发生突变的次数则越多,这也体现了气候变化的层次性.因此,较好地确定隐含在气候资料中冷暖(干湿)期突变的位置,从冷暖(干湿)期的变更上去把握气候变化,将有助于认识气候变化的机理.