Thresholds for post-wildfire debris flows: Insights from the Pinal Fire,Arizona, USA

Wildfire significantly alters the hydrologic properties of a burned area, leading to increases in overland flow, erosion, and the potential for runoff-generated debris flows. The initiation of debris flows in recently burned areas is well characterized by rainfall intensity-duration (ID) thresholds. However, there is currently a paucity of data quantifying the rainfall intensities required to trigger post-wildfire debris flows, which limits our understanding of how and why rainfall ID thresholds vary in different climatic and geologic settings. In this study, we monitored debris-flow activity following the Pinal Fire in central Arizona, which differs from both a climatic and hydrogeomorphic perspective from other regions in the western United States where ID thresholds for post-wildfire debris flows are well established, namely the Transverse Ranges of southern California. Since the peak rainfall intensity within a rainstorm may exceed the rainfall intensity required to trigger a debris flow, the development of robust rainfall ID thresholds requires knowledge of the timing of debris flows within rainstorms. Existing post-wildfire debris-flow studies in Arizona only constrain the peak rainfall intensity within debris-flow-producing storms, which may far exceed the intensity that actually triggered the observed debris flow. In this study, we used pressure transducers within five burned drainage basins to constrain the timing of debris flows within rainstorms. Rainfall ID thresholds derived here from triggering rainfall intensities are, on average, 22 mm h⁻¹ lower than ID thresholds derived under the assumption that the triggering intensity is equal to the maximum rainfall intensity recorded during a rainstorm. We then use a hydrologic model to demonstrate that the magnitude of the 15-min rainfall ID threshold at the Pinal Fire site is associated with the rainfall intensity required to exceed a recently proposed dimensionless discharge threshold for debris-flow initiation. Model results further suggest that previously observed differences in regional ID thresholds between Arizona and the San Gabriel Mountains of southern California may be attributed, in large part, to differences in the hydraulic properties of burned soils. © 2019 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

2010年上海世博会选址研究

根据2010年上海世博会对快捷高效的综合交通运输体系、优美的亲水环境、有效的危机管理系统、高标准的防灾体系等运营环境的基本要求,结合该市中心城区高昂的土地置换成本、高强度的交通流量压力、较弱的承灾能力等客观实际条件,文章提出了将世博会选址于上海临港新城的建议,认为这将有利于发挥临港新城的综合交通网络优势,彰显国际性港口城市的会展功能,形成城市化发展的多重社会经济效应,推动上海加快实施海洋开发战略等。     

Offshore wind capital cost estimation in the U.S. Outer Continental Shelf—A reference class approach

Offshore wind power developed rapidly in Northern Europe in the first decade of the 21st century and is expected to spread to Southern Europe, North America and Asia before 2020. To date, no projects have been built offshore North America because of the high development costs and economic risk and uncertain profitability. The purpose of this paper is to review the development cost of constructing offshore wind farms to inform the U.S. market. The capital expenditures of a reference class of 18 European wind farms constructed after 2005 with monopile foundations are normalized to proxy U.S. capital cost. Regression models are developed to investigate the physical features that influence expenditures. U.S. capital costs are expected to range between $4 and $5.6 million/MW for projects built between 2012 and 2015. Capital costs increase with increasing water depth and steel prices. For most farm components, capital expenditures are expected to be similar in Europe and the U.S., but the installation markets differ and this may impact the reliability of the reference class approach.     

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基于数字信号处理器的Linux网络远程实时监控系统的实现

针对现有市场上传统视频监控系统的不足,以及大部分数字信号处理器在控制和内存管理方面的局限性,设计了一个面向网络设备的嵌入式监控模型。该模型能最大限度的发挥数字信号处理器的性能,在单片数字信号处理器下,实现网络远程实时监控。首先对该监控系统的设计方案进行阐述;接着针对该系统模型的重点部分,数字信号处理器下的μCLinux操作系统移植,视频压缩模块和实时传输模块实现及优化进行了具体设计;最后对该模型的整体性能进行测试,证明该模型能满足网络远程实时监控系统的需要。     

水库大容量气枪震源激发条件优化实验研究

通过人工拾取震相,统计记录台站数、台站最远观测距离、接收能量等3个参数,自主研发了最优工况处理软件来研判工况激发效果,并确定棉花滩水库最优工况为水深25m,枪阵沉放深度9m,枪阵尺寸7m×7m。对定点300次激发的每10次累计叠加结果进行分析后发现,叠加1090次时激发效果快速增强,100150次时缓慢增强,160240次时快速增强,250300次时缓慢增强,即随着叠加次数的增加,激发效果增强,传播距离和记录台数也逐步增加。     

靖远矿区地震勘探中存在的问题浅析

通过总结靖远矿区近十年三维地震勘探经验,对该区施工投入的仪器及观测系统参数进行对比,指出该区前期地震勘探中存在的问题,如：块段施工及分块处理,造成相邻区块之间相邻线上波组特征变化大,解释自相矛盾,对比困难,甚至出现构造假象;某些地震剖面记录虽具有明显同相轴错断、上下盘断点清晰、落差大等逆断层特征,但后期采煤揭露仅为一褶曲,仅部分地段存在小断层;在向斜勘探区,因侧面波的影响,往往导致主测线与联络测线上反射波特征差异明显,特别是远离向斜轴的测线,在侧面波终止处,会出现断层特征,造成误判。针对上述问题,提出了应广泛应用高精度地震勘探,加强验证资料的总结与分析,进而提高勘探水平,为矿方提供更好服务的建议。     

Imaging spectroscopy in soil-water based site suitability assessment for artificial regeneration to Scots pine

In a humid northern boreal climate, the success rate of artificial regeneration to Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris L.) can be improved by including a soil water content (SWC) based assessment of site suitability in the reforestation planning process. This paper introduces an application of airborne visible-near-infrared imaging spectroscopic data to identify suitable subregions of forest compartments for the low SWC-tolerant Scots pine. The spatial patterns of understorey plant species communities, recorded by the AISA (Airborne Imaging Spectrometer for Applications) sensor, were demonstrated to be dependant on the underlying SWC. According to the nonmetric multidimensional scaling and correlation results twelve understorey species were found to be most abundant on sites with high soil SWCs. The abundance of bare soil, rocks and abundance of more than ten species indicated low soil SWCs. The spatial patterns of understorey are attributed to time-stability of the underlying SWC patterns. A supervised artificial neural network (radial basis functional link network, probabilistic neural network) approach was taken to classify AISA imaging spectrometer data with dielectric (as a measure volumetric SWC) ground referencing into regimes suitable and unsuitable for Scots pine. The accuracy assessment with receiver operating characteristics curves demonstrated a maximum of 74.1% area under the curve values which indicated moderate success of the NN modelling. The results signified the importance of the training set’s quality, adequate quantity (>2.43 points/ha) and NN algorithm selection over the NN algorithm training parameter optimization to perfection. This methodology for the analysis of site suitability of Scots pine can be recommended, especially when artificial regeneration of former mixed wood Norway spruce (Picea abies L. Karst) - downy birch (Betula pubenscens Ehrh.) stands is being considered, so that artificially regenerated areas to Scots pine can be optimized for forestry purposes.     

基于多尺度小波特征的高光谱影像亚像素目标识别

提出了一种基于多分辨率小波高频特征系数的高光谱遥感影像亚像素目标识别方法。首先利用多尺度小波变换将光谱信号分解为不同尺度的高频特征信号,然后借助接收操作特性曲线(ROC)和马氏距离投影寻踪求取一维最佳识别特征,最后通过高斯最大似然决策函数求解亚像素目标的存在概率。通过38种小波函数的高光谱数据实验证明,该方法对亚像素目标的识别效果较好。     

国外测绘机构大地测量的新动向

本文概述国外测绘机构大地测量的动向 ,目的在于了解全球大地测量的发展趋势 ,作为借鉴。综观各国的大地测量动向可以看出 ,高精度国家大地控制网的建立 ,都是采用 GPS,无一例外 ,而且它们之间只是细节上的差异。从各国建立高精度大地控制网的目的来看 ,都是为多学科服务的。面对这样的总趋势 ,大地测量工作者必须拓宽知识面 ,迎接新的挑战。