2021-04-16河北滦州MS4.3地震前的大气电场异常信号分析

中国科学院国家空间科学中心分布在天津市宝坻区和廊坊市永清县的2个观测台站在2021-04-16河北滦州M_S4.3地震前均观测到大气电场异常。宝坻站监测到过境云与地质活动混合型电场异常信号;永清站监测到湾型持续电场异常信号,属于典型的临震前小时尺度先兆信号,其幅度和持续时间均明显高于宝坻站的异常电场信号。对比电场异常期间2个台站的气象活动和空间天气活动发现,虽然2台站电场异常信号的表现方式不同,但背景变化中均隐含大型地质活动信号。分析结果表明,未来可通过分析多源活动导致的空间静电演变过程,形成有效的识别方法,在一定的气象活动范围内,从大气静电监测数据中提取中等以上强度地震的前兆信息。     

地震后水汽异常变化初探

研究东日本地震、汶川地震和玉树地震震中及其附近区域在地震前后的水汽时间序列变化。首先分析震中MODIS水汽序列和震中附近探空站点水汽序列在地震前后的变化;然后基于GNSS ZTD与水汽之间的高相关性,以GNSS ZTD代替GNSS水汽,讨论震源区周围IGS站点的ZTD序列变化。研究发现,震后震中及其附近区域水汽值变化出现异常,且距离越近所受影响越大;水汽不断聚积,达到峰值后发生降水。     

Seismicity re-evaluation of the northern Red Sea

The Aqaba subnetwork of five vertical short-period stations of the seismological observatory of King Saud University was installed in late 1986 along the eastern side of the Gulf of Aqaba, northern Red Sea. During the first six years (1986 August to 1992 July) of the subnetwork operation, 400 microearthquakes were detected. Of these, 93 events were recorded by most of the subnet stations and were located. Their epicentres lie in the northern part of the Red Sea between latitudes 25.5 N and 27.5 N and longitudes 33.5 E and 36 E along the axial depression of the Red Sea where the large intrusions (deeps) are located. Magnitudes of the locatable events ranged from 2.1 to 4.8. Two intensive swarms of about 200 microearthquakes occurred in February and June of 1992. The February swarm is the first intensive sequence observed in the surveying area since the establishment of the KSU network. Frequency-magnitude analysis of the recorded events for the period 1986-1992 yielded 3.543 for a and 0.658 for b . These relatively higher b values (0.658) are a good indication of the crustal heterogeneity under the spreading zone of the northern Red Sea. USGS and KSU data together show 3.41 for a and 0.49 for b . This study, together with historical data, confirms that the area is very seismically active and that the activity is mainly of swarm type, and may be attributed to the subsurface magmatic activity and spreading centres that are usually associated with strike-slip and normal faulting, respectively.     

雍家沟泥石流活动特征与堵江

自2008年汶川地震以来,四川省绵竹市清平乡雍家沟已暴发过多场泥石流,造成了严重的堵断公路和堵塞河流事件,其中,2012年“8·18”暴发的泥石流规模最大,造成绵远河全部堵塞.通过分析2010年“8·13”与2012年“8· 18”两场泥石流的降雨过程发现,雍家沟暴发泥石流的前期累积雨量在增加,激发雨强在降低.2008年汶川地震导致雍家沟的主沟和支沟内堆积了大量的松散固体物质.野外调查发现,雍家沟多次暴发泥石流的活动路径并不一致,其中,2012年“8· 18”泥石流主要沿1号支沟活动,沟道的侵蚀宽度随着与主沟沟口距离的增加而变窄,沟道内剩余堆积体厚度随着距离的增加呈现先增后减的规律,且沟道内的物质粒径分布具有随机性.对雍家沟在不同暴雨频率下暴发泥石流可能引起的堵江情况进行了分析,结果表明,在暴雨频率大于20％的情况下暴发泥石流便可造成堵江事件,甚至可将主河全部堵塞.     

大同—阳高Ms6.1地震前兆综合加权信息熵的变化

利用“地震预报计算机专家系统”的思想对大同 -阳高 Ms6 .1地震前每一前兆异常事件进行综合评估 ,以每一异常的最可能发震时间来计算发震概率 ,利用地震前兆综合加权信息熵研究了系统熵值与地震的关系。对华北地区的地震前兆综合加权信息熵研究表明 ,在大同 -阳高 Ms6 .1地震前 ,信息熵出现了明显的减熵有序变化     

麻城1932年6．0级地震区地球物理场与深部环境研究

研究了麻城地区重、磁异常场特征，经反演计算获得了深部结构特征。对重力布格异常利用Ｐａｒｋｅｒ－Ｏｌｄｅｎｂｕｒｇ快速位场反演方法计算出莫霍面的展布，对航磁异常利用对数功率谱法和矩谱法计算出居里面深度。在此基础上，探讨该震区深部蕴震条件。主要结论是：①麻城－团凤断裂带为该区切割较深的主要控震构造；②１９３２年麻城６．０级地震发生在区域重力异常等值线梯度最大处，磁力异常区两局部正异常间的低值带，莫霍面及居里面隆起区边缘；③发震部位有其特定的深部蕴震构造及应力蕴震条件。     

地球磁场对太阳风的加载响应与地震

地磁预报地震的方法越来越多,本文应用加卸载响应比方法,分析山西地区2009—2016年观测的加卸载响应比与山西地区4.0级地震之间的对应关系,初步给出适用于山西地区震例特征的磁异常判别指标。     

Application of horizontal-to-vertical (H/V) Fourier spectral ratio for analysis of site effect on rock (NEHRP-class B) sites in Taiwan

The frequency-dependent amplification for rock (NEHRP-class B) sites was studied using earthquake ground-motion database collected in Taiwan during implementation of the Taiwan Strong Motion Instrumentation Program. The database used includes several hundred records from earthquakes of M_L 4.0–7.3 occurred between 1993 and 2004. The characteristics of amplification were evaluated using the well-known technique of horizontal-to-vertical Fourier spectral ratio (H/V) of the S-wave phase [Lermo J, Chavez-Garcia FJ. Site effect evaluation using spectral ratios with only one station. Bull Seism Soc Am 1993;83:1574–94]. The study allows us to analyze peculiarities of rock sites amplification in Northern and Eastern Taiwan. It was suggested to divide the NEHRP-class B site amplification into four types based on frequency of maximum amplification and the shape of amplification function. The applicability of the technique was also checked for a few stiff and soft soil sites (NEHRP-classes D and E).     

武汉主城区液化潜能分区研究

搜集并整理武汉主城区地震安全性评价控制性钻孔SPT-N资料,配合武汉市地震动参数小区划成果,采用规范法对各场地土层在罕遇地震作用下液化可能性进行判别。以液化指数作为分区指标并结合各场地坐标,绘制武汉主城区液化潜能分区图。分区图初步预测了罕遇地震发生以后,可能发生液化的区域及其严重性,且表明无论是分布面积还是液化潜能,长江右岸均大于长江左岸。通过与4次历史大震液化资料的对比分析,武汉主城区可能液化场地具有地下水位埋深浅、液化土层分布范围广、埋藏深度大的特点。     

A relationship between solar activity and frequency of natural disasters in China

The relationship between the length of the solar cycle, a good indicator of long-term change in solar activity, and natural disasters (drought, flood, and strong earthquakes) in China during the last 108 years is analyzed. The results suggest that the length of solar cycle may be a useful indicator for drought/flood and strong earthquakes. When the solar activity strengthens, we see the length of the solar cycle shorten and more floods occur in South China and frequent strong earthquakes happen in the Tibetan Plateau,but the droughts in East China as well as the strong earthquakes in Taiwan and at the western boundary of China are very few. The opposite frequencies occur when the solar activity weakens. The current study indicates that the solar activity may play an important role in the climate extremes and behavior in the lithosphere.