汶川8.0级地震发震断层的累积地震位错研究

2008年5月12日,四川省汶川县内发生MS8.0地震。此次地震沿龙门山中央断裂产生1条长达200km的同震地表破裂带。文中选择位于地震地表破裂带北段的南坝镇、凤凰村以及南段的映秀镇这3个地点,以被断层错断的河流阶地为研究对象,对多级阶地面上的地震地表破裂及断层陡坎地貌进行了野外实测工作。经过测量数据的计算和分析,得到了各级阶地上断层陡坎的高度,该值即为该阶地记录的地震断层的累积垂直位错量。若以本次地震的垂直位错量作为古地震位错量的均值,则可计算得到每级阶地累积的地震次数。研究结果表明,各点T1阶地形成以来仅经历过1次事件,即本次地震事件;T2阶地形成以来约经历了5次事件;T3阶地形成以来约经历了9～11次事件;T4阶地形成以来约经历了20次事件。在本文研究的基础上,结合前人的阶地测年数据,则可获得古地震复发间隔的可靠数据     

竖波钢板组合剪力墙震损修复研究

钢板组合剪力墙在强震作用下受损严重,震损修复问题较为突出。现设计一片以方钢管作为边缘约束构件的竖波钢板组合剪力墙,在最大弹塑性层间位移角时的震损情况进行分析:竖波钢板组合剪力墙边缘约束方钢管刚度较大,与墙体不匹配,最终发生方钢管从地梁拔动的脆性破坏模式。对竖波钢板组合剪力墙进行震损修复,得到墙趾可更换竖波钢板组合剪力墙,然后进行拟静力试验。试验结果表明:（1）在震损后的竖波钢板组合剪力墙的墙趾处安装阻尼器,其抗震性能基本得到恢复。（2）修复后的竖波钢板组合剪力墙承载力较修复前降低了23%,但延性和耗能能力显著提升。（3）改变了竖波钢板组合剪力墙的破坏模式,由脆性破坏转化为延性破坏。借助有限元软件详细讨论了内嵌竖向波形钢板厚度和波角、轴压比、阻尼器腹板数量对修复后竖波钢板组合剪力墙抗剪承载力的影响,结果表明:改变内嵌竖向波形钢板厚度对试件抗剪承载力影响较大,而改变内嵌竖向波形钢板波角、轴压比和阻尼器腹板数量对试件抗剪承载力影响较小。结合有限元算例,提出修复后竖波钢板组合剪力墙抗剪承载力的计算公式,可为工程实际提供参考。     

东昆仑断裂带东段强震形势分析

围绕东昆仑断裂带强震构造背景及巴颜喀拉断块动力学环境,分析了1900年以来断块边界强震活动及强震周期性特征,探讨了东昆仑断裂带东段的强震危险性。     

地震动双规准速度反应谱研究

本文在统计了大量强震记录的基础上,分别研究了双规准加速度反应谱和双规准速度反应谱的特性,进行了对比分析,并分别得出了定量分析的结果。研究结果表明,双规准加速度反应谱在短周期段有很好的统一性,而双规准速度反应谱在长周期段的统一性较好,这种规律性对于认识地震动的特性、改进抗震设计反应谱具有重要的意义。     

漫湾水库蓄水前后库区地震活动性与构造应力场分析

对漫湾水库蓄水诱发地震作了分析，结果表明，蓄水后库区小震频次明显增加，近距离地震明显增多，在蓄水首次达到高水位和由高水位突降至低水位时，诱发了最强地震。表明蓄水对库区构造应力场产生了影响，使得局部应力场较区域构造应力场作用方向出现明显偏转，作用方式发生改变，呈现较大的垂直作用效应，节面错动出现较大正倾滑动分量。     

2008年10月5日新疆乌恰6.8级地震现场考察

2008年10月5日在新疆乌恰地区发生的M_S6.8地震,微观震中位于乌恰县境内,距边境18km,宏观震中位于吉尔吉斯斯坦共和国努拉村,距新疆乌恰县伊尔克什坦口岸西南约7km处,极震区烈度达到8度(境外).我国境内Ⅶ度和Ⅵ度区面积分别为7354km~2和1031km~2.这次地震的发生与南北向的卡兹特阿尔特弧形断裂带的活动有关.震区建筑物遭到一定程度的破坏,地质灾害现象较明显.     

福建及其周边地区地震活动人工神经网络模型的构建

本文通过对福建及其周边地区地震活动人工神经网络模型的构建,研究了人工神经网络方法在基于该区域地震活动性指标的地震分析预报中的应用。选用含一个中章层的前向神经网络模型,并采用与之相适应的ＢＰ算法,以该地区１９７１～１９９７年的地震活动性资料为基础,用神经网络进行实际计算、分析和检验。结果表明：神经网络模型对福建及其周边地区地震震级的预测检验效果较好的,可以在一定精度范围内使震级预测的内符率达１００％     

Earthquakes,catastrophic sediment additions and the response of urban stream communities

Disturbance events can regularly impact stream ecosystems; however, large-scale catastrophic disturbances are rare. From September 2010 to September 2011 Christchurch City experienced over 8500 earthquakes including a magnitude 7.1. One consequence was catastrophic additions of silt and sand into waterways throughout the city. Of 161 km of permanent waterways, 102 km (63%) were affected by earthquake siltation. Benthic invertebrates and fish communities were compared across 16 streams with differing siltation. Invertebrate taxonomic richness decreased significantly (mean 17 taxa reduced to 10 taxa) and EPT taxa (Ephemeroptera, Plecoptera and Trichoptera) were removed entirely from streams receiving heavy siltation. Fish richness and density decreased significantly, with fish absent from some heavily silted streams. Many of these urban streams are sourced from springs and their stable flows and low gradient limit their ability to flush sediment. We predict that without human intervention there will be a long-term sediment legacy and it may take many years for these streams to recover from this catastrophic disturbance.     

Developing an intermediate-complexity projection model for China's fisheries: A case study of small yellow croaker(Larimichthys polyactis) in the Haizhou Bay,China

Projection models are commonly used to evaluate the impacts of fishing. However, previously developed projection tools were not suitable for China's fisheries as they are either overly complex and data-demanding or too simple to reflect the realistic management measures. Herein, an intermediate-complexity projection model was developed that could adequately describe fish population dynamics and account for management measures including mesh size limits, summer closure, and spatial closure. A two-patch operating model was outlined for the projection model and applied to the heavily depleted but commercially important small yellow croaker(Larimichthys polyactis) fishery in the Haizhou Bay, China, as a case study. The model was calibrated to realistically capture the fisheries dynamics with hindcasting. Three simulation scenarios featuring different fishing intensities based on status quo and maximum sustainable yield(MSY) were proposed and evaluated with projections. Stochastic projections were additionally performed to investigate the influence of uncertainty associated with recruitment strengths and the implementation of control targets. It was found that fishing at FMSY level could effectively rebuild the depleted stock biomass, while the stock collapsed rapidly in the status quo scenario. Uncertainty in recruitment and implementation could result in variabilities in management effects; but they did not much alter the management effects of the FMSY scenario. These results indicate that the lack of science-based control targets in fishing mortality or catch limits has hindered the achievement of sustainable fisheries in China. Overall, the presented work highlights that the developed projection model can promote the understanding of the possible consequences of fishing under uncertainty and is applicable to other fisheries in China.