A numerical prediction model of strong thermocline in the Bohai and the Huanghai Seas

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Numerical sea ice prediction in China

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Research on Water-Taking Characteristics of Huanghua Power Plant Reach

In this paper the water-taking characteristics of the first,the second and the third stage of theHuanghua Power Plant are studied by numerical model and physical model.The results show that the pres-ent inlet channel only satisfies the supply need of the first stage of the power plant.If the riverbed of the in-let reach is properly dredged,the need of water supply for the third stage of the power plant could be met.     

Numerical Modeling on Suspended Sediment Transportation in the Hangzhou Bay

In this paper the characteristics of tidal flow and seasonal variation of seidment content in theHangzhou Bay and their affecting factors are studied.Field investigations and data analysis indicate thatthe sediment movement is mainly influenced by the Yangtze estuary and the sediment of the Yangtze estua-ry is induced by wind wave and tidal flow.Owing to the variation of dynamic conditions,the instanta-neous sediment content is controlled by tidal flow,wind wave,depth of water and tidal range synthetically.A sediment content relationship formula is established with related factors.A non-equilibrium2-dimensional numerical model of suspended sediment transportation is set up,and the finite element meth-od is applied.The computation results of the model is in accordance with field data.     

Numerical Simulation of Abnormal Wave Height Change Induced by Excavated Waterway with Boussinesq Equation

A nonlinear numerical model has been set up by use of Boussinesq Equation with finite differ-ence method,and has been applied to the simulation of the abnormal change of wave height induced by ex-cavated waterway.Numerical results demonstrate that the abnormal change of wave height is due to theadding of the reflected wave height induced by excavated waterway to the incident wave height.Becausethe angle between the incident wave and the axis of the waterway is smaller than the critical angle,the re-flected wave produced by the waterway may propagate to the breakwater and may be added with the inci-dent wave,then the abnormal change of wave height before the breakwater may be caused.So the wave re-flection caused by the change of water depth cannot be neglected.     

1997年日本短期降水数值预报效果的检验

对1997年青岛市降水分布进行了初步统计,并对日本数值预报产品在青岛市天气预报中的应用效果进行了检验分析。结果显示,晴雨和小雨预报在青岛市的短期降水预报中有较好的参考价值。     

Bubble growth in highly viscous melts: theory, experiments, and autoexplosivity of dome lavas

We examine the physics of growth of water bubbles in highly viscous melts. During the initial stages, diffusive mass transfer of water into the bubble keeps the internal pressure in the bubbles close to the initial pressure at nucleation. Growth is controlled by melt viscosity and supersaturation pressure and radial growth under constant pressure is approximately exponential. At later stages, internal pressure falls, radial growth decelerates and follows the square-root of time. At this stage it is controlled by diffusion. The time of transition between the two stages is controlled by the decompression, melt viscosity and the Peclet number of the system. The model closely fit experimental data of bubble growth in viscous melts with low water content. Close fit is also obtained for new experiments at high supersaturation, high Peclet numbers, and high, variable viscosity. Near surface, degassed, silicic melts are viscous enough, so that viscosity-controlled growth may last for very long times. Using the model, we demonstrate that bubbles which nucleate shortly before fragmentation cannot grow fast enough to be important during fragmentation. We suggest that tiny bubbles observed in melt pockets between large bubbles in pumice represent a second nucleation event shortly before or after fragmentation. The presence of such bubbles is an indicator of the conditions at fragmentation. The water content of lavas extruded at lava domes is a key factor in their evolution. Melts of low water content (<0.2 wt%) are too viscid and bubbles nucleated in them will not grow to an appreciable size. Bubbles may grow in melts with 0.4 wt% water. The internal pressure in such bubbles may be preserved for days and the energy stored in the bubbles may be important during the disintegration of dome rocks and the formation of pyroclastic flows.     

中期数值天气预报业务的回顾与展望

本文回顾了近年来国内外中期数值天气预报业务的新进展,简略地介绍了当今国外（以欧洲中期天气预报中心为主）和我国中期数值天气预报业务系统。最后对未来中期数值天气预报的发展作一展望,指出其未来发展的主要方向。     

Application of Numerical Models in Marine Pollution Research in China

Like many countries in the world, China is also facing serious problems of marine pollution in the coastal zone. The prevailing concern is eutrophication of the coastal water due to river inputs and, in some bays, also due to the over-expansion of aquaculture. As part of the marine pollution research activities in China, applications of mathematical models are also widely used, both to understand the present and to project the future. In this paper, selected Chinese works are reviewed, especially with respect to the effort in reducing the errors introduced in the numerical treatment of the water quality equation.     

一个考虑SST变化的月数值预报结果分析

根据陈隆勋等对海温月季变化研究的结果提出除了从冬到春的过渡月份外,ＳＳＴ距平的相邻月的月际变化不大。在此基础上,选了１９９６年６月并利用ＣＣＭ１动力气候模式作了月数值预报。在预报中,利用１９９６年６月１日００Ｚ中国国家气象中心Ｔ６４的客观分析资料作初值,利用１９９６年５月的ＳＳＴ距平加到６月气候ＳＳＴ作为６月的ＳＳＴ,作了一个月数值预报。结果表明,考虑了ＳＳＴ变化的数值预报优于用气候海温作的数值预报。前者的５００ｈＰａ高度场预报距平、８５０ｈＰａ纬向风预报距平、中国地区气温预报距平和降水预报距平分布均十分接近于实际观测分布。