Local Modeling模式及其在月径流预测中的应用

Local Modeling方法是一种动力系统预测方法，将其应用于河西内陆区黑河干流出山口莺落峡水文站月平均流量的中长期预测预报，取得了较为理想的成果。预测试验的结果表明，该预测模型有较高计算精度，尤其适用于非主汛期各月的月平均流量的预测；对于主汛期6～9月的月平均流量的预测，在考虑前期来水与预见期内降水的影响后，亦可获到较为理想的预测结果。可以认为，该方法的预报精度达到了水文情报预报规范的要求，Local Modeling方法的应用，将为西北干旱地区河川径流的中长期预报提供了一个新的途径。     

Landscape change and sandy desertification in arid areas: a case study in the Zhangye Region of Gansu Province, China

The Zhangye Region of Gansu Province is an important agricultural base in arid northwestern China. During the twentieth century, especially in the last five decades, the region has experienced sandy desertification. To document the status and causes of this deterioration, satellite images, meteorological and socioeconomic data to assess landscape change from 1993 to 2002 were interpreted and analyzed. The results show that during the intervening 9-year period the area of sandy lands has increased by 642.2 km², which consist of aeolian sand dune (357.1 km²) and potential sandy land (216.3 km²). Although the development and reversion of sandy desertification co-exist, the sandy desertification in this area seems serious and is attributable to the irrational use of water and land.     

滇西北保山核桃坪铅锌矿床成矿流体来源的同位素地球化学证据

滇西北核桃坪铅锌矿是保山地块内沿澜沧江断裂带发育的一个大型铅锌多金属矿床,矿体严格受近SN向的断裂带及层间破碎带控制,赋存于上寒武统核桃坪组和沙河厂组大理岩化灰岩及矽卡岩中。文章在分析矿床地质特征的基础上,通过对V1矿体的氢、氧、碳、硫、硅和铅同位素地球化学的示踪研究,探讨了成矿溶液中水、碳、硅、硫和铅的来源以及成矿流体的演化问题。研究表明,V1矿体中矿石的石英δ18O水值变化范围为6·1‰~7·6‰,平均为6·7‰,其δDV-SMOW值变化范围为-100‰~-108‰,平均为-104‰,说明成矿流体主要来自深部岩浆分异水,并在后期成矿作用过程中有地层建造水和大气降水的加入;矿石中方解石的δ13CV-PDB和δ18O水值分别为-6·6‰~-5·9‰和5·0‰~5·2‰,反映成矿流体的碳、氧具有深部流体与围岩发生交代反应的特征。硅、硫和铅同位素具深部岩浆或地幔来源的特点,但遭受后期壳源物质的混染。据此提出该矿床是与深部岩浆热液或幔源流体贯入有关的构造热液脉型矿床,其成矿作用受控于深部过程的驱动和控制,可为指导地质找矿提供依据。     

滇西北金沙江带中基性火山岩的地球化学特征

对滇西北金沙江带出露的东竹林火山岩、辉长岩和奔子栏、维西攀天阁、石鼓地区中基性火山岩进行了系统的主量元素、微量元素、Sr-Nd同位素的地球化学研究,并对东竹林辉长岩进行了Sm-Nd等时线年龄的测定,以探讨金沙江地区的大地构造背景及其演化.研究表明,金沙江带出露的从泥盆纪到三叠纪的火山岩形成于弧后盆地、初始裂谷和岛弧等各种不同的构造环境.研究为金沙江带构造演化的多次裂开,多次俯冲消减的多岛洋模式提供了新的证据.     

黔西北猫猫厂-榨子厂铅锌矿床深部找矿潜力分析

猫猫厂-榨子厂铅锌矿床位于黔西北铅锌矿集区中部,是矿集区内很具代表性的中型矿床。本文从成矿地质条件、矿化垂向变化、岩浆活动、地球物理以及与区内同类型代表性矿床对比等方面分析了矿区深部的找矿潜力。认为该区深部可能存在一定规模的原生铅锌矿体,具有较好的找矿前景。     

Sequence Stratigraphy of the Jurassic Coal Measures in Northwestern China

The sequence stratigraphy of the Jurassic coal measures of northwestern China has been studied based on data from outcrop and borehole sections. Because of the geological background and the diversity of basin types, such as isochronisms of coal seams and recognition of key sequence boundaries, it is rare to summarize and correlate sequence structure and framework. The types and recognition characteristics of the sequence boundaries of the Jurassic coal measures are revealed by comparing climatic characteristics, structural styles and the base level cycle. A total of five third-order sequences and 15 systems tracts have been subdivided and the sequence stratigraphic framework has been reconstructed confirming that the thick coals accumulated in the late stage of transgression system tracts of sequence I (SQ I) and sequence III (SQ III). This idea is of important academic significance for instructing coal resources exploration, and enhancing geological effects of prospecting engineering. It is also of practical significance for guaranteeing construction of the large-scale coal production base in northwestern China, accelerating the westward development of the coal industry stratagem.     

柴达木盆地西北古近系-新近系异常高压形成机制分析

柴达木盆地西北(以下简称“柴西北区”)古近系-新近系异常超压普遍存在。对超压的空间分布特征和形成机制的研究是评价该地区油气成藏条件与资源潜力的关键。依据柴西北区钻井实测压力数据及基于等效深度法计算的地层压力结果,对研究区异常高压的平面和剖面分布特征进行分析。在此基础上,结合柴西北区典型钻井泥岩声波时差曲线特征、不同时期沉积速率、各地层岩性特征、有机质生烃潜力及柴西北地区遭受的构造挤压作用,对研究区超压的形成机制进行分析,并对各控制要素在超压形成过程中的贡献进行定量评价。研究结果表明：柴西北区地层超压起始深度位于大约1 500 m,主要发育在古始新统路乐河组-中新统上干柴沟组内,总体上异常高压随深度加深逐渐增大。研究区超压的形成是多种因素综合作用的结果,其中欠压实作用、有机质生烃和构造挤压作用是该区超压形成演化的重要原因。对控制超压形成的各要素定量评价结果显示：欠压实作用是柴西北区超压形成的最重要控制因素,其贡献率高达60%;构造挤压作用次之,其贡献率在20%～30%左右;有机质生烃演化作用对超压形成也有影响,但贡献率相对较小。此外对柴西北区咸湖环境下的盐度分布特征研究初步表明,地层孔隙流体盐度和咸水半咸水环境下沉积的含盐塑性地层对超压的形成和保存也有一定的影响。     

湘西北海相含铀磷块岩中硒汞矿和晶质铀矿的发现及其地质意义

在扬子陆块东南缘湘西北武陵地区下寒武统牛蹄塘组海相黑色岩系下部鲕粒磷块岩中,首次发现了似纳米级的硒汞矿和晶质铀矿。通过电子探针化学成分测定和微区解剖,显示海相磷块岩中硒汞矿和晶质铀矿的产出状态、形态特征和占位特征。研究认为,同沉积期伴随火山热液喷出形成海相沉积鲕粒状磷块岩(鲕粒中包含球滴状硒汞矿),似纳米级硒汞矿在海相磷块岩中占位于鲕粒磷结核的内部和中心。其形成后期,海底热液作用持续,磷块岩经部分溶蚀、热液脱碳,在磷块岩的微裂隙中晶质铀矿、石英共沉淀析出。海相磷块岩中硒汞矿和晶质铀矿的发现和空间占位特征的研究,对探讨磷块岩中硒汞矿和晶质铀矿的形成与海底喷流(热水)沉积作用的发生方式和成因联系有启示意义,进一步佐证扬子陆块东缘陆缘裂陷喷气沉积是发生大规模铀成矿作用的机制。     

湘西北地区铅锌矿床成矿地质特征及矿床成因研究

湘西北铅锌矿带属于中国16个重点成矿区带之湘西-鄂西成矿带的南西段,区内成矿地质条件优越,形成保靖、洛塔、花垣渔塘、凤凰4个矿田。文章在野外考察和室内研究的基础上,以洛塔矿田中的下光荣、江家垭等铅锌矿床、花垣渔塘矿田中的李梅铅锌矿床为例,从地层、岩性、构造等分析入手,采用同位素测试、包裹体分析等手段,对湘西北铅锌矿带的成矿地质特征及成矿机制进行了探讨,认为区内成矿物质主要来源于寒武纪地层,成矿作用过程中,油田卤水在构造作用下的大规模运移、循环,导致了成矿物质的富集和沉淀,主要成矿时代为加里东期。     

Modeling impacts of vegetation in western China on the summer climate of northwestern China

Using the monthly NCEP-NCAR reanalysis dataset, the monthly temperature and precipitation at surface stations of China, and the MM5 model, we examine impacts of vegetation cover changes in western China on the interdecadal variability of the summer climate over northwestern China during the past 30 years. It is found that the summer atmospheric circulation, surface air temperature, and rainfall in the 1990s were different from those in the 1970s over northwestern China, with generally more rainfall and higher temperatures in the 1990s. Associated with these changes, an anomalous wave train appears in the lower troposphere at the midlatitudes of East Asia and the low-pressure system to the north of the Tibetan Plateau is weaker. Meanwhile, the South Asian high in the upper troposphere is also located more eastward. Numerical experiments show that change of vegetation cover in western China generally forces anomalous circulations and temperatures and rainfall over these regions. This consistency between the observations and simulations implies that the interdecadal variability of the summer climate over northwestern China between the 1990s and 1970s may result from a change of vegetation cover over western China.