地下水数值模拟不确定性分析研究进展

地下水数值模拟不确定性分析旨在提高研究区域地下水流的模拟精度。学者们将地下水数值模拟不确定性分析分为:模型的不确定性、参数的不确定性以及资料的不确定性三类,其中参数的不确定性分析在研究中是最为重要的。同时,对模型、参数、资料不确定性分析的研究进展和成果进行归纳总结,补充关于参数不确定性分析过程中的替代模型的一些研究成果以及模型不确定性分析的多模型分析;强调在地下水数值模拟的过程中,重视模型、资料的不确定性分析;展望未来,随着地下水数值模拟不确定性分析研究的深入,方法和应用会更加多样化。     

Estimation of daily space–time precipitation series for macroscale hydrological modelling

An important problem in modelling macroscale basins, especially for sparsely observed regions, is the lack of precipitation information. Alternatives to using straightforward interpolated surface observations include the utilization of more advanced interpolation techniques and the use of additional precipitation information from atmospheric models. Conventional and geostatistical methods are applied for optimal interpolation and assimilation of observed and model precipitation. Various time-series of daily areal precipitation distributions are produced and compared using not only an internal precipitation validation, but also an objective verification based on stream flow simulations. The Mackenzie River Basin in north-western Canada is used as the study area and hydrological simulations are carried out with the model SLURP. It was found that better interpolation techniques and the use of combined precipitation data can improve the hydrological simulations and that the enhancements are related to the relative size of the simulation units used. © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

不同破坏准则下水合物沉积物的统计损伤模型

利用连续介质损伤力学理论与概率统计方法,假设水合物沉积物微元强度服从Weibull分布,在现有室内三轴和直剪试验数据的基础上,考虑水合物饱和度的影响,分别建立了基于修正Mohr-Coulomb强度准则和修正Lade-Duncan强度准则的水合物沉积物统计损伤本构模型,并将理论模型预测结果与室内试验进行对比,验证了模型的有效性。结果显示：基于Lade-Duncan强度准则的损伤本构模型能够较准确地反映水合物沉积物峰前的应力?应变规律,而基于修正Mohr-Coulomb强度准则的损伤本构模型则对于模拟峰后的应变软化特征有较好的适用性。对于在低有效围压、不同水合物饱和度条件下的水合物沉积物,基于修正Mohr-Coulomb强度准则的损伤本构模型的模拟精确性要优于基于修正Lade-Duncan准则的损伤模型;而在同一饱和度、不同有效围压条件下,基于修正Lade-Duncan强度准则的损伤本构模型的模拟结果则要优于基于修正Mohr-Coulomb强度准则的损伤本构模型。     

基于Argo实测流场数据对5套海洋模式产品中赤道太平洋中层流的评估

本文以Argo轨迹资料计算的赤道太平洋中层流(1 000 m深度流场)作为实测数据,从空间结构特征和时间变化特征两方面对5套常用海洋模式产品(OFES、LICOM、HYCOM、ECCO2和SODA)进行了评估。Argo流场显示赤道太平洋中层流呈条带状结构,且存在明显的西强东弱和南强北弱特征。此外,赤道太平洋中层流存在明显的季节变化且其相位关于赤道对称。5套模式产品的评估结果表明,SODA流场与实测流场最接近,其时空变化特征都与实测流场基本一致;其次是ECCO2流场,除流场动能偏小以外,其他各方面都与实测流场一致;OFES、LICOM和HYCOM流场的模拟效果较差,但都能再现条带状结构特征。     

Tectonic subsidence history and thermal evolution of the Orange Basin

The Orange Basin offshore southwest Africa appears to represent a classical example of continental rifting and break up associated with large-scale, transient volcanism. The presence of lower crustal bodies of high seismic velocities indicates that large volumes of igneous crust formed as a consequence of lithospheric extension.     

Numerical simulation of flow around a circular cylinder close to a flat seabed at high Reynolds numbers using a k–ε model

High Reynolds number flows around a circular cylinder close to a flat seabed have been computed using a two-dimensional standard high Reynolds number k–ε turbulence model. The effects of gap to diameter ratio, Reynolds number and flat seabed roughness for a given boundary layer thickness of the inlet flow upstream of the cylinder have been investigated. Hydrodynamic quantities and the resulting bedload transport have been predicted, and the vortex shedding mechanisms have been investigated. Predictions of hydrodynamic quantities around a cylinder located far away from the bed (so that the effect of the bed is negligible) are in satisfactory agreement with published experimental data and numerical results obtained for the flow around an isolated cylinder. Results for lower Reynolds number flows have also been computed for comparison with the high Reynolds number flow results. Overall it appears that the present approach is suitable for design purposes at high Reynolds numbers which are present near the seabed in the real ocean.     

Study on Model Tests and Hydrodynamic Force Models for Free Spanning Submarine Pipelines Subjected to Earthquakes

A test rig is built to model the dynamic response of submarine pipelines with an underwater shaking table in the State Key Laboratory of Coastal and Offshore Engineering, Dalian University of Technology, China. Model tests are carried out to consider the effects of exciting wave directions and types. Based on the experimental results, two hydrodynamic force models derived from Morison equation and Wake model are presented respectively. By use of hydrodynamic force models suitable for free spanning submarine pipelines under earthquakes, discretized equations of motion are obtained and finite element models are established to analyze dynamic response of free spanning submarine pipeline subjected to multi-support seismic excitations. The comparison of numerical results with experimental results shows that the improved Morison and Wake hydrodynamic force models could satisfactorily predict dynamic response on the free spanning submarine pipelines subjected to earthquakes.     

Wave interactions with multiple-row curtainwall-pile breakwaters

In this study, a mathematical model has been developed that can compute various hydrodynamic characteristics of a multiple-row curtainwall-pile breakwater. To examine the validity of the developed model, laboratory experiments have been conducted for double- and triple-row breakwaters with various combinations of drafts of curtain walls, porosities between piles, and distances between rows. Comparisons between measurement and prediction show that the mathematical model adequately reproduces most of the important features of the experimental results. As a whole, the transmission coefficient decreases with an increase in relative water depth, whereas the reflection coefficient, normalized run-up and force exhibit an opposite trend in their variations. With fixed values of the draft of the curtain wall and the porosity of lower perforated part of the first row of a double-row breakwater, as these values of the second row increase and decrease, respectively, the transmission coefficient decreases, as expected. On the other hand, their effects on wave reflection, run-up, and wave force change with the relative depth. As for the distance between the rows, the transmission coefficient becomes a maximum when it is about one half of the wave length, suggesting that this condition should be avoided to achieve the advantage of the breakwater in reducing wave transmission. It is shown that for prototype breakwaters, on an average, the transmission coefficient would be smaller than 0.3 for wave periods less than 6.0 s, and it would be about 0.45 even for the wave period of 9.0 s, although there would be a variation depending on the geometry of the breakwater. It is also shown that wave transmission is significantly reduced by multiple-row breakwaters compared with a single-row breakwater, while the difference between double-row and triple-row breakwaters is marginal. Finally, engineering monograms are provided for double-row breakwaters to be used in practical engineering applications of the breakwaters.     

Towards an Integrated Model of Interoperability for Spatial Data Infrastructures

Although there is a vast literature available on interoperability models, and their respective interoperability levels, limited research has been carried out on the development of interoperability models for the implementation of Spatial Data Infrastructures. This article demonstrates the important role of metadata elements in the formalisation of interoperability models for the implementation of Spatial Data Infrastructures. It describes an approach for designing an integrated interoperability model based on the definition of a common template that integrates seven interoperability levels. They are: technical, syntactic, semantic, pragmatic, dynamic, conceptual and organisational levels. A non-hierarchical structure is proposed to ensure the relationship among these interoperability levels.