Landslide susceptibility zonation method based on C5.0 decision tree and K-means cluster algorithms to improve the efficiency of risk management

Machine learning algorithms are an important measure with which to perform landslide susceptibility assessments,but most studies use GIS-based classification methods to conduct susceptibility zonation.This study presents a machine learning approach based on the C5.0 decision tree(DT)model and the K-means cluster algorithm to produce a regional landslide susceptibility map.Yanchang County,a typical landslide-prone area located in northwestern China,was taken as the area of interest to introduce the proposed application procedure.A landslide inventory containing 82 landslides was prepared and subse-quently randomly partitioned into two subsets:training data(70％landslide pixels)and validation data(30％landslide pixels).Fourteen landslide influencing factors were considered in the input dataset and were used to calculate the landslide occurrence probability based on the C5.0 decision tree model.Susceptibility zonation was implemented according to the cut-off values calculated by the K-means clus-ter algorithm.The validation results of the model performance analysis showed that the AUC(area under the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve)of the proposed model was the highest,reaching 0.88,compared with traditional models(support vector machine(SVM)=0.85,Bayesian network(BN)=0.81,frequency ratio(FR)=0.75,weight of evidence(WOE)=0.76).The landslide frequency ratio and fre-quency density of the high susceptibility zones were 6.76/km2 and 0.88/km2,respectively,which were much higher than those of the low susceptibility zones.The top 20％interval of landslide occurrence probability contained 89％of the historical landslides but only accounted for 10.3％of the total area.Our results indicate that the distribution of high susceptibility zones was more focused without contain-ing more"stable"pixels.Therefore,the obtained susceptibility map is suitable for application to landslide risk management practices.     

中国户外运动网站信息流对人流生成的导引机制分析--以乐游户外运动俱乐部网站为例

本文以乐游户外运动俱乐部网站为案例,探讨中小型“自我依托”户外运动俱乐部网站信息流对人流生成的导引作用问题,认为这种作用经过网站访问者的信息获取、知识转化、认知与决定的过程而发生,经过网站交流媒介的信息、集聚、交流和组织四种平台而完成。本文也初步确定与信息流对人流生成的导引作用相关的决策影响要素,认为计划、资金、会员以及赞助商和媒体4种要素对俱乐部网站的良好运行能起到决定性作用。通过将网站使用者作为出发点来研究虚拟一现实组织特征,也能发现许多信息社会人文地理学发展的问题。     

旅游型城市公共空间特征及场所营造指向研究——以甘南藏族自治州夏河县为例

近年来,随着城镇化和旅游业的快速发展,加速了夏河县城市公共空间的更新建设,但也带来场所精神蜕变、识别性降低等一系列问题。在对夏河县进行社会调查、路网拓扑建模的基础上,采用模糊综合评价法、空间句法、核密度分析等方法对场所空间品质、空间活力进行系统地探析,进而对场所单元、丛拉商业文化场所等5处公共场所组团提出了具体的营建策略,并提出场所系统的营造应从构筑系统化的场所、坚持多组团多策略的营造原则、从多主体进行场所营造、营造高通达性的场所、以热点场所单元策动场所组团和场所系统的营造等视角出发营造一个高品质、高活力的场所系统。同时,期望能够为旅游型城市公共空间的场所营造提供一套可借鉴的公共空间评价方法和营造策略     

水文孔成井阶段的洗井方法和适用条件

水文孔施工中洗井是管井成井工艺中的一个主要环节,各种洗井方法都有它的优点和一定的应用条件,其工作效果与含水层的类型、地下水压力、钻进泥浆的指标、井管材质、井身结构、以及井深浅程序有着密切的关系。要提高洗井效率,只有结合具体情况,选择合适的方法才能取得较好的洗井效果。     

新形势下土地利用规划编制信息系统设计思路

针对上一轮规划存在的问题,提出了新形势下开发土地利用规划编制信息系统的必要性和设计思路,尤其把环境影响评价引入规划编制的过程中,为土地优化配置、合理利用土地提供了决策依据。     

Mapping of moraine dammed glacial lakes and assessment of their areal changes in the central and eastern Himalayas using satellite data

The relatively rapid recession of glaciers in the Himalayas and formation of moraine dammed glacial lakes(MDGLs) in the recent past have increased the risk of glacier lake outburst floods(GLOF) in the countries of Nepal and Bhutan and in the mountainous territory of Sikkim in India. As a product of climate change and global warming, such a risk has not only raised the level of threats to the habitation and infrastructure of the region, but has also contributed to the worsening of the balance of the unique ecosystem that exists in this domain that sustains several of the highest mountain peaks of the world. This study attempts to present an up to date mapping of the MDGLs in the central and eastern Himalayan regions using remote sensing data, with an objective to analyse their surface area variations with time from 1990 through 2015, disaggregated over six episodes. The study also includes the evaluation for susceptibility of MDGLs to GLOF with the least criteria decision analysis(LCDA). Forty two major MDGLs, each having a lake surface area greater than 0.2 km2, that were identified in the Himalayan ranges of Nepal, Bhutan, and Sikkim, have been categorized according to their surface area expansion rates in space and time. The lakes have been identified as located within the elevation range of 3800 m and6800 m above mean sea level(a msl). With a total surface area of 37.9 km2, these MDGLs as a whole were observed to have expanded by an astonishing 43.6% in area over the 25 year period of this study. A factor is introduced to numerically sort the lakes in terms of their relative yearly expansion rates, based on their interpretation of their surface area extents from satellite imageries. Verification of predicted GLOF events in the past using this factor with the limited field data as reported in literature indicates that the present analysis may be considered a sufficiently reliable and rapid technique for assessing the potential bursting susceptibility of the MDGLs. The analysis also indicates that, as of now, there are eight MDGLs in the region which appear to be in highly vulnerable states and have high chances in causing potential GLOF events anytime in the recent future.     

MapGIS支持下辽宁省地质专题地图制作研究

在MapGIS软件平台支持下对专题地图制作进行研究,以辽宁省地质专题地图为底图,对其进行专题地图制作,包括对栅格地图的配准校正,数据库的设计建立、矢量化、符号化等一系列的制图工作,通过一些制图方法来完成地质专题地图的制作与研究。     

财政局地理信息系统的设计与实现

本文分析了当前财政局管理信息系统存在的问题,提出将地理信息系统技术、网络技术、数据库技术运用到财政管理中,建立财政局地理信息系统;文章重点研究了财政局地理信息系统的结构及功能,并结合北京市财政局地理信息系统开发实例,阐述了财政局地理信息系统的核心功能和系统实现方法。     

Developing a building policy for the erosion zone: Solutions to some key (Dutch) questions

In those coastal communities where the most seaward strip of mainland consists of dunes, these dunes often serve as a flexible sea defence. In addition, this strip offers large potential for housing and commercial enterprises. Unfortunately, due to severe storm surges part of this strip (the erosion zone) is subject to erosion, and as a result of which any buildings or infrastructure located here, are destroyed. Therefore, as we will illustrate in this paper, a building policy for this zone should reflect a compromise between two opposite interests: exploitation of the existing potential and, prevention of an unacceptable high risk due to erosion. Accordingly, the authors have developed a framework for such a building policy on the basis of which the desirability of various different types of investments and the location within the erosion zone of such investments can be determined. The examples that are used to illustrate this framework in this paper are limited to experiences in The Netherlands as relevant data and experiences are available and relatively easy accessible here. Nevertheless, the approach as is described is generic and applicable worldwide suggesting that the discovered unused potential for exploitation is not just limited to The Netherlands.     

测绘生产项目人力资源管理系统的开发

地理信息数据加工生产行业在项目管理的方式和方法上,存在着先进的生产力与不先进的管理方式相矛盾的问题.如何解决人力资源与生产项目的高效结合,使劳动力分配效能在项目管理中实现最大化,是一个无法回避和必须解决的课题.本文基于地理信息数据生产项目管理的实际应用,介绍系统的设计思想、技术路线、系统功能以及数据库的设计.随着本系统的不断推广和应用,一定能为地理信息数据加工生产行业的项目人力资源管理开拓新的模式,并为项目管理者提供有效的决策支持.