承德地震前兆台网数据跟踪分析

简要介绍承德地震前兆台网2014—2017年数据跟踪分析工作,对常见典型干扰事件进行分类统计,分析影响制约承德前兆台网观测数据质量的主要因素,为进一步提高数据分析能力与观测资料质量提供有效的技术参考及应对措施。     

沙尘暴天气数值预报系统及其预报效果检验

沙尘暴天气数值预报系统包括区域大气模式、陆面过程模式、风沙模式(包括风蚀、输送和沉降模式)和地理信息系统。用该系统对2002年3月20日和4月7日2次沙尘天气进行了预报试验,利用地面观测资料和卫星观测资料对模式输出的主要沙尘天气预报产品进行了对比分析。分析结果认为,沙尘暴天气数值预报系统对沙通量、尘通量和垂直积分质量有很好的预报能力,但仍需改进陆面参数和沙尘气溶胶的初始值。     

集合数值天气预报的研究进展

集合预报是目前国外广泛应用的一种新的数值预报技术,国内由于计算条件的限制,集合预报的研究应用起步较晚,目前虽已取得了一些研究成果,但还没有广泛的应用到实际的业务预报之中。集合预报的应用,在天气预报上主要是概率预报,另外在“目标观测”、资料同化等方面也有广泛应用。集合概率预报的一系列适用的验证,增加了概率预报的信度。     

墨西哥西马德雷山脉中—新生代构造、岩浆演化及成矿特征

墨西哥西马德雷山脉是白垩纪—新生代岩浆活动和构造运动形成的。中新生代岩浆活动可以分为5个主要阶段:侏罗纪—早白垩世、晚白垩世—古新世、始新世—渐新世、中新世早期和中新世中期—现代。这些岩浆活动和构造运动与法拉隆(Farallon)板块向北美大陆俯冲和加利福尼亚湾打开相关。墨西哥中新生代的成矿作用与东太平洋板块边缘连续的俯冲过程密切相关,矿床类型多样,包括VMS(与火山相关的块状硫化物)型、斑岩型、IOCG(铁氧化物铜金)型、矽卡岩型等。     

皖南谭山岩体的锆石定年及地质意义

皖南地区广泛分布燕山期岩浆岩,但其年代学方面的工作较为薄弱。为厘定该地区燕山期岩浆岩年代学格架,本文利用LA-ICP-MS锆石U-Pb定年方法对皖南谭山岩体的正长花岗岩进行了锆石U-Pb年代学研究,两个样品的206Pb/238U加权平均年龄分别为128．5±1．7Ma和128．3±1．5Ma,基本一致,为早白垩世岩浆活动的产物。结合本地区高精度年代学数据,皖南地区中生代岩浆岩可划分为三个峰期：第一峰期为142～139Ma;第二峰期为133～130Ma;第三峰期为128～125Ma。     

The magmatic activity mechanism of the fossil spreading center in the Southwest sub-basin,South China Sea

Petrogeochemical data indicate that after the end of seafloor spreading,residual magmatic activity still exists in the deep basin of the South China Sea.By using different viscous structure models beneath the fossil spreading center of the Southwest sub-basin we simulated the amount of melt produced,the length of the melting period,and the thermal evolution process in terms of geothermics and the buoyant decompression melting mechanism.We compared the results of our model with observed heat flow,seismic,and petrogeochemistry data.The results show that depletion buoyancy induced by buoyant decompression melting plays an important role in the melting process,while retention buoyancy,thermal buoyancy,and viscous shear force have only a weak influence on the melting process.From the length of the melting period,we determined that for the three viscous structures models the magmatic activity lasted about 5,12,and 15 Ma.Under the effect of buoyant depression melting,local high-temperature areas will develop under the basin,which can explain the low-velocity layer detected by seismic exploration in the middle and upper lithosphere of the Southwest sub-basin.We also simulated the possible lithology distribution beneath the fossil spreading center with the physical conditions of different viscous structure,different temperature structure,and different melting fraction,which provided a greater understanding of the rock petrogeochemical data of the deep sea basin in the South China Sea.     

Mesozoic tectono-magmatic activities in South China:Retrospect and prospect

The South China Block was formed through the collisional orogeny between the Cathaysia Block and the Yangtze Block in the Early Neoproterozoic.The northern,western and southern sides of the South China Block were affected by disappearance of the Paleo-Tethyan Ocean during the Paleozoic.The southern and northern sides of the South China Block were respectively collided with the Indo-China Block and North China Block in the latest Paleozoic to form the basic framework of the Eastern China.The Eastern China has been affected by the westward subduction of the Pacific Plate since the Mesozoic.Therefore,the South China Block was influenced by the three major tectonic systems,leading to a superposed compound tectonics.The comparative study of the Mesozoic geology between the South China Block and its surrounding areas suggests that although the Mesozoic South China Block was adjacent to the subduction zone of the western Pacific,no juvenile arc-type crust has been found in the eastern margin.The main Mesozoic geology in South China is characterized by reworking of ancient continental margins to intracontinental tectonics,lacking oceanic arc basalts and continental arc andesites.Therefore,a key to understanding of the Mesozoic geology in South China is to determine the temporal-spatial distribution and tectonic evolution of Mesozoic magmatic rocks in this region.This paper presents a review on the tectonic evolution of the South China Block through summarizing the magmatic rock records from the compressional to extensional tectonic process with the transition at the three juncture zones and using the deformation and geophysic data from the deep part of the South China continental lithosphere.Our attempt is to promote the study of South China’s geology and to make it as a typical target for development of plate tectonic theory.     

近年影响桂林的台风暴雨动力热力特征及日本数值预报产品检验

对近年造成桂林台风暴雨的大中尺度环流背景形势作了分析,着重对比分析了尤特和黄蜂台风暴雨的热力、动力特征,对比结果表明:高空槽云系与台风倒槽云系叠加造成的暴雨远比单纯的台风环流造成的暴雨严重,说明中低纬天气系统的相互作用能造成暴雨的增幅。同时检验了日本数值预报产品对台风暴雨预报能力,结果表明:日本数值预报产品对台风环流本身造成暴雨有较好预报能力。     

T213数值预报产品在2003年宁夏首场透雨天气过程中的应用分析

2003年5月5～6日,宁夏出现了入春以来第一场透雨天气过程,本文利用常规天气资料和T213数值预报产品,对此次降水天气过程从主要影响系统和T213数值预报有关物理量预报场等方面进行分析发现,T213对我区降水有很好的预报能力和指示意义,并随着预报时效的缩短,其可信度在不断提高。     

盆地深部穹隆构造发育特征、成因机制及石油地质意义——以塔里木盆地顺北地区为例

塔里木盆地顺北地区奥陶系碳酸盐岩中广泛发育穹隆构造.为研究盆地深部穹隆构造的发育特征、成因机制及石油地质意义,基于顺北地区高精度三维地震资料,对穹隆构造开展几何学定量解析,确定其空间分布规律及内部结构样式;结合区域构造背景及盆内构造发育特征,明确其成因机制;在此基础上,结合生产动态数据探讨穹隆构造的控储—控藏作用.研究...