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11.
Predicting average annual groundwater levels from climatic variables: an empirical model 总被引:8,自引:0,他引:8
On the basis of one-dimensional theoretical water flow model, we demonstrate that the groundwater level variation follows a pattern similar to recharge fluctuation, with a time delay that depends on the characteristics of aquifer, recharge pattern as well as the distance between the recharge and observation locations. On the basis of a water budget model and the groundwater flow model, we propose an empirical model that links climatic variables to groundwater level. The empirical model is tested using a partial data set from historical records of water levels from more than 80 wells in a monitoring network for the carbonate rock aquifer, southern Manitoba, Canada. The testing results show that the predicted groundwater levels are very close to the observed ones in most cases. The overall average correlation coefficient between the predicted and observed water levels is 0.92. This proposed empirical statistical model could be used to predict variations in groundwater level in response to different climate scenarios in a climate change impact assessment. 相似文献
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Natural Resources Research - Exploration ventures in frontier areas have high risks. Before committing to them, firms prepare regional resource assessments to evaluate the potential payoffs. With... 相似文献
15.
Ken Durham 《Natural Hazards》2003,30(2):251-261
Cairns is exposed to the well-known natural hazards oftropical cyclone, flood, stormsurge and thunderstorm, but is also exposed to thelesser-known hazards of landslip, earthquake and dam break flooding. Recommendations fortreating the risks associated with these hazards have been made that will involve amulti-disciplinary approach to treatment strategies, require the cooperation of allthree levels of government, involve public utility authorities and private enterprise andinvolve the community as a whole.This paper summarises the suggested mitigation treatmentoptions, presented to the Cairns City Council and identified in the LocalGovernment Disaster Mitigation Project conducted in Cairns in 1999/2000 by theQueensland Department of Emergency Services. 相似文献
16.
Quantifying Storm Tide Risk in Cairns 总被引:6,自引:5,他引:6
Ken Granger 《Natural Hazards》2003,30(2):165-185
The United Nations International Decade for Natural Disaster Reduction (IDNDR)gave rise to an increasing level of attention to the risks posed by a range of naturalhazards and the development of strategies by which to reduce those risks. It waswidely recognised that in order to evaluate risk treatment strategies it was necessaryto `measure' the level of risk that already existed and the level of risk that would beencountered with the treatment strategy(s) in place.This paper outlines the methodology developed under the AGSO (now GeoscienceAustralia) Cities Project to quantify the risk associated with storm tide inundation. It includes the methodology for `measuring' the level of community exposure to storm tide hazards and the methodology for `measuring' community vulnerability. The Far North Queensland city of Cairns is used as the case study to demonstrate the application of these methods. 相似文献
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Application of discovery process models in estimating petroleum resources at the play level in China
Discovery process modeling has gained wide acceptance in the Chinese exploration community. In recent years, a variety of
discovery process models have been applied to the prediction of undiscovered petroleum resources at the play level in sedimentary
basins in China. However, challenging problems have been encountered, particularly when one method alone has been applied
to small plays in nonmarine sedimentary basins or in plays with an unusual order of discovery wells. This paper presents results
gotten by using the lognormal discovery process model of the Geological Survey of Canada and the geoanchored method for three
petroleum plays in basins with different geologic settings. Although the predicted shapes of the parentsize distributions
which use these two models, were not always similar, the expected values of the total resources and the number of fields (pools)
to be discovered are comparable. The combined use of two discovery process models in the same play compensates for the weaknesses
in one method compared with the other and vice versa. Thus, more reliable estimates are the result. 相似文献
19.
介绍了安阳电厂冷却塔碎石桩复合地基静载、动力触探、瑞利波法系列原位试验。根据试验结果,对冷却塔地基加固与改良效果及施工质量进行了评价。 相似文献
20.
坡地系统土壤侵蚀定量评价方法 总被引:6,自引:0,他引:6
区域性土壤侵蚀的定量评在涉及到泥沙输移的非连续性难题和众多的非确定性因素,目前应用较普遍的小区定量难以适用。所提出的定量评价方法是利用GIS技术、模糊数学、将以分布参数为特征的区域坡地系统划分成若干类具有集中参数特征的基本侵蚀单元,结合USLE方程来模拟空间上不同侵蚀背景条件下土壤侵蚀的强度,并可以确定影响土壤侵蚀的主要因子及其排序,该方法适用性强,可用于不同空间尺度的土壤侵蚀定量评价。 相似文献