目的地居民旅游感知态度研究——以丹江口水库南部东岸及南岸为例

目的地居民对旅游业的感知态度因旅游发展阶段不同而不同。以丹江口水库南部东岸及南岸——南水北调中线工程渠首核心区为研究区域,通过构建居民潜在旅游影响感知评价指标体系,采用实地调查和统计分析方法,分析了研究区居民对潜在旅游影响的一般感知态度,并就居民社会人口统计学特征与潜在旅游影响感知的内在关系进行了探索,揭示了不同居民群体对研究区旅游开发潜在影响的感知态度差异,为研究区旅游业可持续发展提供科学依据。     

陡坡密集点云双重滤波方法研究

用地形三维激光扫描仪监测陡坡表面的细微变化,关键技术之一是对原始点云的精确滤波,即从密集点云中准确滤除非地形点,保留真实地形点。针对地势陡峭、表面复杂、植被多、密度分布极不均匀的陡坡点云,笔者发展了一种双重滤波方法:在对原始点云进行投影面变换的基础上,采用变窗口均值限差法滤除明显的非地形点,完成粗滤波;通过局部区域增长法找出绝大多数地形点,以占优势的地形点为参考,用局部最小二乘曲面拟合法对剩余未分类数据点进行检核,分离出非地形点,完成精滤波。文中选用3个不同类型的陡坡点云实例验证了该方法对于陡坡密集点云具有良好的滤波效果。该算法对野外大场景三维激光扫描点云滤波也有一定的参考价值。     

基于局部相关分析法的ETM+影像修复方法研究

Landsat-7上搭载的专题扫描仪(ETM+)上的扫描行校正器(SLC)在2003年发生故障,导致影像出现坏行,丢失了约25%的数据。由于数据本身仍保持了良好的辐射和几何特性,且同一区域不同时相影像上坏行出现的位置具有随机性,使得使用同一区域不同时相的ETM+影像进行交叉修复成为可能。该文在总结现有修复方法的基础上,提出了一种采用相近时相、相同位置影像对ETM+影像进行修复的方法。首先利用两景影像中的准不变特征点(PIFs),以待修复影像为目标,对待填充影像进行相对辐射校正,消除不同时相影像间由于大气状况等外源差异导致的像元亮度值差异。然后运用局部相关分析法对待填充影像进行变换:构建一种同时考虑光谱距离和空间距离的权重系数,根据邻近光谱相似点在两个时相上的变化量对待填充影像进行变换。实验证明,该方法修复效果优于传统的局部回归法。     

An RBF‐based model with an information processor for forecasting hourly reservoir inflow during typhoons

Inflow forecasting is essential for decision making on reservoir operation during typhoons. In this paper, a radial basis function (RBF)‐based model with an information processor is proposed for more accurate forecasts of hourly reservoir inflow. Firstly, based on the multilayer perceptron neural (MLP) network, an information processor is developed to pre‐process the typhoon information (namely, typhoon characteristics and rainfall) and to produce forecasts of rainfall. The forecasted rainfall and the observed inflow are then used as input to the RBF‐based model, which is a nonlinear function approximator, to produce forecasts of hourly inflow. For parameter estimation of the RBF‐based model, the fully‐supervised learning algorithm is used. Actual applications of the proposed model are performed to yield 1‐ to 6‐h ahead forecasts of inflow. To assess the improvement due to the use of the typhoon information processor, models without the typhoon information processor are constructed and compared with the proposed model. The results show that the proposed model performs the best and is capable of providing improved forecasts of hourly inflow, especially for long lead‐time. In conclusion, the proposed model with a typhoon information processor can extract useful information from typhoon characteristics and rainfall, and consequently improve the forecasting performance. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Hydroclimatic influence of large‐scale circulation on the variability of reservoir inflow

In this study, the nature of basin‐scale hydroclimatic association for Indian subcontinent is investigated. It is found that, the large‐scale circulation information from Indian Ocean is also equally important in addition to the El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO), owing to the geographical location of Indian subcontinent. The hydroclimatic association of the variation of monsoon inflow into the Hirakud reservoir in India is investigated using ENSO and EQUatorial INdian Ocean Oscillation (EQUINOO, the atmospheric part of Indian Ocean Dipole mode) as the large‐scale circulation information from tropical Pacific Ocean and Indian Ocean regions respectively. Individual associations of ENSO & EQUINOO indices with inflow into Hirakud reservoir are also assessed and found to be weak. However, the association of inflows into Hirakud reservoir with the composite index (CI) of ENSO and EQUINOO is quite strong. Thus, the large‐scale circulation information from Indian Ocean is also important apart form the ENSO. The potential of the combined information of ENSO and EQUINOO for predicting the inflows during monsoon is also investigated with promising results. The results of this study will be helpful to water resources managers due to fact that the nature of monsoon inflow is becoming available as an early prediction. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Adaptive finite element analysis of mode I fracture in cement‐based materials

Microscopic studies using advanced experimental techniques have provided better insight into the fracture mechanisms in cement‐based materials. A clear understanding of fracture mechanisms is critical for the development of rigorous computational models for analysing fracture. Fracture analysis is usually carried out by finite element method. Accuracy of FE analysis depends upon the choice of mesh and for the predictions to be reliable, discretization errors are to be minimized. In cohesive crack approach, the non‐linearity is limited to the boundary conditions along the geometric discontinuity while the bulk of the material retains its elastic nature. The paper presents a mesh‐adaptive strategy based on ZZ error estimator to model discrete crack propagation in cement‐based materials. Examples of simulations have demonstrated the potential of the mesh‐adaptive technique in modelling the evolution of the localized strain profiles as well as failure of concrete test specimen. Copyright © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

井下、地表地震计记录波形对比——以松原地震台为例

分析了相邻井下、地表地震计记录的背景噪声及近震、远震波形特征,以及相关的振幅谱及近震、远震接收函数波形特征。结果表明,井下地震计记录的背景噪声比地表地震计小1个数量级,其近震、远震波形记录较清晰、简洁;井下、地表地震计记录的远震振幅谱和径向接收函数具有较好的一致性,但背景噪声、近震振幅谱、近震接收函数、远震切向接收函数波形存在一定差异;由地表地震计得到的近震震级比井下地震计的大0.12,地表地震计到井下地震计之间的P波速度约为2 km/s。     

Geometry of obstacle marks at instream boulders—integration of laboratory investigations and field observations

Obstacle marks are instream bedforms, typically composed of an upstream frontal scour hole and a downstream sediment accumulation in the vicinity of an obstacle. Local scouring at infrastructure (e.g. bridge piers) is a well-studied phenomenon in hydraulic engineering, while less attention is given to the time-dependent evolution of frontal scour holes at instream boulders and their geometric relations (depth to width, and length ratio). Furthermore, a comparison between laboratory studies and field observations is rare. Therefore, the morphodynamic importance of such scour features to fluvial sediment transport and morphological change is largely unknown. In this study, obstacle marks at boulder-like obstructions were physically modelled in 30 unscaled process-focused flume experiments (runtime per experiment ≥ 5760 min) at a range of flows (subcritical, clear-water conditions, emergent and submerged water levels) and boundary conditions designed to represent the field setting (i.e. obstacle tilting, and limited thickness of the alluvial layer). Additionally, geometries of scour holes at 90 in-situ boulders (diameter ≥ 1 m) located in a 50-km segment of the Colorado River in Marble Canyon (AZ) were measured from a 1 m-resolution digital elevation model. Flume experiments reveal similar evolution of local scouring, irrespective of hydraulic conditions, controlled by the scour incision, whereas the thickness of the alluvial layer and obstacle tilting into the evolving frontal scour hole limit incision. Three temporal evolution phases—(1) rapid incision, (2) decreasing incision, and (3) scour widening—are identified based on statistical analysis of spatiotemporal bed elevation time series. A quantitative model is presented that mechanistically predicts enlargement in local scour length and width based on (1) scour depth, (2) the inclination of scour slopes, and (3) the planform area of the frontal scour hole bottom. The comparison of field observations and laboratory results demonstrates scale invariance of geometry, which implies similitude of processes and form rather than equifinality.     

局地海陆热力对比对南海夏季风爆发影响的数值试验

使用P-σ区域气候模式，通过两组海温异常下的数值试验和2个理想试验来初步探讨南海与中南半岛局地海陆热力对比对南海夏季风爆发的影响。结果表明：冬春季南海海温增暖使南海高低空均呈现出有利于季风环流形成的形势，促进南海夏季风的爆发；冬春季南海海温变冷的作用则基本相反。南海地区局地海陆热力对比是南海夏季风爆发的可能原因之一，这种局地的海陆热力差异叠加在大尺度的海陆热力差异作用之上，对南海季风在南海地区突发性爆发特征的形成起了一定的促进作用。