用局部强度折减法进行边坡稳定性分析

边坡的变形与其稳定性具有内在的必然联系,因而可以通过变形场来对边坡的稳定性进行判断。传统的强度折减法基于理想弹塑性模型对所有单元进行强度折减,所求解出来的变形场并不能很好地反映出边坡失稳时的真实变形。实际上,边坡的失稳是由于局部土体的强度降低所致的,因此提出只对局部土体单元进行强度折减、其他土体单元保持原有强度不变的局部强度折减法,本构模型采用变模量弹塑性模型。工程实例计算分析表明,基于变模量弹塑性模型的局部强度折减法对边坡进行稳定性分析是可行的。     

中国南部夏季季风降水水汽来源的稳定同位素证据

Summer monsoons （South Asian monsoon, South China Sea monsoon and Subtropical monsoon） are prominent features of summertime climate over southern China. Dif- ferent monsoons carry different inflow moisture into China and control the temporal and spatial distributions of precipitation. Analyses of meteorological data, particularly wind, tempera- ture and pressure anomalies are traditional methods of characterizing moisture sources and transport patterns. Here, we try to utilize the evidence from stable isotopes signatures to trace summer monsoons over southern China. Based on seven CHNIP （Chinese Network of Iso- topes in Precipitation） observatory stations located in southern China, monthly composite precipitation samples have been collected and analyzed for the composition of δ^18O during July, 2005. The results indicated that the spatial distributions of δ^18O in precipitation could properly portray the moisture sources together with their transport pathways. Moreover, the amount effect, altitude effect, temperature effect and the correlation between δ^18O vs. relative humidity were discussed.     

考虑散射效应沉积河谷空间相关多点地震动模拟

提出了一种考虑地震波散射效应的沉积河谷空间相关多点地震动模拟方法。基于弹性波传播理论,采用合理功率谱、相干函数和传递函数模型,借助原型谱表示法得到沉积河谷空间相关多点地震动,并验证了方法的可行性。其中,传递函数应用动力边界元法计算,可在很宽的频带内精细模拟沉积河谷中波型转换及聚焦效应。针对常见V型河谷开展了计算模拟,结果表明,河谷地形及松软沉积层对地震波传播具有显著影响,河谷地表地震动空间差异性十分显著,一维模型难以考虑地震波的散射及聚焦效应,从而会明显低估沉积内部部分区域的地震动峰值加速度。沉积河谷中大跨结构抗震设计宜采用考虑地震波散射效应的空间相关多点地震动输入。     

河口生态需水研究进展

针对陆海交互作用下河口生态需水影响因素多且时空差异性显著的特点,在系统分析淡水输入对河口生态系统水环境过程和生物过程影响的基础上,按生态需水目标的差异,将河口生态需水分析方法划分为基于典型生物资源保护目标、基于生境保护目标以及基于多目标整合分析3种类型。从生态需水目标筛选、生态需水目标对淡水输入响应关系以及生态需水计算方法实用性方面探讨了河口生态需水研究中面临的主要问题。结论认为生态系统健康综合表征指标的确定应成为分析河口生态需水的关键科学基础,筛选控制性生态要素构建河口关键生态水文过程模型可成为有效提高生态需水计算方法实用性的主要技术手段。     

参与式的地方可持续发展规划行动方案设计

本文主要研究了如何编制一个相对实用而完美的地方可持续发展规划的行动方案。具体内容由三大部分组成：一是地方可持续发展行动方案的基本框架,包括具体行动计划的目标设计、行动主体的确定和具体的实施内容等;二是针对行动目标,分析了不同的行动主体,如政府、公众、企业、非政府组织等团体和个人的职责和义务,以及各自应该实施的工作;三是为了使行动方案能圆满实施,提出了如何建设地方可持续发展行动的保障体系和能力建设。     

地方发展与地方形象设计初探

本文从地方形象概念分析入手，探讨了地方发展与地方形象设计的关系，地方发展过程中的形象特征及形象形成途径，提出了地方形象设计的基本思路，包括地方形象设计的原则、形象战略的协调、形象可视化因子的塑造及形象工程建设等。为地方发展的规划与管理提供一条全新的思路。     

ESP: a tool to estimate scale parameter for multiresolution image segmentation of remotely sensed data

The spatial resolution of imaging sensors has increased dramatically in recent years, and so too have the challenges associated with extracting meaningful information from their data products. Object-based image analysis (OBIA) is gaining rapid popularity in remote sensing science as a means of bridging very high spatial resolution (VHSR) imagery and GIS. Multiscalar image segmentation is a fundamental step in OBIA, yet there is currently no tool available to objectively guide the selection of appropriate scales for segmentation. We present a technique for estimating the scale parameter in image segmentation of remotely sensed data with Definiens Developer®. The degree of heterogeneity within an image-object is controlled by a subjective measure called the ‘scale parameter’, as implemented in the mentioned software. We propose a tool, called estimation of scale parameter (ESP), that builds on the idea of local variance (LV) of object heterogeneity within a scene. The ESP tool iteratively generates image-objects at multiple scale levels in a bottom-up approach and calculates the LV for each scale. Variation in heterogeneity is explored by evaluating LV plotted against the corresponding scale. The thresholds in rates of change of LV (ROC-LV) indicate the scale levels at which the image can be segmented in the most appropriate manner, relative to the data properties at the scene level. Our tests on different types of imagery indicated fast processing times and accurate results. The simple yet robust ESP tool enables fast and objective parametrization when performing image segmentation and holds great potential for OBIA applications.     

Assessment of greenhouse gas emissions from agricultural sources in order to plan for needs of low carbon economy at local level in Poland

Agriculture is often not included in the baseline greenhouse gas (GHG) emission inventories created for local low carbon economy plans in Poland and other European countries. We therefore estimate the size of the carbon footprint from agricultural sources and indicate the share of agriculture in the total GHG emissions in selected Polish communes (LAU level 2). We propose a solution whereby local government units can estimate their carbon footprint independently and monitor the impact of actions taken to reduce emissions. The value of the carbon footprint from agriculture in the selected communes varies from .5 to 46.5 thousand Mg CO₂eq/year, with a mean value of 12.6 thousand Mg CO₂eq/year and a standard deviation of 11.4 thousand Mg CO₂eq/year. Per capita, these values range from 10 kg CO₂eq/year to 8.4 Mg CO₂eq/year, with a mean of 1.1 Mg CO₂eq/year and a standard deviation of 1.5 Mg CO₂eq/year. In all communes, the contribution of agriculture to total emissions is at an average of 14% (values range from .2 to 57.4%). The obtained results confirm the appropriateness of including emissions from the agricultural sector and other related sources in low carbon economy plans.     

地方集群网络、信息溢出效应与中国ICT产品出口地理网络扩张

研究中国ICT产品的出口贸易扩张有助于理解"全球-地方"互动视角下国际贸易与国内产业地理的相互作用。本文构建地方集群网络和信息溢出效应促进产品出口扩张的机制分析框架,利用2000—2016年中国海关库数据,探究中国ICT产品出口地理网络扩张机制。研究发现:(1)中国ICT产品出口源地从沿海地区向内陆地区扩张,出口目的地扩张重点在不同时间段存在差异。(2)中东部省份出口到东亚和北美、西部省份出口到北美和西欧的贸易扩张较为显著。(3)面板Probit模型分析表明,地方集群网络和信息溢出效应能够增加出口源地-目的地层面ICT产品出口额,提升出口专业化程度。     

后台阶下游床面冲刷过程数值模拟研究

以床面瞬时剪应力作为泥沙起动及输运的水动力机制,建立了结构物周围复杂流场下床面局部冲刷的数学模型。并应用大涡模拟方法对后台阶下游三维湍流流动进行数值模拟,得到台阶下游床面瞬时剪应力的分布规律。为了确定床面瞬时剪应力与泥沙上扬通量的关系,先应用数学模型对不同模型参数下,冲刷开始后5分钟时台阶下游床面形状进行试算。通过试算与实验结果的比较,确定床面瞬时剪应力与泥沙上扬通量关系中需要的模型参数。进一步对冲刷开始后30分钟内台阶下游床面演化规律进行模拟,模拟结果与实验结果相符合。