Compared performance of a conceptual and a mechanistic hydrologic models of a green roof

In order to investigate the hydrologic response of a green roof system within the urban environment, a monitoring campaign is carried out at the green roof site of the University of Genova (Italy). Experimental data confirm that the green roof is able to significantly mitigate the generation of runoff with median values of retained volume and peak reduction, respectively, equal to 94 and 98%. A conceptual linear reservoir and a simple mechanistic (Hydrus‐1D) models are implemented to simulate the hydrologic behaviour of the system; each model is calibrated and validated based on experimental data collected at the green roof site. The hydrographs simulated with both hydrologic models reproduce with acceptable matching capabilities the experimental measurements, as confirmed by the Nash‐Sutcliffe Efficiency index generally greater than 0·60. Although the relative percentage differences evaluated for the selected hydrograph variables (the total effluent volume, the peak flow rate and the hydrograph centroid) demonstrate that the mechanistic model is more accurate, prediction errors of the conceptual model are generally limited when compared with the observed hydrologic performance. Results of the present comparison are useful in supporting conceptual model selection in case the hydrologic response is addressed for hydrologic performance assessment. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

线性Radon变换噪音压制法及其在古龙断陷中的应用

针对松辽盆地北部古龙断陷地震资料信噪比低、线性干扰强特点,提出应用线性Radon变换进行叠前线性噪音压制的预处理方法,Radon变换可在炮集和CMP道集上进行运算,算法简单,易于编程实现,其积分路径的特点适合线性噪音压制.模拟数据和实际地震资料应用结果表明,线性Radon变换法能够实现保幅的线性噪音压制,是叠前提高地震资料信噪比的实用方法,在地震资料预处理中具有应用前景.     

线性抽样及分形理论在景观异质性研究中的应用

景观异质性是景观生态学研究的核心,对景观格局、动态和功能具有决定作用。将线性抽样与分形理论相结合的方法应用于景观空间异质性的表达中,相比于传统方法,可以定量表达景观类型在空间序列中的组合规律,而该组合规律可以作为指标来测度景观空间异质性的高低。景观类型在空间序列中的组合越复杂,则景观的空间异质性越高。该方法以景观类型空间序列的线形图像为基础,利用分形理论计算线形图像的分维,以分维数值的大小来表达景观空间异质性的高低。但样线的布设方法、分维计算方法以及景观分类系统的不同都会对分维数值产生影响。以妫水河流域为试验区,对该方法的适用性进行验证,结果表明,该方法可以有效表达景观空间异质性的高低。     

红河流域气温和蒸发量时空变化分析

使用研究区44个气象站1960-2000年的逐月20cm蒸发皿蒸发量、气温的实测资料,分析了红河流域气温和蒸发量的时空变化特征。结果表明：（1）红河流域年均气温呈上升的趋势,1960-2000年间年均气温上升了约0．52℃;其中20世纪60年代和70年代气温变化不大,80年代和90年代急剧上升;季节上以夏季上升趋势最为显著,气候倾向率为0．14℃／10a。（2）红河流域年均蒸发量呈下降的趋势,40年间下降了约45．52mm;其中60年代和70年代相差不大,80年代急剧下降,到90年代有所上升;季节上以春季和夏季下降趋势显著,气候倾向率分别为-1.63mm／10a和-7．63mm／10a。（3）年均气温和蒸发量变化的趋势具有明显的空间分布差异。全流域气温的气候倾向率在-0．21℃／10a-0．35℃／10a,主要的增温区域分布在李仙江和藤条江地区。蒸发量的气候倾向率在-48mm／10a～11mm／10a,蒸发量明显减少区域主要分布在李仙江下游的江城、元江流域的楚雄、元阳、河口和盘龙河流域的文山地区。     

The trend on runoff variations in the Lhasa River Basin

Taking the Lhasa River Basin above Lhasa hydrological station in Tibetan Plateau as a study area, the characteristics of the annual and monthly mean runoff during 1956?2003 were analyzed, based on the hydro-data of the two hydrological stations (Lhasa and Tanggya) and the meteorological data of the three meteorological stations (Damxung, Lhasa and Tanggya). The trends and the change points of runoff and climate from 1956 to 2003 were detected using the nonparametric Mann-Kendall test and Pettitt-Mann-Whitney change-point statistics. The correlations between runoff and climate change were analyzed using multiple linear regression. The major results could be summarized as follows: (1) The annual mean runoff during the last 50 years is characterized by a great fluctuation and a positive trend with two change points (around 1970 and the early 1980s), after which the runoff tended to in-crease and was increasing intensively in the last 20 years. Besides, the monthly mean runoff with a positive trend is centralized in winter half-year (November to April) and some other months (May, July and September). (2) The trends of the climate change in the study area are generally consistent with the trend of the runoff, but the leading climate factors which aroused the runoff variation are distinct. Precipitation is the dominant factor influencing the annual and monthly mean runoff in summer half year, while temperature is the primary factor in winter season.     

上海市商务办公楼租金差异及其影响因素

上海房地产市场在国家房产新政下出现了较大的转折,商务办公楼市场升温。本文从总体上分析了上海部分区域商务办公楼的平均租金差异,并选择商务办公楼比较集中的南京路、延安路和淮海路三条线路作为典型调查区段,共采集24个样本区域、66幢甲级商务办公楼、492个具体样本资料,运用多元线性回归分析方法,揭示了上海市商务办公楼租金差异与地理区位、服务设施、交通条件、平均层数、平均停车位及绿化景观6个影响因子的相互作用关系。回归分析结果表明:服务设施和停车位是影响上海市商务办公楼租金差异的主要因子;其次为绿化景观、地理区位和交通条件;而平均层数的影响甚微。最后针对上海商务办公楼多中心化趋势,就有关问题进行了分析和讨论。     

中国西部局地蒸发水汽贡献率探讨

利用降水、湖水同位素数据并结合相关模型,对我国西部地区的二次蒸发效应以及不同类型水汽对区域降水的贡献率进行了定量的讨论,研究得到以下结论：①夏季风期间,天山-阿勒泰地区所受到的二次蒸发效应较为明显;而青藏高原地区,水体蒸发水汽的向上补给则是影响该区域在全年任何时段下氢氧同位素值发生变化的主要因素.②天山-阿勒泰地区在全年任何时段下均存在二次蒸发效应,且夏季风时的作用程度明显强烈,蒸发比值介于13%~20%,均值为16.7%,远远大于冬季风时的均值4.3%.③青藏高原地区不论是在夏季风还是冬季风期间,上风向水汽对区域降水的贡献率最大,所占比重基本大于50%,贡献率最小的是水体蒸发产生的水汽,其值普遍小于10%;而蒸腾作用产生水汽的贡献率介于两者之间.     

“蒸发悖论”在黑河流域的探讨

利用黑河流域12个气象站点1960-2010年的气象资料,运用FAO Penman-Monteith模型计算潜在蒸散量,采用旋转经验正交函数、Mann-Kendall检验等方法系统分析了过去51 a间潜在蒸散量及气温的变化趋势,重点对"蒸发悖论"在黑河流域的规律进行分析.结果表明:根据潜在蒸散量的旋转经验正交函数分区结果,黑河流域可以划分为4个子区."蒸发悖论"仅于1960-1993年存在于黑河流域河西走廊区(Ⅱ区、Ⅲ区);其它各区无"蒸发悖论".1994-2010年由于潜在蒸散量的显著上升,河西走廊区"蒸发悖论"消失.1993年是黑河流域潜在蒸散量变化趋势的一个转折点,1994-2010年黑河流域的潜在蒸散量表现为统计显著的上升趋势.风速的变化是影响黑河流域河西走廊区"蒸发悖论"出现和消失的重要因素.