基于变形信息分解的大坝变形趋势判断及预测研究

在分离大坝变形数据信息的基础上,利用重标极差法实现大坝变形趋势判断,然后利用优化极限学习机及混沌理论实现大坝变形预测。重标极差分析表明,大坝变形始终具有正向持续性,但其程度具有减弱趋势。在变形预测过程中,模型参数的递进优化不仅能提高预测精度,还能有效提高其稳定性,预测模型的相对误差均值均小于2%,验证了本文预测思路的有效性。大坝变形趋势判断及预测结果一致性较好,均认为大坝变形仍会进一步增加,但增加幅度相对较小,趋向于稳定发展。     

Fish Assemblage Responses to a Low-head Dam Removal in the Lancang River

Dam removal is becoming an effective approach for aquatic biodiversity restoration in damming river in order to balance the aquatic ecosystem conservation with large-scale cascade damming. However, the effects of dam removal on fish communities in Asian mountainous rivers, which are dominated by Cypriniformes fishes, are still not well known. To determine whether dam removal on a mountainous river benefit restoration of fish diversity, we investigated the response of fish assemblage to dam removal using a before-after-control-impact design in two tributaries of the Lancang River(dam removal river: the Jidu River, and control river: the Fengdian River). Fish surveys were conducted one year prior to dam removal(2012) and three years(2013–2015) following dam removal. We observed rapidly and notably spatio-temporal changes in fish biodiversity metrics and assemblage structure, occurring in the Jidu River within the first year after dam removal. Overall, fish species richness, density and Shannon-Wiener diversity all increased immediately in above-and below-dam sites, and maintained a stable level in subsequent years, compared to unchanged situation in the control river. All sites in the Jidu River experienced shifts in fish composition after dam removal, with the greatest temporal changes occurred in sites below-and above-the former dam, resulting in a temporal homogenization tendency in the dam removed river. These findings suggest that dam removal can benefit the recovery of habitat conditions and fish community in Asian mountainous rivers, but the results should be further evaluated when apply to other dammed rivers since the dam age, fluvial geomorphology and situation of source populations could all affect the responses of fish assemblages.     

Discrete modelling of time‐dependent rockfill behaviour

This modelling study deals with the time‐dependent behaviour of rockfill media, which is of particular interest during the life of rockfill dams. Breakage of rock blocks and crack propagation are the main processes responsible for rockfill creep and collapse. The modelling procedure presented here is performed on two scales: on the rock block scale, where the grain is taken to be an assembly of rigid particles initially endowed with cohesive bonds, and on the rockfill scale, which is taken to involve a set of breakable grains interacting via contact and friction processes. The grain breakage process is described in term of a thermodynamically consistent damage interface model, where the damage is a gradual delayed process. This model was implemented in a non‐smooth contact dynamics code. The effects of the main parameters involved were analysed by performing numerical studies. The ability of the model to predict the creep behaviour of rockfill media is confirmed by presenting several simulations. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

泥石流防治工程设计的若干问题初探

本文以南靖县帮科泥石流防治工程设计工作为例,选取了影响该泥石流形成的10项因子,利用模糊数学综合评判法对该泥石流危险程度进行了评价,为福建省泥石流预测预报及防治提供了定量的数学分析方法,有利于福建省科学防灾工作的进一步开展。此外,本文还对帮科泥石流防治工程中拦挡坝的设计方法进行了初步探讨,明确提出设计中坝体的稳定性演算可以简化为抗滑稳定演算等三个注意事项,并针对福建省的气候、土壤条件,提供了泥石流生物治理措施中的几种优势树种及其基本种植方案。相信本文对福建省其他泥石流防治工程设计具有借鉴意义。     

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MICROHABITAT DISTRIBUTION OF METAZOAN PARASITES ON GILLS OF SILURUS ASOTUS IN JIANGKOU RESERVOIR, JIANGXI PROVINCE, CHINA

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基于位移强度概念分析大坝变形规律

为改变以单个监测点为研究对象分析大坝变形规律的方法,提出位移强度概念,并以此作为分类标准,借鉴决策树算法,根据大坝所有监测点的坐标建立模型,计算并分析大坝在某一方向上的整体变形规律。     

考虑时变影响的拱坝坝肩空间变形场预测

坝肩变形是拱坝坝肩稳定状态的综合反映,在运行期呈小变形变化,监测点测值在空间上具有连续性,同时影响拱坝坝肩变形的各种因素具有时变性。通过融合统计回归和多层递阶方法的特点,建立了反映变形场空间和时变特性的空间时变分析模型。实例分析表明,该模型实用有效,预测精度高。考虑时变影响可以提高拱坝坝肩空间变形场的预测能力,对监控拱坝坝肩的实际工作状况有重要意义。     

基于数据融合理论的某坝段地下水宏观动态研究

在证明了采用误差均方差最小意义下,多传感器数据融合的效果优于利用任一单个传感器进行估计的效果,采用决策级融合方法,将其应用于某坝9坝段地下水宏观动态分析。经分析知：该坝段在2003～2004年为地下水宏观动态的相对突变时期,自2004年以后,坝基地下水宏观动态与库水之间的相关程度又趋于相对的稳定时期,表明该坝段坝基帷幕体的防渗性能至少出现了局部的衰减、且具有阶段性变化的特点;就分析时段而言,2003～2004年间为帷幕体防渗性能明显衰减时期,而2004年以后为其相对稳定时期。     

基于逐步回归分析的大坝变形分析模型研究

主要介绍对逐步回归分析模型的原理和基本步骤,结合大坝工程实例进行分析。引入了库水位、时效和温度三个因子建立逐步回归模型。得出了运用逐步回归模型分析大坝变形的合理性,可以达到预测的目的。