基于信息量模型和数据标准化的滑坡易发性评价

本文以北川曲山-擂鼓片区为研究区,将坡度、坡向、高程、地层、距断层的距离、距水系的距离和距道路的距离作为该区域滑坡易发性评价因子。采用信息量模型计算了各项评价因子的信息量值,并运用4种标准化模型对信息量值进行标准化处理。各评价因子的权重由层次分析法（AHP）确定。在GIS中将权重值和各评价因子的标准化信息量值,进行叠加计算得到区域滑坡总信息量值,并基于自然断点法对其进行重分类,将研究区划分为极高易发区、高易发区、中易发区、低易发区和极低易发区5级易发区。将基于4种标准化模型和信息量模型得到的滑坡易发性评价结果进行了对比分析,结果表明：基于最值标准化信息量模型的滑坡易发性评价结果的ROC曲线下面积AUC值为0.807,高于其余模型的AUC值,说明最值标准化信息量模型的滑坡易发性评价效果最好。极高易发区面积占研究区面积的20.03%,离断层和水系较近,主要分布地层为寒武系、志留系和三迭系。研究结果可为区内滑坡风险评价和灾害防治提供参考。     

端口受控哈密顿方法的电力双推进无人船航向航速控制

以电力双推进无人船航速航向控制为主要研究问题,使用永磁同步电机作为无人船螺旋桨的驱动电机,采用基于端口受控哈密顿(PCH)方法,有效的降低了系统损耗,使无人船驱动系统输出功率得到了优化。仿真结果表明,系统能较快达到稳定状态,实现了无人船的速度控制要求,提升了无人船系统的续航能力。     

户外风测量设备检测方法研究

进行户外风测量设备的检测是保证安全生产与获得准确的气象观测数据的前提。通过测量标准对户外风测量设备的测量数据进行实时比测,规定检测环境条件、检测项目、检测方法,剔除异常值,以减小数据采集不同步造成的不确定度分量,得到户外风测量设备的检测结果。对检测结果的不确定度进行分析评定,对户外风测量设备的性能进行评价。     

“21世纪海上丝绸之路”的海洋环境研究——印度洋海表风速变化趋势

文章利用ERA-40海表10m风场,采用一元线性回归方法,计算印度洋海表风速在45年间(1957年9月至2002年8月)的逐年变化趋势,为"21世纪海上丝绸之路"建设、海上风能开发和全球气候变化研究等提供科学依据。研究表明:海表风速呈显著性逐年递增的区域主要分布于25°S—10°N的海域和南半球咆哮西风带所控制的海域,递增趋势为0.01~0.035m·s-1·a-1,仅零星海域呈显著性递减趋势,其余海域的海表风速无显著变化趋势;南、北印度洋的海表风速分别以0.010 2m·s-1·a-1和0.004 7m·s-1·a-1的速度显著性逐年线性递增,年平均海表风速分别在7.5m·s-1左右和5.2m·s-1左右;南、北印度洋存在共同的2.6~2.7a和5.2a的变化周期以及26a以上的长周期变化,且海表风速的突变期分别为1989年和1978—1980年。     

一种选权迭代法的半参数回归模型在滑坡预测中的应用

传统抗差估计中的选权迭代法无法探测到模型的系统误差,而基于补偿最小二乘原理的半参数模型可以较好地分离出系统误差。通过建立选权迭代法的半参数回归模型,利用时间序列法、L曲线法分别确定模型中的正则化矩阵及平滑因子,并利用选权迭代法重新定权,同时降低了观测粗差和系统误差对参数估值的影响。通过仿真算例,并以重庆奉节县大坪滑坡实测数据为例,验证了选权迭代法的半参数回归方法应用到三峡库区滑坡预测的有效性和优越性。     

遥感技术在矿致滑坡成因分析中的应用

以湖南省怀化市泸阳镇中型岩质滑坡为例,基于多期次多元高分辨率数据,利用遥感技术研究滑坡的地质灾害各项背景因素,发现怀化滑坡主要是由山体破碎和矿山持续不规范开采共同造成的地质灾害.研究结果表明遥感技术可以在不接触此危险源的情况下直接进行定性和定量的滑坡成因分析.     

纳米材料的发展及其展望

介绍了纳米材料的研究现状及特点,对纳米组装材料,纳米结构材料、等纳米材料的研究进行了评述,并对２１世纪纳米材料的发展新动向提出展望。     

Distribution of fossil seawater and its role in Neogene sedimentary rock landslides in Niigata,eastern marginal region of the Japan Sea

The Neogene marine sedimentary rock area in the eastern marginal region of the Japan Sea is an area with some of the highest landslide densities in Japan. Some of the landslides in this area have been known to involve saline groundwater, which can be the cause of these landslides. In order to demonstrate the relationships between landslides and saline water, topographic, geological, groundwater, and electromagnetic surveys were performed in the eastern marginal region of the Japan Sea. Many landslides and gravitational slope deformations with linear depressions and small scarps were recognized in the study area. The resistivity profile obtained by an electromagnetic survey suggests that there is a wide zonal distribution of saline water with salt concentrations equivalent to seawater at depths of 50–100 m or more and that the groundwater shallower than 50 m has an electrical conductivity of less than 100 mS/m. The shallow resistive groundwater is inferred to be meteoric water that replaced the saline groundwater, which likely weakened the bedrock, resulting in landslides. A ridge of competent tuff overlying mudstone has many linear depressions from gravitational slope deformation and low‐resistivity water to a depth of 600 m, which suggests that the mudstone was weakened by water replacement and deformed under the tuff caprock. The saline groundwater is inferred to be fossil seawater trapped in pores during sediment deposition, which is brought near the ground surface along with rocks by tectonic movement in the hills. Thus, the saline water and its fresh water replacement are among the important basic causes of the landslides. The oil well data obtained in the eastern marginal region of the Japan Sea suggest that such saline water replacement has occurred widely and that replacement is likely one of the predispositions for the frequent landslides there.     

声速剖面EOF重构的实测数据采样深度研究

经验正交函数（experiential orthogonal functions,EOF）是重构声速剖面（sound speed profile,SSP）的一种有效方法,利用部分实测数据结合历史剖面资料可以重构当前位置的声速剖面。针对实测数据的采样深度难以确定这一问题,本文介绍了一种基于历史声速剖面资料的实测数据采样深度选取方法,根据EOF空间函数的方差贡献率确定数据量,进而采用EOF算法重构全海深声速剖面。实验结果表明：采用该方法得到的数据重构的声速剖面与实测声速剖面具有较好的一致性,基于常梯度声线跟踪法得到的水深数据能够满足0.25%倍水深限差,有效波束比达到了100%,为实际测量作业中声剖数据的采样深度提供了参考。     

STUDY ON THE DISTRIBUTION PATTERN OF EARTHQUAKE- TRIGGERED LANDSLIDES BASED ON SEISMIC LANDSLIDE SUSCEPTIBILITY ANALYSIS: A CASE STUDY OF LANDSLIDES TRIGGERED BY THE MS6.5 LUDIAN EARTHQUAKE IN 2014

On August 3, 2014, an M_W6.5 earthquake occurred in Ludian County, Yunnan Province, which triggered significant landslides and caused serious ground damages and casualties. Compared with the existing events of earthquake-triggered landslides, the spatial distribution of co-seismic landslides during the Ludian earthquake showed a special pattern. The relationship between the co-seismic landslides and the epicenter or the known faults is not obvious, and the maximum landslide density doesn't appear in the area near the epicenter. Peak ground acceleration (PGA), which usually is used to judge the limit boundary of co-seismic landslide distribution, cannot explain this distribution pattern. Instead of correlating geological and topographic factors with the co-seismic landslide distribution pattern, this study focuses on analyzing the influence of seismic landslide susceptibility on the co-seismic distribution. Seismic landslide susceptibility comes from a calculation of critical acceleration values using a simplified Newmark block model analysis and represents slope stability under seismic loading. Both DEM (SRTM 90m)and geological map (1 ︰ 200^￣￣000)are used as inputs to calculate critical acceleration values. Results show that the most susceptible slopes with the smallest critical accelerations are generally concentrated along the banks of rivers. The stable slopes, which have the larger critical accelerations and are comparably stable, are in the places adjacent to the epicenter. Comparison of the distribution of slope stability and the real landslides triggered by the 2014 M_W6.1 Ludian earthquake shows a good spatial correlation, meaning seismic landslide susceptibility controls the co-seismic landslide distributions to a certain degree. Moreover, our study provides a plausible explanation on the special distribution pattern of Ludian earthquake triggered landslides. Also the paper discusses the advantages of using the seismic landslide susceptibility as a basic map, which will offer an additional tool that can be used to assist in post-disaster response activities as well as seismic landslides hazards zonation.