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401.
Climate change, land-use change, and population growth are fundamental factors affecting future hydrologic conditions in streams, especially in arid regions with scarce water resources. Located in the arid southwest within the Las Vegas Wash watershed, Las Vegas is one of the fastest growing metropolitan areas of the country. In the past 30?years, because of climate and land-use changes, it has experienced a decrease in clean water supply but an increase in water demand. To alleviate some of these problems, large amounts of water have been pumped into the city from different sources, such as Lake Mead, and the urban wastewater is treated and returned back to the reservoir for water augmentation. However, in the face of continual global climate change and urbanization in the watershed, long-term planning for sustainable water management is critical. This research was designed to provide a comprehensive analysis incorporating hydrologic modeling, population projection, land-use change modeling, and water management policies to examine the total water balance and management options in this arid and rapidly urbanizing watershed under various scenarios of climate regime, population growth, land-use change, and total water management programs for the year 2050. 相似文献
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Andrew Kerr Macintosh 《Climate Policy》2013,13(3):341-355
One of the reasons why the Kyoto Protocol has been environmentally ineffective is the flaws in the land use, land-use change and forestry (LULUCF) accounting rules, including voluntary accounting for Article 3.4 activities, the adoption of a definition of forest management that allowed parties to preferentially include and exclude forest lands, and allowing parties with net emissions from LULUCF in 1990 to include deforestation emissions in their 1990 emissions base year. Three proposed amendments to the LULUCF rules for the post-2012 regime are discussed and analysed: (1) a force majeure rule, (2) a baseline-and-credit system for forest management and (3) an ‘emissions-to-atmosphere’ approach for harvested wood products. Although these proposals have the potential to significantly improve the accounting framework, there are still significant problems such as the failure to account for the biophysical effects of forest activities, uncertainties associated with the application of the forest management baseline-and-credit system and continuing optional coverage of Article 3.4 activities. 相似文献
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本研究在WRF(v3.8.1)中使用MODIS 21类和USGS24类土地利用类型数据,模拟了新疆2017年7月9日的极端高温天气,并在对模拟温度进行了高度订正的基础上,对比了两种土地利用数据对2m温度预报的影响。结果表明:(1)MODIS和USGS在新疆地区的土地利用差异主要在阿尔泰山、天山以及南疆西部的昆仑山北部海拔3000米以上的高山带,相应地,使用USGS模拟的这些高山带2m气温明显高于使用MODIS的模拟值,最高偏高12℃左右,是全疆范围内两者偏差的极大值。(2)就新疆区域而言,使用USGS模拟的2m气温整体优于使用MODIS的模拟值,且USGS模拟的2m温度整体低于MODIS模拟的2m温度。两者的均多在2℃以内。(3)在伊犁河谷,MODIS土地利用类型主要为“旱地/草地”,USGS为“草地”和“农田/林地马赛克”。代表站点2m温度模拟多以高温偏低、低温偏高为主。(4)与MODIS相比,USGS中哈密地区 “农田/林地马赛克”所占比重明显增大。哈密地区多数代表站点高、低温均以偏低为主。(5)站点温度的高度订正多以调低为主,调高幅度最大值为1.9℃,出现在伊犁河谷的尼勒克站,调整幅度明显大于MODIS和USGS模拟2m温度的差值,由此可见温度高度订正的必要性。 相似文献
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A summer strong convective precipitation event on 10 July 2004 over Beijing is numerically simulated in this paper, and the impact of urban heat island (UHI) on summer convective rain is investigated. The analysis reveals that a mesoscale convective cloud cluster system leads to this heavy rainfall event, suggesting the supply of moisture by the large scale circulation before the initiation of precipitation, a generally weaker UHI of 2-3℃existed in the urban area. Much like a sea breeze, the anomalously warm urban air created relatively low pressure, inducing the inflow of cooler rural air towards the urban center, which is favorable to the ascending motion and the formation of convective precipitation over the urban area. In addition, the numerical simulation of the strong convective precipitation event suggests that the simulated result of precipitation using the 2002 LANDSAT-7 land-use data with 30-m resolution is much better than that using the 1992-1993 USGS land-use data with 1-km resolution, whether in the magnitude of rainfall or in the location of precipitation. The simulation confirms to some extent that the UHI has a significant role in causing extreme rainfall event. 相似文献
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岩溶区土壤有机碳和团聚体的关系研究——以重庆市中梁山岩溶槽谷为例 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
研究了重庆市中梁山岩溶槽谷不同土地利用方式对土壤有机碳和团聚体稳定性的影响,在此基础上引入通径分析方法探讨有机碳与各粒径团聚体之问的关系.研究表明,土地利用方式对土壤有机碳、团聚体稳定性指数和团聚体保存几率影响明显:坡耕地有机碳含量仅为17.544(g/kg),分别比灌丛、橘林地、草地和菜地低61.14%、71.66%、74.43%和100.83%;团聚体稳定性指数依次为草地(2.394)>灌丛(2.383)>橘林地(2.085)>坡耕地(1.953)>菜地(0.865);团聚体稳定性与有机碳含量的相关性与土地利用方式有关,在灌丛和草地中明显正相关,在橘林地和菜地中呈负相关,而在坡耕地中相关性不明显;大粒径团聚体保存几率是决定有机碳含量的主要园子,5~10mm和3~5mm粒级的土壤团聚体对有机碳累积与稳定的决定系数分别为0.61和0.50. 相似文献
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通过野外溶蚀试片和测量土壤CO2浓度、水分、孔隙度、pH值和有机质含量的方法,探讨不同土地利用方式下土壤环境因子及其相互耦合对岩溶溶蚀速率的影响。研究结果表明,金佛山国家自然保护区不同土地利用方式下的平均溶蚀速率差异显著,总体表现为:竹林地>林地>草地>灌丛地>灌草丛地。不同土地利用方式下的土壤pH值与溶蚀速率呈很好的负相关,土壤水分含量、孔隙度与溶蚀速率呈正相关。山顶岩溶作用明显强于山下,这与重庆市百年一遇的大旱不无关系。土壤环境中CO2浓度、水分、孔隙度、pH值和有机质含量影响着岩溶溶蚀速率,同时这些土壤环境相互耦合也影响着岩溶溶蚀速率。 相似文献