柴达木盆地北缘下干柴沟组下段湖相混合沉积发育特征及其对储层的影响

柴达木盆地北缘的古近系下干柴沟组下段是油气勘探的重要目标,查明该区储层发育的控制因素是深入勘探的重要基础。根据岩屑录井、普通薄片以及铸体薄片等资料对该区冷湖七号和南八仙构造的储层特征进行了对比分析。研究表明,该区大量发育陆源碎屑-碳酸盐的混合沉积,但是由于水体咸度的不同:在冷湖七号的滨浅湖混积岩中碳酸盐和硬石膏含量较高,颗粒主要为基底式胶结;而南八仙构造地处辫状河三角洲前缘相带,因河流的稀释作用,混积岩中硬石膏含量很少,颗粒为孔隙式－基底式钙质胶结,原生孔喉较为发育,有利于后期酸性流体的溶蚀改造。两种类型混积岩的初始孔隙度以及孔喉演化模式的不同,是最终引起两个地区含油气丰度巨大差异的一个原因。     

INVESTIGATION ON EFFECTS OF INITIAL SCHEMES FOR BINARY TYPHOONS ROKE AND SONCA IN 2011

Based on the Tropical Region Atmospheric Modeling System for South China Sea (TRAMS), Typhoon Roke (1115) and Sonca (1116) in 2011 which have large forecast errors in numerical operation prediction, have been selected for research focusing on the initial scheme and its influence on forecast. The purpose is to find a clue for model improvement and enhance the performance of the typhoon model. Several initialization schemes have been designed and the corresponding experiments have been done for Typhoon Roke and Sonca. The results show that the forecast error of both typhoons’ track and intensity are less using the initial scheme of relocation and bogus just for the weak Typhoon Sonca, compared with using the scheme for both typhoons. By analysis the influence of the scheme on weak typhoon vortex circulation may be the reason that leads to the improvement. All weak typhoons in 2011 to 2012 are selected for tests. It comes to the conclusion that the initial scheme of relocation and bogus can reduce the error of track and intensity forecast. Besides, the height of cloud top in typhoon vortex constructed by bogus is too high according to weak typhoon. It is feasible to develop a bogus which is suitable for weak typhoon.     

Controls on event runoff coefficients in the eastern Italian Alps

Analyses of event runoff coefficients provide essential insight on catchment response, particularly if a range of catchments and a range of events are compared by a single indicator. In this study we examine the effect of climate, geology, land use, flood types and initial soil moisture conditions on the distribution functions of the event runoff coefficients for a set of 14 mountainous catchments located in the eastern Italian Alps, ranging in size from 7.3 to 608.4 km². Runoff coefficients were computed from hourly precipitation, runoff data and estimates of snowmelt. A total of 535 events were analysed over the period 1989–2004. We classified each basin using a “permeability index” which was inferred from a geologic map and ranged from “low” to “high permeability”. A continuous soil moisture accounting model was applied to each catchment to classify ‘wet’ and ‘dry’ initial soil moisture conditions. The results indicate that the spatial distribution of runoff coefficients is highly correlated with mean annual precipitation, with the mean runoff coefficient increasing with mean annual precipitation. Geology, through the ‘permeability index’, is another important control on runoff coefficients for catchments with mean annual precipitation less than 1200 mm. Land use, as indexed by the SCS curve number, influences runoff coefficient distribution to a lesser degree. An analysis of the runoff coefficients by flood type indicates that runoff coefficients increase with event snowmelt. Results show that there exists an intermediate region of subsurface water storage capacity, as indexed by a flow–duration curve-based index, which maximises the impact of initial wetness conditions on the runoff coefficient. This means that the difference between runoff coefficients characterised by wet and dry initial conditions is negligible both for basins with very large storage capacity and for basins with small storage capacity. For basins with intermediate storage capacities, the impact of the initial wetness conditions may be relatively large.     

初始中主应力系数对中密粉煤灰动模量阻尼比影响的试验研究

利用土工静力-动力液压三轴-扭转多功能剪切仪,开展了在三向非均等固结状态下的饱和中密粉煤灰循环扭剪试验。着重探讨了初始中主应力系数对饱和中密粉煤灰的动模量和阻尼比特性的影响。试验结果表明：初始中主应力系数对粉煤灰动剪切模量有一定的影响,对阻尼比没有影响。根据仪器量测系统的特点,采用了大小位移计联合测量角位移的方法,不仅能够提高测试精度,而且能够获得完整的动模量和阻尼比随动剪应变幅值的变化过程。     

蒲石河抽水蓄能电站地下厂房三维初始应力场反演分析

采用三维非线性有限元反演回归分析计算方法,提出侧压力系数函数拟合方法,考虑了地质构造,地形地貌以及实测应力对初始应力场的影响。对蒲石河抽水蓄能电站地下厂房区域初始地应力场进行反演回归分析研究,实测点处附近应力分布的局部特性证明反演计算方法是合理的。     

基于?－SVR和GA的初始地应力场位移反分析方法研究

基于一种改进的支持向量机（?－SVR）和改进的遗传算法（GA）,提出一种初始地应力场位移反分析方法。该方法通过正交设计方法安排较少次数的正分析方案,用?－SVR对正分析中测点位移值与参数构成的样本集进行学习,建立参数取值与观测点测值的非线性隐式方程;采用确定性或随机反分析的思路确定反分析的优化目标函数,并利用GA搜索最优参数取值。采用?－SVR方法建立的参数取值与位移量测点测值的非线性隐式方程,能够以很高的精度拟合和预测不同参数取值时的观测点测值,因此,可以用该隐式方程代替正分析,减少计算量;采用改进的GA方法能够准确搜索到最优参数;搜索到的最优参数值与理论值相当吻合。算例表明,基于?－SVR和GA的初始地应力场位移反分析方法是一种行之有效的初始地应力场位移反分析方法,可以广泛用于初始地应力场确定性反分析和随机反分析。     

初始主应力方向对钙质砂动力特性影响的试验研究

利用大连理工大学的土工静力-动力液压三轴-扭转动多能剪切仪对相对密度为30 %的钙质砂进行了扭转和竖向循环耦合试验,探讨了初始主应力方向角 对钙质砂动强度和残余应变发展的影响。试验结果表明： 对钙质砂的动强度、残余应变发展的影响非常明显,随着 的增大,钙质砂的动强度显著减小,而残余应变的发展速度则明显加快。     

初期支护对软岩隧道围岩稳定性和位移影响分析

软弱岩体隧道开挖后,围岩变形具有异常显著的流变性。基于Poyting-Thomoson模型,对隧道围岩位移进行了粘弹性解析分析,根据所得出的解析解,结合渝（重庆）沙（长沙）高速公路石龙隧道位移监控量测实践,对初期支护后隧道围岩变形特征量进行了分析对比,结果表明,理论曲线能较好地反映围岩实际位移变化特征。最后通过将支护前后围岩受力状态与单轴和三轴应力状态岩石蠕变进行类比,得知初期支护在一定程度上减小了围岩的最终变形量,可以有效地抑制隧道围岩的变形速率。其结果为确定合理的二次支护时机提供了理论依据,对同类隧道的施工支护具有很好的指导意义和较高的参考价值。     

黏土不透水层确定及水压力分布规律试验研究

工程上将满足一定条件下的黏土层介质视为隔水层。通过模型试验的方法,对黏土层为不透水层的确定方法以及黏土层内部的水压力分布规律进行了研究。通过试验分析得出了某给定黏土层为隔水层的特定条件：即找出了黏土层的厚度、渗透系数及层上水头高度三者的关系和给定黏土层的起始水力坡降,得到了黏土层内已渗透水部分的水压力分布规律。试验结果对工程实际具有一定的指导作用。     

FWG2递减开发模型

本文提出了ＦＷＧ２递减开发模型,提出了开发速度,采出程度等开发指标的数学关系式,分析了参数对ＦＷＧ２递减开发模型的影响,提出了开发初期ＦＷＧ２递减开发模型的确定方法,便于开发初期决策,制作了ＦＷＧ２递减开发模型的ｌｏｇＶｄ－ｌｏｇＲｐ图版,ｌｏｇＶＤ～ｌｏｇ（ａｔ）图版,ｌｏｇＲｐ－ｌｏｇ（ａｔ）图版,提出了开发中晚期ＦＷＧ２递减开发模型的判断方法,三点抛物线法和三种图牌区配的拟合方法,为开发中晚期预测奠定了基础,ＦＷＧ２递减开发模型是一种高精度直线递减模型。