Adaptive Multiscale Permeability Estimation

With multiscale permeability estimation one does not select parameterization prior to the estimation. Instead, one performs a hierarchical search for the right parameterization while solving a sequence of estimation problems with an increasing parameterization dimension. In some previous works on the subject, the same refinement is applied all over the porous medium. This may lead to over-parameterization, and subsequently, to unrealistic permeability estimates and excessive computational work. With adaptive multiscale permeability estimation, the new parameterization at an arbitrary stage in the estimation sequence is such that new degrees of freedom are not necessarily introduced all over the porous medium. The aim is to introduce new degrees of freedom only where it is warranted by the data. In this paper, we introduce a novel adaptive multiscale estimation. The approach is used to estimate absolute permeability from two-phase pressure data in several numerical examples.     

多元判据综合评估中期天气客观相似预报模式

提出一个对多元判据综合评估的中期天气客观相似预报模式。模式应用同中期天气过程的时间—空间尺度相适应的经过时间滤波的大气环流背景为客观判据，比较全面地评估了预报时刻前后多层次、多要素的大气环流动态变化的相似，通过定义相似指数综合评估在多元判据下样本的相似程度，从相似时域的历史样本中找到较佳相似的中期过程，预测未来l～10天的中期天气过程。模式检验和预报试验表明该模式具有预报技巧。     

黑龙江省中尺度数值预报业务系统

黑龙江省气象台于2001年8月引进了MM5模式，并结合业务和服务的实际需要对其有关参数进行了确定，建立了黑龙江省中尺度数值预报业务系统。已经在黑龙江省气象台实时运行，并应用到短期预报的业务工作中。系统运行稳定，预报结果有一定的参考价值。     

对波达波夫和Pride震电波方程组的对比分析

用Biot介质参数说明了波达波夫震电波方程组中弹性动力学 参数的含义，解释了第一类和第二类震电效应的意义，在忽略第一类震电效应条件下将该方 程组与Pride方程组进行比较，说明了二者在描述第二类震电效应方面的异同点. 同时指出 ：波达波夫方程组忽略了流体与固体的耦合质量；方程中的黏性耗散项丢掉了一个孔隙度因 子，依据该方程组计算出的弹性波和转换电场的幅度将偏大；边界条件之一存在错误，会影 响对波在界面上的反射透射规律的描述.     

1996年阿图什6.9级地震参数与宏观震中

对通过计算机定位得到１９９６年３月１９日阿图什６．９级地震基本参数的可靠性进行了分析与论证，并对该次地震微观震中与宏观震中差异较大的原因进行了探讨。     

国外中期数值预报业务模式的性能及发展趋势

作者简单介绍了国内预报员较为熟悉的欧洲中期天气预报中心，美国国家气象中心和日本气象厅三个中期预报模式的性能及预报效果，包括近几年颇为流行的半拉格朗日时间积分方案，物理过程参数化方案的完善和改进，中期数值预报业务模式的发展趋势等。     

辽河小洼油田东营组沉积环境条件的研究

陆相盆地沉积作用主要受构造作用及古气候的控制，所以从区域构造背景出发，结合地层、古生物、沉积、地球化学等方面资料，对小洼油田东营组的沉积环境条件进行综合分析。确定了沉积物源来自北东方向的中央凸起，古气候属于半干旱—半潮湿的温带气候条件，水介质是弱还原性的淡水滨浅湖泊沉积环境。此时中央凸起上丰富的风化剥蚀产物经过河流的搬运和分异作用，进入湖盆中形成三角洲沉积体     

埋藏条件下碳酸盐岩实验室溶蚀作用模拟的热力学模型与地质勘探方向——以陕甘宁盆地下奥陶统马家沟组第五段为例

陕甘宁盆地下奥陶统马家沟组五段为潮坪相碳酸盐岩夹蒸发盐沉积。马五段经历了多期复杂的成岩作用，其中溶蚀作用对马五段影响深刻。首次引用热力学理论对埋藏条件下碳酸盐岩溶蚀作用进行了理论分析和计算。其结果表明碳酸盐岩在埋藏成岩的不同温度压力条件下，酸性介质中溶解反应的吉布斯自由能均为负值，说明反应可自动向方解石、白云石溶解的方向进行，并随着温压的升高溶解的趋势增大，而且白云石溶解的趋势比方解石更大。碳酸盐岩溶蚀作用是受热力学规律支配的自然地质作用。碳酸盐岩溶蚀实验模拟的热力学数学模型对陕甘宁盆地油气田勘探具有重大的理论意义和实际应用价值。     

Wide-angle seismic velocities in heterogeneous crust

Seismic velocities measured by wide-angle surveys are commonly used to constrain material composition in the deep crust. Therefore, it is important to understand how these velocities are affected by the presence of multiscale heterogeneities. The effects may be characterised by the scale of the heterogeneity relative to the dominant seismic wavelength (λ); what is clear is that heterogeneities of all scales and strengths bias wide-angle velocities to some degree. Waveform modelling was used to investigate the apparent wide-angle P -wave velocities of different heterogeneous lower crusts. A constant composition (50 per cent felsic and 50 per cent ultramafic) was formed into a variety of 1- and 2-D heterogeneous arrangements and the resulting wide-angle seismic velocity was estimated. Elastic, 1-D models produced the largest velocity shift relative to the true average velocity of the medium (which is the velocity of an isotropic mixture of the two components). Thick (width > λ) horizontal layers, as a result of Fermat's Principle, provided the largest increase in velocity; thin (width ≪λ) vertical layers produced the largest decrease in velocity. Acoustic 2-D algorithms were shown to be inadequate for modelling the kinematics of waves in bodies with multiscale heterogeneities. Elastic, 2-D modelling found velocity shifts (both positive and negative) that were of a smaller magnitude than those produced by 1-D models. The key to the magnitude of the velocity shift appears to be the connectivity of the fast (and/or slow) components. Thus, the models with the highest apparent levels of connectivity between the fast phases, the 1-D layers, produced the highest-magnitude velocity shifts. To understand the relationship between measured seismic velocities and petrology in the deep crust it is clear that high-resolution structural information (which describes such connectivity) must be included in any modelling.