地方集群网络、信息溢出效应与中国ICT产品出口地理网络扩张

研究中国ICT产品的出口贸易扩张有助于理解"全球-地方"互动视角下国际贸易与国内产业地理的相互作用。本文构建地方集群网络和信息溢出效应促进产品出口扩张的机制分析框架,利用2000—2016年中国海关库数据,探究中国ICT产品出口地理网络扩张机制。研究发现:(1)中国ICT产品出口源地从沿海地区向内陆地区扩张,出口目的地扩张重点在不同时间段存在差异。(2)中东部省份出口到东亚和北美、西部省份出口到北美和西欧的贸易扩张较为显著。(3)面板Probit模型分析表明,地方集群网络和信息溢出效应能够增加出口源地-目的地层面ICT产品出口额,提升出口专业化程度。     

基于BP神经网络的气象格点数据无损压缩方法

格点资料是目前气象数据存储、传输和应用的主要形式,爆炸性增长的资料给数据的存储、传输带来了巨大压力,设计适合格点资料特点的压缩方案越来越重要。大气是一种连续介质,格点资料是反映其动力学及热力学性质的连续物理量的采样和量化,相邻格点间存在很大的相关性。在二维线性预测基础上引入BP神经网络,建立了基于神经网络的二次预测模型,有效剔除气象格点数据的冗余信息,结合熵编码,提出了一种高效无损压缩新方案。该方案具有极高的压缩比,并能保证在有效精度内数据完全无损。与广泛应用的netCDF格式压缩效率对比试验表明,该方案的编码效率是netCDF格式的3～5倍,接近压缩的理论下限,能极大地减少存储空间及传输时间,适合大气以及地球科学中海量数据的存储和传输,有很好的实际应用前景。     

Simulating urban land use change by integrating a convolutional neural network with vector-based cellular automata

ABSTRACT

Vector-based cellular automata (VCA) models have been applied in land use change simulations at fine scales. However, the neighborhood effects of the driving factors are rarely considered in the exploration of the transition suitability of cells, leading to lower simulation accuracy. This study proposes a convolutional neural network (CNN)-VCA model that adopts the CNN to extract the high-level features of the driving factors within a neighborhood of an irregularly shaped cell and discover the relationships between multiple land use changes and driving factors at the neighborhood level. The proposed model was applied to simulate urban land use changes in Shenzhen, China. Compared with several VCA models using other machine learning methods, the proposed CNN-VCA model obtained the highest simulation accuracy (figure-of-merit = 0.361). The results indicated that the CNN-VCA model can effectively uncover the neighborhood effects of multiple driving factors on the developmental potential of land parcels and obtain more details on the morphological characteristics of land parcels. Moreover, the land use patterns of 2020 and 2025 under an ecological control strategy were simulated to provide decision support for urban planning.     

基于神经网络方法的极化雷达地表参数反演

人工神经网络（Artificial Neural Network)是一个由独立处理单元以一定拓扑结构高度连接而成的并行分布式信息处理结构，适于解决各种非线性问题，积分方程（Integrated Equation Model)单散射模型可模拟各种地表参数条件下裸露地表后向散射系数，以IEM为基础生成训练数据，用L波段的C波段SIR-CHH，VV极化单散射后向散射系数数据为神经网络输入，通过后向反馈（BP）神经网络模型可同时反演得到裸露地表条件下地表介电常数，地表相关长度和均方根高度等地表参数。     

基于网眼密度的道路选取方法

道路数据中的网眼密度能反映局部区域的道路密集程度,通过确定目标尺度要求的密度阈值,比例尺缩小后能够标识出数据中需要取舍路段的网眼;循环剥离密度最大的网眼,利用反映路段重要性的参数及其优先级,渐进筛选出舍弃的路段,并完成与邻接网眼的合并;得到的选取结果保持了道路网在密度、拓扑、几何及语义方面的重要特征,从而提出一种新的道路选取方法。最后进行实验,验证该方法的有效性。     

矿井煤层底板突水预测新方法研究

本文针对煤矿矿井煤层底板突水系统为一非线性系统的特性,提出采用对非线性问题具有良好适用性的人工神经网络系统（以下简称神经网络）,进行煤层底板突水预测。以作者们研制,使用神经网络的实践为基础,阐述系统、建模方法、适用条件和应用问题,并在焦作矿务局演马庄矿、焦作金科尔集团方庄煤矿对所建立的煤层底板突水预测神经网络进行生产性检验,取得良好的结果,说明该系统应用于煤层底板突水预测的可靠性。     

基于PCA和BP神经网络的径流预测

径流预测为流域水资源的合理开发利用与统筹配置提供依据。运用多元线性回归、主成分回归、BP神经网络及主成分分析和BP神经网络相结合的方法,对新疆呼图壁河流域石门水文站2009-2011年各月径流量进行预测,并采用相关系数、确定性系数及均方根误差对各模型预测精度进行比较。结果表明：（1）神经网络等智能算法具有高速寻优的能力,对短时间尺度的月径流量的预测结果较好;（2）主成分回归等常规算法能充分反映出某地区径流的年际的稳定性,对全年径流总量的模拟精度较高;（3）主成分分析和BP神经网络相结合的方法,提高了神经网络的收敛速度,同时降低了局部极值的影响,优于简单的BP神经网络,适用于呼图壁河月径流量预测。     

Piles shaft capacity from CPT and CPTu data by polynomial neural networks and genetic algorithms

Cone penetration test (CPT) is one of the most common in situ tests which is used for pile design because it can be realized as a model pile. The measured cone resistance (q_c) and sleeve friction (f_s) usually are employed for estimation of pile unit toe and shaft resistances, respectively. Thirty three pile case histories have been compiled including static loading tests performed in uplift, or in push with separation of shaft and toe resistances at sites which comprise CPT or CPTu sounding. Group method of data handling (GMDH) type neural networks optimized using genetic algorithms (GAs) are used to model the effects of effective cone point resistance (q_E) and cone sleeve friction (f_s) as input parameters on pile unit shaft resistance, applying some experimentally obtained training and test data. Sensitivity analysis of the obtained model has been carried out to study the influence of input parameters on model output. Some graphs have been derived from sensitivity analysis to estimate pile unit shaft resistance based on q_E and f_s. The performance of the proposed method has been compared with the other CPT and CPTu direct methods and referenced to measured piles shaft capacity. The results demonstrate that appreciable improvement in prediction of pile shaft capacity has been achieved.     

沉积微相测井资料神经网络判别方法研究

不同的沉积微相可以由不同的相标志组合识别,相标志与沉积微相之间的关系可以采用神经网络通过许多基本处理单元间并行的相互作用建立。沉积微相相标志既可以由地质资料的观察、岩芯分析直接获得,也可以由测井资料间接地求得     

Simulation of phytoplankton biomass in Quanzhou Bay using a back propagation network model and sensitivity analysis for environmental variables

Prediction and sensitivity models,to elucidate the response of phytoplankton biomass to environmental factors in Quanzhou Bay,Fujian,China,were developed using a back propagation(BP) network.The environmental indicators of coastal phytoplankton biomass were determined and monitoring data for the bay from 2008 was used to train,test and build a three-layer BP artificial neural network with multi-input and single-output.Ten water quality parameters were used to forecast phytoplankton biomass(measured as chlorophyll-a concentration).Correlation coefficient between biomass values predicted by the model and those observed was 0.964,whilst the average relative error of the network was-3.46% and average absolute error was 10.53%.The model thus has high level of accuracy and is suitable for analysis of the influence of aquatic environmental factors on phytoplankton biomass.A global sensitivity analysis was performed to determine the influence of different environmental indicators on phytoplankton biomass.Indicators were classified according to the sensitivity of response and its risk degree.The results indicate that the parameters most relevant to phytoplankton biomass are estuary-related and include pH,sea surface temperature,sea surface salinity,chemical oxygen demand and ammonium.