台风预报系统

本文介绍的是一项在微机上实现的台风预报专家系统。该系统可进行台风气候查询、台风路径检索、台风特例查询，并能利用相似加权法制作出１２－７２小时台风路径和中心强度预报，对异常路径台风也可提供一定的诊断预报判据。本系统已在军内外一些气象业务单位得到应用，实践证明它是一种简便有效的台风预报工具。     

养殖对虾与海捕对虾鉴别方法初探

通过对养殖中国对虾(Penaeus orientalis)和海捕中国对虾肌肉煮熟后的失水率,提取物中的甜菜碱和氧化三甲胺含量,以及虾肉脂质中所含脂肪酸组成和含量进行了分析比较,得到下列结果:(1)两类对虾鲜样煮熟后失水率相差6％以上;(2)海捕对虾肌肉中的甜菜碱和氧化三甲胺含量比养殖对虾的高,两者有显著差别;(3)养殖对虾肌肉所含C18:2ω6为17.3±1.5％,海捕对虾为2.0±0.8％。从以上结果本文推荐以脂肪酸C18:2ω6含量来鉴别养殖对虾与海捕对虾。     

东营北部凸起带古冲沟储层分布规律研究

在油田勘探与开发中 ,充分认识古冲沟油气藏的勘探与开发是十分重要和有意义的。本文利用东营北部凸起带的地质、钻井、航磁和地震等资料 ,对古冲沟在地震剖面上的特征和古冲沟储层预测方法等进行了研究与探讨     

能量分析在台风短期预报业务中的应用

本文以９４１４、９４１５号两个连续北上台风为例，证明能量场的分布与台风移向有着明显的对应关系。     

黑鲷三倍体的人工诱导研究

分别于1989年3—6月、1990年3—5月在天津和青岛两地采用冷、热休克法对黑鲷进行三倍体的人工诱导研究。结果表明,冷休克法诱导三倍体的效果好于热休克法,其最适诱导条件为卵子在受精后5min,温度为3—4℃的海水中处理10—20min,三倍体诱导率最高可达50.35％;正交试验证明,三倍体率受冷、热休克法的三因素影响程度的顺序由大到小依次为,处理时间、处理时刻、处理温度;黑鲷染色体数目:2n=48,3n=72,它们的染色体组型也同时获得。     

GIS在处置地下管线突发事件中的应用研究——以苏州市地下综合管网应急处置系统为例

随着经济社会的不断发展,城市建设步伐不断加快。近几年,各类地下管线突发事件频发。通过"苏州市地下综合管网应急处置系统"项目的开发和实践,本文试图从总体上论述地下综合管网突发事件的处置过程、应用原理及相关的技术实现,重点阐述了基于"12345"便民服务中心工作平台,在充分利用GIS的网络分析技术的基础上,实现城市地下管网突发事件应急处置的自动化和信息化。     

单中继星单低轨卫星的联合定轨精度分析

针对由单中继星和单低轨卫星组成的联合定轨系统,给出了系统内不同轨道卫星摄动项的选取方案和卫星间的可见性判别模型。在模拟出含有白噪声的四程测距观测数据文件的基础上,研究了测距精度和采样弧段对联合定轨中高、低轨卫星定轨精度的影响。得出如下结论:联合定轨更有利于对低轨卫星的轨道改进;同样的采样时间条件下,测距噪声越小定轨精度越高,并且采样时间越短它的影响越明显;同样的测距噪声条件下,所用资料的采样时间越长精度越高,但当测距精度很高时,TDRS达到最好定轨精度所需的采样时间相应有所缩短。并在定出轨道后进行了轨道预报,分析了轨道预报的趋势及精度。     

Mechanism of Secondary Pore Formation and Prediction of Favorable Reservoir of Paleogene in Jiyang Sag,Eastern China

Jiyang (济阳) sag is an oil rich basin,consisting of Huimin (惠民),Dongying (东营),Zhanhua (沾化),and Chezhen (车镇) depressions.The elastic rock of Paleogene has undergone early and middle diagenetic stages and now the main clastic reservoir is in the middle diagenetic stage.Primary and secondary pores are developed in Paleogene sandstone,the latter is generated from the dissolution of feldspar and calcite cement in rocks owing to the organic acid from the maturated source rock,but the materials dissolved are different in different depressions.The reservoir secondary pores of Dongying depression are generated from the dissolution of calcite cement,the ones of Zhanhua and Huimin depressions from the dissolution of feldspar,the secondary pores of Chezhen depression from the dissolution of feldspar in upper section,and the dissolution of calcite cement in the lower section of Paleogene,respectively.The secondary pores are developed in two depths and the depth goes down from west to east,from south to north in Jiyang sag.The major controlling factors for secondary pore development are maturity and location of source rock.Lastly,the favorable reservoirs are evaluated according to reservoir buried depth,sedimentation,and diagenesis.The reservoir with high quality is located in the northern and central parts in Dongying depression; there are some good reservoirs in Gndao (孤岛),Gudong (孤东),and Gunan (孤南) areas in Zhanhua depression,and the favorable reservoirs are located in the north steep slope and the south gentle slope of Chezhen depression and central uplift,south gentle slope of Huimin depression.     

Formation Dynamics and Quantitative Prediction of Hydrocarbons of the Superpressure System in the Dongying Sag

Based on the theory of formation dynamics of oil/gas pools, the Dongying sag can be divided into three dynamic systems regarding the accumulation of oil and gas： the superpressure closed system, the semi-closed system and the normal pressure open system. Based on the analysis of genesis of superpressure in the superpressure closed system and the rule of hydrocarbon expulsion, it is found that hydrocarbon generation is related to superpressure, which is the main driving factor of hydrocarbon migration. Micro fractures formed by superpressure are the main channels for hydrocarbon migration. There are three dynamic patterns for hydrocarbon expulsion： free water drainage, hydrocarbon accumulation and drainage through micro fissures. In the superpressure closed system, the oil-driving-water process and oil/gas accumulation were completed in lithologic traps by way of such two dynamic patterns as episodic evolution of superpressure systems and episodic pressure release of faults. The oil-bearing capacity of lithologic traps is intimately related to reservoir-forming dynamic force. Quantitative evaluation of dynamic conditions for pool formation can effectively predict the oil-bearing capability of traps.     

矿井涌水量混沌时间序列分析与预测

矿井地下水系统是个非线性系统,由于地下水系统的复杂性,很难完全确定影响矿井涌水量的因素,因此传统的矿井涌水预测表现出较大的局限性。而混沌时间序列分析能够利用单变量处理方法,分析矿井地下水系统中,由于多因素耦合作用所产生的矿井涌水量时间序列。通过对某矿区1985年9月至2005年2月矿井涌水量时间序列资料的分析,显示矿井涌水量时间序列具有混沌特征;通过对比预测值和实测值,表明预测精度高。因此,混沌时间序列分析方法用于矿井涌水量预测是可行的。