长水平段水平井井眼轨道优化设计方法

井眼轨道优化设计是长水平段水平井降低摩阻扭矩的有效途径之一,利用先进的计算机软件对轨道设计关键参数进行优选,可以得到优化轨道设计,从而达到降低施工难度的目的。结合华北油田某井工程实列,论述了长水平段水平井井眼轨道优化设计方法。     

Q矢量的改进与完善

在完全考虑非绝热加热项潜热作用的前提下，从原始方程出发，推导出改进后的湿Q矢量(以下记为Q^M)的表达式以及用其散度作强迫项的ω方程，并结合一次梅雨锋暴雨天气过程将改进前、后的湿Q矢量诊断能力进行比较，结果发现：(1)改进后的湿Q矢量对同时刻的地面降水的反映能力较原湿Q矢量(Q^*)有显著的提高。(2)在整个梅雨锋暴雨过程中，600hPa高度上的改进后的湿Q矢量散度辐合场的辐合强度及其辐合中心的位置对同时刻的地面实际降水的强度及雨区位置都有非常好的指示作用。     

断层滑动速率,地震重复时间和平均应力降

本文综述了国内外大地震复发间隔研究的现状，系统整理了中国大陆活断层滑运速率，已发现的古地震遗迹及古地震复发间隔，结果表明，在滑动速率较在的活断层发现的古地震复发间隔较短，Ｋａｎａｍｏｒｉ和Ａｌｌｅ（１９８５）研究了具有大范围重复时间（２０年到几千年）的板内大地震的震源参数，发现复发间隔较长的大地震具有较高的平均应力降，我们在实验室内研究了应变速率不同时固体围压三轴压缩下完整花岗岩破裂后的粘滑现象。     

非负矩阵分解基向量分析及其在矿产预测中的应用

针对矿产预测数据具有复杂性以及矿质异常信息具有稀疏性的问题,基于非负矩阵分解的非负性和降维的特点,结合稀疏性,提出一种基于NMF基向量分析的矿产预测数据处理方法,并对基向量和原变量以及基向量之间的关系进行分析。广东新寮岽铜多金属矿区数据实验结果表明,NMF方法在不同特征值和相似稀疏度的条件下的基向量形态基本稳定,在保留找矿信息的同时可有效地实现对矿产预测数据的稀疏化。NMF方法对于矿产预测具有重要的实际意义。     

Incremental growth of normal faults: Insights from a laser-equipped analog experiment

We conducted a laser-equipped analog experiment aimed at quasi-continuously monitoring the growth of a dense population of normal faults in homogeneous conditions. To further understand the way geological faults progressively gain in slip and length as they accumulate more strain, we measured with great precision the incremental slip and length changes that the analog faults sustain as they grow. These measurements show that the analog faults share common features with the natural ones. In particular, during their growth, the faults develop and maintain cumulative slip profiles that are generally triangular and asymmetric. The growth takes place through two distinct phases: an initial, short period of rapid lateral lengthening, followed by a longer phase of slip accumulation with little or no lengthening. The incremental slip is found to be highly variable in both space (along the faults) and time, resulting in variable slip rates. In particular, ‘short- and long-term’ slip rates are markedly different. We also find that slip measurements at local points on fault traces do not contain clear information on the slip increment repeat mode. Finally, while the fault growth process is highly heterogeneous when considered at the scale of a few slip events, it appears homogeneous and self-similar at longer time scales which integrate many slip increments. This is likely to be the result of a feedback between stress heterogeneities and slip development. The long-term scale homogeneity also implies that the long-term faulting process is primarily insensitive to the short-term heterogeneities that are rapidly smoothed or redistributed. We propose a new conceptual scenario of fault growth that integrates the above observations and we suggest that faults grow in a bimodal way as a result of a self-driven and self-sustaining process.     

Basal‐topographic control of stationary ponds on a continuously moving landslide

The Slumgullion landslide in the San Juan Mountains of southwestern Colorado has been moving for at least the last few hundred years and has multiple ponds on its surface. We have studied eight ponds during 30 trips to the landslide between July 1998 and July 2007. During each trip, we have made observations on the variability in pond locations and water levels, taken ground‐based photographs to document pond water with respect to moving landslide material and vegetation, conducted Global Positioning System surveys of the elevations of water levels and mapped pond sediments on the landslide surface. Additionally, we have used stereo aerial photographs taken in October 1939, October 1940 and July 2000 to measure topographic profiles of the eight pond locations, as well as a longitudinal profile along the approximate centerline of the landslide, to examine topographic changes over a 60‐ to 61‐year period of time. Results from field observations, analyses of photographs, mapping and measurements indicate that all pond locations have remained spatially stationary for 60–300 years while landslide material moves through these locations. Water levels during the observation period were sensitive to changes in the local, spring‐fed, stream network, and to periodic filling of pond locations by sediment from floods, hyperconcentrated flows, mud flows and debris flows. For pond locations to remain stationary, the locations must mimic depressions along the basal surface of the landslide. The existence of such depressions indicates that the topography of the basal landslide surface is irregular. These results suggest that, for translational landslides that have moved distances larger than the dimensions of the largest basal topographic irregularities (about 200 m at Slumgullion), landslide surface morphology can be used as a guide to the morphology of the basal slip surface. Because basal slip surface morphology can affect landslide stability, kinematic models and stability analyses of translational landslides should attempt to incorporate irregular basal surface topography. Additional implications for moving landslides where basal topography controls surface morphology include the following: dateable sediments or organic material from basal layers of stationary ponds will yield ages that are younger than the date of landslide initiation, and it is probable that other landslide surface features such as faults, streams, springs and sinks are also controlled by basal topography. The longitudinal topographic profile indicated that the upper part of the Slumgullion landslide was depleted at a mean vertical lowering rate of 5.6 cm/yr between 1939 and 2000, while the toe advanced at an average rate of 1.5 m/yr during the same period. Therefore, during this 61‐year period, neither the depletion of material at the head of the landslide nor continued growth of the landslide toe has decreased the overall movement rate of the landslide. Continued depletion of the upper part of the landslide, and growth of the toe, should eventually result in stabilization of the landslide. Published in 2008 by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

横向各向同性介质弹性波多分量叠前逆时偏移

随着油气勘探程度的提高,隐蔽油气藏在增储上产方面起到了重要作用,因此发展基于各向异性介质的多分量偏移方法是非常必要的.本文基于横向各向同性（VTI）介质,从二维弹性波速度\|应力方程出发,通过在时间上的二阶差分和空间上的交错网格高阶差分对方程进行离散,得到弹性波交错网格高阶差分的多分量逆时偏移算子.在激发时间成像条件的应用过程中引入Poynting矢量进行成像并消除逆时偏移所引起的低频干扰,在此基础上实现了VTI介质中二维弹性波叠前多分量逆时深度偏移.理论模型的偏移处理表明,该方法能够对地层进行准确成像,并可以消除逆时偏移所引起的低频噪声.     

基于最近邻支撑向量特征线融合算法的核爆地震识别

为增强核爆地震模式分类器的泛化能力以提高对核爆炸事件的准确识别能力,论文提出了一种选择支撑向量样本集来表征训练样本集的最近邻支撑向量特征线分类算法,用以训练时扩展核爆地震的训练样本库,提高分类器的泛化能力.该算法用于核爆炸和地震的识别结果发现,和最近邻特征线分类器相比,提出的算法降低了计算复杂度,但识别能力却有些许降低.对新算法的分析发现,纯粹的支撑向量集不能完全代表原始样本空间集,支撑向量比例在其中有重要作用,为发挥支撑向量比例的作用以提高核爆分类器的识别能力,提出了最近邻支撑向量特征线融合算法.最后以核爆地震数据库对上述算法进行了检验和分析,理论分析和识别结果证实,在相同的训练样本选择条件下,最近邻支撑向量特征线融合算法对于核爆炸的识别来说具有较好的泛化能力,正确识别率达到90.3%,且优于支持向量机算法和最近邻特征线算法.     

任意空间取向TI弹性张量解析表述

本文理论给出任意空间取向TI(ATI)四阶弹性张量的解析表述,其以VTI弹性常数及其简单组合为系数,包括各向同性项、TI对称轴方向矢量分量的二次项和四次项,其中TI对称轴方向矢量可以在固定坐标系定义, 也可以相对三维倾斜界面甚至相对波传播方向.相比四阶张量变换法和Bond变换法,ATI弹性张量能简洁而透明地为本构关系和波动方程提供四阶张量的所有元素. ATI弹性张量能为诸多方面的理论研究提供支撑.     

区域网GPS观测得到的2008年汶川MS8.0地震前的地壳水平运动

2008年5月12日汶川（31.0°N,103.4°E）MS8.0大地震发生在中国地壳运动观测网络区域网GPS观测站相当密集的地区．1000个站的GPS 非连续观测区域网分别在1999,2001,2004年和2007年作了4次观测．震前区域网GPS观测站得到的水平位移表明,汶川大地震主要力源是印度板块向北对中国大陆的挤压,但同时也受到东部与南部板块的挤压．与其它地区相比,震前震中附近水平位移最显著的特点是,汶川地震发生在南北地震带上位移分叉部位,即震中北部明显向东北位移,震中南部明显向东南位移,而震中附近的水平位移则明显小于其北面和南面的水平位移．简要讨论了应变计算结果的精度．为获取地震前的异常信息,分别采用趋势曲面拟合和统计方法研究了汶川地震前（1999—2007年）区域网的应变积累,寻找震中的大致区域．除了2001年昆仑山口西大地震震中及其周围地区外,1999—2007年震前区域网的应变积累的趋势曲面拟合表明,汶川地震发生在中国大陆第一剪应变积累大、范围最广的区域的东侧,且在此区域内积累较大的面压缩区的东北边缘．应变分量的统计分析表明,震前其分布在此区域及其附近同样有明显的异常,剪应变和面膨胀积累均增强．