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11.
珠江三角洲地质灾害种类的多样性与其所处的复杂地质环境和多变的气候条件密切相关。文章选用了地震活动、活动断裂、地壳升降运动、软土地基、地面塌陷以及冲、淤积等6个主要因素作为评价指标,并用模糊数学方法对珠江三角洲内17个小区作了计算,结果表明该区大部分地区属于轻灾害区,只有滨海沿岸地区属于较重灾害区。 相似文献
12.
山东全新世滨海软土与工程地质灾害的研究 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
吴建政 《海洋地质与第四纪地质》1995,15(3):43-54
山东全新世滨海软土分布在海湾、泻湖、河口区,厚度1-10m。海湾、泻湖软土为淤泥、淤泥质土,陆源物质供应丰富的浅水区,软土颗粒偏粗,强度相对较高,触变性对建筑物危害性大,陆源物质供应少的深水区,软土颗粒偏细,低强度、高压缩性、沉降变形大和蠕变性是危及建筑物稳定的主要因素。海湾、泻湖软土位于地下水位下,具低透水性,掩埋后短期不易排水固结,软土下为强度较高的冲积物,对一般建筑物,利用强夯、粉喷搅拌桩、 相似文献
13.
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15.
广东省五华县地质灾害形成特征及防治对策 总被引:6,自引:0,他引:6
罗迎新 《中国地质灾害与防治学报》2008,19(3):96-101
五华县主要地质灾害类型有滑坡、崩塌、地面塌陷、水土流失等。其中以滑坡、崩塌为主,多分布在东南、南部花岗岩区、北部花岗岩风化土区等广大中低山及丘陵区,具有点多面广,灾害点个体规模小,稳定性差,活动频繁,地质灾害发育呈明显的地域性与季节性分布等特点。五华县地质灾害的形成与发生是多种致灾因素相互作用的结果。地层岩性是其形成的内在要素,它在一定程度上决定着地质灾害的发育程度与类型;地形地貌与植被是地质灾害形成的外在条件,它制约着崩、滑、塌等致灾地质作用的形成;大气降雨是地质灾害形成与发生的激发因素,决定着地质灾害发生的速度和时间;人类工程活动是影响地质灾害形成与发生的最主要、最直接的因素。对地质灾害的防治应采用避让、预防、监测及治理措施,做到避让与治理结合,以群测群防为基本手段,点状灾害以工程治理与生物防治为主;面状灾害以生物防治为主;采用点、面结合综合治理的方法。 相似文献
16.
江源县位于吉林省东南部,处于长白山西麓,行政管辖隶属于吉林省白山市,具有丰富的矿产和旅游资源。近年来,由于经济的发展和人类工程活动的增强,加剧了区内地质灾害的形成,地质灾害对当地的经济发展和人民生命财产安全造成损失和潜在威胁。本文对该县的地质环境作了详尽的阐述,在此基础上对研究区内的泥石流、滑坡、地面塌陷、不稳定斜坡等地质灾害的发育特征和形成条件作了全面的分析研究,总结出它们的发展规律,同时对该县进行了地质灾害经济损失现状评估和预测评估,最后结合当地经济条件与地质灾害现状,给出了较为切实可行的地质灾害防治对策。 相似文献
17.
基于可拓工程方法,在物元模型理论的基础上建立了公路泥石流危险性评价的物元模型,并采用层次分析法计算物元模型中各评价指标的权系数。通过实际公路泥石流危险性等级的关联度计算,对四川地区雅泸高速公路的5条泥石流沟进行了评价,得出与实际相符合的结论。并与其他评价方法相比表明:该方法不仅可以应用在泥石流危险性评价上,而且所得的结果会更加合理,具有较好的适用性。 相似文献
18.
19.
The dynamics and thermodynamics of large ash flows 总被引:6,自引:6,他引:0
Ash flow deposits, containing up to 1000 km3 of material, have been produced by some of the largest volcanic eruptions known. Ash flows propagate several tens of kilometres
from their source vents, produce extensive blankets of ash and are able to surmount topographic barriers hundreds of metres
high. We present and test a new model of the motion of such flows as they propagate over a near horizontal surface from a
collapsing fountain above a volcanic vent. The model predicts that for a given eruption rate, either a slow (10–100 m/s) and
deep (1000–3000 m) subcritical flow or a fast (100–200 m/s) and shallow (500–1000 m) supercritical flow may develop. Subcritical
ash flows propagate with a nearly constant volume flux, whereas supercritical flows entrain air and become progressively more
voluminous. The run-out distance of such ash flows is controlled largely by the mass of air mixed into the collapsing fountain,
the degree of fragmentation and the associated rate of loss of material into an underlying concentrated depositional system,
and the mass eruption rate. However, in supercritical flows, the continued entrainment of air exerts a further important control
on the flow evolution. Model predictions show that the run-out distance decreases with the mass of air entrained into the
flow. Also, the mass of ash which may ascend from the flow into a buoyant coignimbrite cloud increases as more air is entrained
into the flow. As a result, supercritical ash flows typically have shorter runout distances and more ash is elutriated into
the associated coignimbrite eruption columns. We also show that one-dimensional, channellized ash flows typically propagate
further than their radially spreading counterparts.
As a Plinian eruption proceeds, the erupted mass flux often increases, leading to column collapse and the formation of pumiceous
ash flows. Near the critical conditions for eruption column collapse, the flows are shed from high fountains which entrain
large quantities of air per unit mass. Our model suggests that this will lead to relatively short ash flows with much of the
erupted material being elutriated into the coignimbrite column. However, if the mass flux subseqently increases, then less
air per unit mass is entrained into the collapsing fountain, and progressively larger flows, which propagate further from
the vent, will develop.
Our model is consistent with observations of a number of pyroclastic flow deposits, including the 1912 eruption of Katmai
and the 1991 eruption of Pinatubo. The model suggests that many extensive flow sheets were emplaced from eruptions with mass
fluxes of 109–1010 kg/s over periods of 103–105 s, and that some indicators of flow "mobility" may need to be reinterpreted. Furthermore, in accordance with observations,
the model predicts that the coignimbrite eruption columns produced from such ash flows rose between 20 and 40 km.
Received: 25 August 1995 / Accepted: 3 April 1996 相似文献
20.
Erik Rüttener Juan José Egozcue Dieter Mayer-Rosa Stephan Mueller 《Natural Hazards》1996,14(2-3):165-178
Seismic hazard analysis is based on data and models, which both are imprecise and uncertain. Especially the interpretation of historical information into earthquake parameters, e.g. earthquake size and location, yields ambiguous and imprecise data. Models based on probability distributions have been developed in order to quantify and represent these uncertainties. Nevertheless, the majority of the procedures applied in seismic hazard assessment do not take into account these uncertainties, nor do they show the variance of the results. Therefore, a procedure based on Bayesian statistics was developed to estimate return periods for different ground motion intensities (MSK scale).Bayesian techniques provide a mathematical model to estimate the distribution of random variables in presence of uncertainties. The developed method estimates the probability distribution of the number of occurrences in a Poisson process described by the parameter . The input data are the historical occurrences of intensities for a particular site, represented by a discrete probability distribution for each earthquake. The calculation of these historical occurrences requires a careful preparation of all input parameters, i.e. a modelling of their uncertainties. The obtained results show that the variance of the recurrence rate is smaller in regions with higher seismic activity than in less active regions. It can also be demonstrated that long return periods cannot be estimated with confidence, because the time period of observation is too short. This indicates that the long return periods obtained by seismic source methods only reflects the delineated seismic sources and the chosen earthquake size distribution law. 相似文献