紫色土不同土体的土壤肥力综合评价

采用专家系统建立了土壤肥力综合评判体系,应用模糊综合评判方法对不同土体的肥力进行了综合评判。评判结果表明,不同质地层次的土体均为可级,不同培肥土体均为优级。以综合评价总分,比较了不同土体肥力的优劣。简要分析了不同土体肥力差异的原因。由此为紫色土改良、防治其退化提供了科学依据。     

Mental Maps and Fuzziness in Space Preferences*

Mental maps are widely used to represent aggregate residential preferences in a population. This study examines the contention by researchers that the dominant viewpoint in a group in terms of residential desirability is not affected by the fuzziness in individual space preferences. Results indicate that a significant misrepresentation of group preferences can result when fuzziness of individual preferences is overlooked. The use of ordinal scales to generate mental maps is likely to distort the actual pattern of residential preferences that dominates in the group because of the failure of the ranking approach to account for imprecision and ambiguity in individual preferences. Because interval scales used in rating or evaluating tasks do not force individuals to give a crisp judgement of places, they are more adequate than ordinal scales for mental mapping and for behavioral analysis.     

水文水资源系统贝叶斯分析现状与前景

简介了贝叶斯分析的基本原理,综述了它在水文水资源系统中考虑不确定性和风险的特点及其在径流预报、洪水分析与地区综合、水资源规划与管理等问题中的应用,并分析了其发展前景,着重指出将灰色先验分布、模糊似然函数在贝叶斯定理框架中耦合的综合途径.     

对一起地震传言的影响评价和对策思考

本文对1993年10—11月份发生在厦门的地震传言的平息对策和社会调查统计作了研究，得到了几点有关地震社会学的认识。     

陕西灞源地区金矿远景区统计预测

近年来经初步工作在陕西灞源地区查明、发现小型金矿床、矿点共31处，本文根据矿点本身的各种特征，用模糊综合评判法对矿点矿化强度进行了评价和排序，以此为基础建立单元含矿性变列，筛选出成矿环境变量16个，用逻辑信息法在区内圈出金矿远景区A类40km^-2，B类46km^-2.为本区金矿进一步勘查工作部署提供了依据。     

汾渭地震带地震发生的统计分析

应用极值理论、马尔科夫过程、震级－频度关系等６种方法，分别对汾渭地震带地震发生的规律性进行了讨论，各种方法取得了比较一致的预测效果。经计算得到：汾渭地震带今后５年内，有可能发生Ｍｓ＝５．０级左右的地震，发生Ｍｓ＞５．５级地震的可能性较小；Ｍｓ＝５．０、５．５级地震的复发周期分别为６年和２５年左右；自１３００年以来．其５．０级以上的地震活动存在着２３０±１０年的卓越周期。     

重庆渝北地区地质环境质量模糊评判方法

近几年来，重庆市渝北地区地质环境质量显著恶化，严重威胁区内工、农业生产的发展。针对这种现状，本文较详尽地介绍了模糊综合评判方法在地质环境质量评价中的运用，讨论了用层次分析法计算权值。     

Fuzzy influence function method for calculating mine subsidence in a horizontal seam

Summary The fuzzy influence function method takes account of the effect of the rock mass around the edges of a panel on the surface subsidence. Unlike conventional influence functions, the shape and value of the fuzzy influence function varies with both the position of points calculated on the surface and the position of elements integrated in the extracted area underground. Consequently, the results obtained by using the fuzzy influence function method can automatically give rise to a shift of the inflection point towards the goaf and asymmetry in shape. The accuracy of the calculation is also improved. Case-history examples of mining subsidence engineering show good agreement between the results from geodesic measurements and those calculated from the fuzzy influence function method. The programs for back-analysis of parameters can approach satisfactory results of optimization.     

煤和岩性的多级模糊综合评判识别

在多级模糊综合评判的数学基础上,提出利用测井资料识别煤田钻孔剖面上煤和岩性的方法。采用频数统计方法,建立第一级评价矩阵及权数向量,以正态分布型隶属函数形成第二级评价矩阵,对评价矩阵与权数矩阵作模糊运算获得评判结果。处理实例证明了这种方法的可靠性。     

应用Fuzzy集理论对地下水位动态分类

本文应用Fuzzy集理论,给出一个对地下水位动态进行分类的数学模型,并借助计算机对西安市部分地区地下水位进行了分类。