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Spatial Distribution and Temporal Variation of the Winter Wheat Late Frost Disaster in Henan, China 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1 下载免费PDF全文
ZHANG Xuefen ZHENG Youfei WANG Chunyi CHEN Huailiang REN Zhenhe ZOU Chunhui 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》2011,25(2):249-259
The winter wheat late frost disaster(WFD) occurs mainly in the Yellow and Huaihe River area,of which Henan Province covers the most part.Henan is the major area of wheat production in China,but it is severely hit by the WFD.In this study,we construct a WFD index based on the minimum temperature and the winter wheat development period(WDP).The WFD degrees and days at 30 agrometeorological stations in Henan Province during the period of 1981-2004 are calculated.For the large-scale temporal variation analysis of WFD,the 24-yr WDP observation series is relatively short,so it is expanded by using the relation between the turning green date of winter wheat and the 5-day running mean temperature and that between the stem elongation phase and the effective cumulative temperature above a critical value of 2.5 ℃.The WFD data are also expanded for the last 50 years and are analyzed by using the empirical orthogonal function(EOF) and the Morlet wavelet methods.Characteristics in the spatial distribution and temporal variation of WFD are revealed.The results show that the frequency of WFD is generally high,exceeding 40% in parts of Henan,and exhibits a rising trend in the period of 1970-1990.The variation trend of WFD degrees is similar to that of WFD days,and the areas with higher WFD degrees coincide the areas with more WFD days.Moreover,the WFD degree has a greater impact on the winter wheat yield than the WFD days.The areas with high WFD degrees lie in the southeast and southwest of Henan,and the areas with low WFD degrees lie in the south of the Huaihe River and parts of western Henan.Temporal variations of the first and second EOF modes of the WFD degree display 16-and quasi-22-yr periodicities,respectively.The areas of high(low) WFD frequency are distributed in the northern Henan and the southwest border of Henan(the northeast Henan and the middle part of southwest Henan).The temporal variation of the first(second) EOF mode of WFD days exhibits a periodicity(periodicities) of quasi-4 yr(quasi-3 and quasi-6-7 yr). 相似文献
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以小于等于0 ℃最低气温作为霜冻指标,利用1961—2008年阿勒泰地区7个测站的逐日最低气温资料,采用现代气候诊断分析方法,分析了该地区初、终霜日和无霜期的气候变化特征。结果表明:近48 a来阿勒泰大部分地区呈初霜迟、终霜结束的早、无霜期延长的趋势,使作物生长季延长,其中哈巴河表现最为显著;极早初霜日发生频数为2—6次,以富蕴最多,极晚终霜日发生频数为1—4次。各站最迟、最早初霜日的差值和最早、最迟终霜日的差值均在30 d以上;哈巴河霜日发生了气候突变。 相似文献
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Effects of deforestation and weather on diurnal frost heave processes on the steep mountain slopes in south central Japan 下载免费PDF全文
Freezing and thawing processes play an important role for the gravitational transport of surface materials on steep mountain slopes in Japan. The effects of deforestation on frost heave activity were observed through the 2012/2013 winter season in Ikawa University Forest, a southern mountainous area in central Japan (1180–1310 m above sea level). During periods without snow cover, needle ice development prevailed at a clear‐cut site, and the downslope sediment movement of upper soil was 10 to 15 cm through the winter season. At a non‐cut site, rise and fall in the ground surface level prevailed on a weekly scale, with no evident downslope movements at the surface; ice lens formation in the soil layer is assumed. Abrupt changes in the radiation budget, such as the strengthening of nighttime radiative cooling and increases in daytime direct insolation, induced frequent development/deformation of needle ice at the clear‐cut site. In snow‐free periods, the day‐to‐day variability in needle ice growth length and in nighttime averaged net radiation showed significant correlations; cloudy weather with warmer and moist air intrusion associated with synoptic disturbances prevented the occurrence of needle ice. Namely, day‐to‐day weather changes directly affected the mass movement of the upper soil after deforestation. Shallow snow cover occurred discontinuously through the winter and is likely an important factor in keeping the soil moisture sufficiently high in the upper soil layer for initiating needle ice during snow‐free periods. We also discuss contributions of coastal extratropical cyclone activities providing both snow cover and cloudy weather in the southern mountain areas of central Japan to the intra‐seasonal variability in frost heave and its indirect effect on soil creep and landslides on the deforested steep slopes. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
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利用1971-2010年河南省均匀分布的110个地面气象站霜的观测资料,采用线性倾向率和单相关分析法,对近40 a河南省初霜期、终霜期和无霜期的时空分布特征及其对气温的响应进行研究,利用M-K法分析霜期的突变特征。结果表明:1971-2010年河南省平均无霜期为221.3 d,纬度与初霜期(R=-0.806)和无霜期(R=-0.707)均呈显著负相关,与终霜期(R=0.557)呈显著正相关;初霜期以2.6 d/10 a的速率呈明显推迟(p<0.01),而终霜期的线性变化趋势不明显,无霜期以4.7 d/10 a的速率呈明显延长(p<0.01);初霜期、终霜期和无霜期的突变点均在1998年。从各地区看,初霜期在各地区呈明显推迟,豫西地区推迟趋势最大(3.5 d/10 a,p<0.01);终霜期仅在豫西和豫南地区呈显著提前;除豫东地区外,无霜期在其余5个地区均呈明显延长,豫西地区延长趋势最大(7.7 d/10 a,p<0.01)。从各观测站霜期的变化趋势空间分布来看,初霜期显著推后、终霜期显著提前和无霜期明显延长的站点分布在豫西和豫南地区。河南省初霜期与10月、终霜期与3月气温因子相关性较强;初霜期推迟和终霜期提前主要由气温升高引起的,其中平均最低气温是最重要的影响因素。初霜期推迟和终霜期提前导致无霜期延长。 相似文献
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针对多年冻土区L型挡墙设计中水平冻胀力计算方法不完善的问题,基于利夫金地基模型及挡墙?土体之间的协同变形原理,分别建立了墙后有无换填土两种情况下的L型挡墙水平冻胀效应计算模型,利用叠加原理及有限差分法对所提出的计算模型进行了求解,并依托MATLAB自行编制了水?热?力耦合分析软件。结合工程实例,应用提出的L型挡墙水平冻胀效应计算方法得到的水平冻胀力值分别与现场实测值、修正土压力值、规范经验值及水?热?力耦合软件模拟值进行对比分析,结果表明:提出L型挡墙水平冻胀效应计算方法得到的水平冻胀力值与现场实测值及数值模拟值在大体趋势上吻合较好,修正土压力值、规范经验值低估了水平冻胀力对挡墙的作用;相比规范经验值及现场实测值,提出的L型挡墙水平冻胀效应计算方法得到的水平冻胀力沿墙高呈抛物线和梯形两种分布模式,更具有普遍性;通过多场耦合分析可知,所提出L型挡墙水平冻胀效应计算方法与水?热?力耦合方法得到冻胀力趋势相似,表明了计算方法的可行性,可为多年冻土区L型挡墙设计提供一定的理论支持和指导。 相似文献
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寒冻风化是冰缘地貌区及高寒山区的主要物理风化过程,其提供的风化碎屑物质是该区域崩塌等灾害性地貌过程的主要物质来源。由于寒冻风化对基岩的破碎是由温度控制的累积过程,过去温度变化对地貌演化具有重要意义,但其时间尺度的选取尚需进一步探究。因此本文选取祁连山北部为研究区,通过对比分析风化碎屑的空间分布特征与不同时间尺度温度变化控制的平均寒冻风化强度的空间分布特征,探讨干旱半干旱高寒山区风化碎屑空间分布的主要控制因素。结果显示,万年尺度及十万年尺度平均寒冻风化强度的高值与风化碎屑边界存在较好的空间一致性,祁连山西段万年尺度平均寒冻风化强度的高值与风化碎屑边界的空间相关性优于十万年尺度。本研究同时指出,温度升高导致寒冻风化的作用区向高海拔区域移动,进而产生新的高风险灾害区域。本研究强调寒冻风化对灾害性地貌过程的调控作用,为全球变暖背景下灾害性地貌过程的预测提供了新的思路,可以成为防灾减灾决策的重要参考。 相似文献
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This paper aims to determine the optimal fines content of coarse-grained soil required to simultaneously achieve weaker frost susceptibility and better bearing capacity. We studied the frost susceptibility and strength properties of coarse-grained soil by means of frost heaving tests and static triaxial tests, and the results are as follows:(1) the freezing temperature of coarse-grained soil decreased gradually and then leveled off with incremental increases in the percent content of fines; (2) the fines content proved to be an important factor influencing the frost heave susceptibility and strength properties of coarse-grained soil. With incremental increases in the percent content of fines, the frost heave ratio increased gradually and the cohesion function of fines effectively enhanced the shear strength of coarse-grained soil before freeze-thaw, but the frost susceptibility of fines weakened the shear strength of coarse-grained soil after freeze-thaw; (3) with increasing numbers of freeze-thaw cycles,the shear strength of coarse-grained soil decreased and then stabilized after the ninth freeze-thaw cycle, and therefore the mechanical indexes of the ninth freeze-thaw cycle are recommended for the engineering design values; and (4) considering frost susceptibility and strength properties as a whole, the optimal fines content of 5% is recommended for railway subgrade coarse-grained soil fillings in frozen regions. 相似文献