煤田火区碳排放量计算模型和关键参数研究

完善碳排放清单,是进行减排工作的基础,为了查明煤田火区对大气碳排放的贡献量,以煤氧复合作用学说为理论基础,从不同的研究思路出发,提出了烧失煤量法和排放通量法两种火区碳排放量计算模型。在明确模型中关键参数“释放因子”“排放系数α”“排放通量”“排放系数β”的具体含义的基础上,重点对各参数所对应的获取途径进行了研究论述：(1)释放因子通过在室内进行煤自燃模拟实验得出;(2)排放系数α通过煤岩吸附实验结合火区实地勘测得出;(3)排放通量通过对火区现场煤自燃气体排放及环境因素的实时监测得出;(4)排放系数β通过对遥感图像裂隙信息的提取得到。上述两种计算模型在我国乌达实验区进行了实际应用,并对其可实现性进行了检验。     

2010年“8.8”舟曲特大山洪泥石流灾害形成的气候特征及地质地理环境分析

利用舟曲气象和地质资料,分析了2010年8月8日发生的"8.8"舟曲特大山洪泥石流灾害形成的气候特征和地质地理环境.这次泥石流是在舟曲特殊的地质地貌和地理环境下,由于前期干旱,突遇强降水而发生的一次特大地质灾害.崩塌、滑坡、地震和人为因素,特别是"5.12"汶川地震,较大程度上破坏了舟曲地质,为泥石流提供了丰富的物质来源;前期干旱在一定程度上加剧了这次灾害;超历史极值的强降水是触发泥石流的直接因素.通过对舟曲气候研究表明,7、8月降雨频繁,而且过程雨量大,尤其8月上旬大雨发生频率最高,应密切关注可能引发的地质灾害.加强对地质地貌的保护,研究历史气候及月季气候特征对泥石流发生的影响,确定在不同地形和地质地貌背景下的泥石流降水量阈值,对泥石流灾害发生的预报有着十分重要的意义.     

湟源地区“2010·07”暴雨洪水调查分析

2010年7月6日青海湟源地区普降暴雨,暴雨中心山根地区发生了200年一遇特大暴雨,湟源县董家庄水文站出现了200年一遇的特大洪水,造成了重大的洪涝灾害。本文通过这次暴雨洪水调查情况,对"2010·07"暴雨洪水特性进行了分析,以便为研究该地区暴雨洪水灾害及防治对策提供科学依据。     

潍坊市洪水资源利用现状及开发利用对策研究

洪水资源利用是解决潍坊市水资源短缺的重要途径.本文系统闸述了潍坊市降水及洪水特征,进行了洪水资源利用现状和潜力分析,提出了洪水资源安全利用的原则、前提条件、合理配置及利用模式,为该地区洪水资源的合理开发,持续利用提供了依据.     

Impact of Kiri dam on the lower reaches of river Gongola, Nigeria

Changes in Geomorphic characteristics in the lower reaches of the Gongola River channel following construction of Kiri dam have been investigated. The study focused on changes in the channel bankfull width and of riverbed width after the control of the river flow, variation in discharge characteristics between pre- and post- dam periods and the impact of discharge variation on post- dam river channel. Results of the analysis revealed that the main effect of the impoundment of the Gongola channel is a drastic decrease in flood peaks below the reservoir by 11.5% (from 1,420 m³/sec to 1,256 m³/sec). The low flows have on the other hand increased by 268% (from 5.7 m³/sec to 21 m³/sec). The resultant effect of decrease in the discharge was reduction in the channel bankfull and riverbed widths by 38.3% and 72.2% respectively. Also, the post- dam channel became less sinuous and braided in some of the reaches downstream. Discharges of high peaks were found during the period of maximum precipitation (June to September) whereas low discharges were recorded during the period of minimum or no precipitation (December to May). Some of the observed implications of the flow control on the geometric variables were reduction in the overall channel width, concave bank erosion and emergence of vegetation in some of the reaches.     

Floodplain Residents' Preferences for Water Level Management Options in Flood Control Projects in Bangladesh

A maximum difference conjoint (MDC) model was part of a questionnaire toassess floodplain residents' preferences for the outcomes of water level managementinside an enclosed embankment system on the left bank of the Dhaleswari River, calledthe Compartmentalization Pilot Project (CPP)-Tangail. The outcomes were described as(a) varied flood depths in the rice field, (b) incidence of flooding on the courtyard andinside homes, (c) changes in floodplain and culture fisheries, and (d) varied conditionsof drainage congestion. Following a standard survey, the respondents from inside andoutside a completed section of the compartment (Cluster 1b) were shown profiles of these flood management outcomes and were asked to indicate for each profile the one most preferred and the one least preferred item. The results of the study indicated that the respondents had a clear preference for preventing flooding of their homes and courtyards and for an ideal water depth of 2 ft in the aman rice fields. At the same time, they also showed a strong concern about malfunctioning of sluices and to a lesser extent about the changes in the fish habitat. The successful application of the MDC as an approach to model tradeoffs among rural residents of Bangladesh shows that a relatively complex quantitative survey method, incorporating choice cards as pictograms, can be applied successfully even in a developing country.     

河流生态系统结构功能整体性概念模型

在完善与整合现有河流生态系统结构功能概念及模型的基础上,提出河流生态系统结构功能整体性概念模型。水文情势、水力条件和地貌景观格局是对河流生态系统结构与功能具有关键影响的3大生境要素,结构功能模型的核心是建立以3大生境要素为构架的生命支持系统与河流生命系统之间的相互作用和相互制约关系,同时考虑由于人类活动引起生境要素变化对于河流生态系统的影响。河流生态系统结构功能整体性概念模型由以下4种模型组成:河流四维连续体模型、水文情势-河流生态过程耦合模型、水力条件-生物生活史特征适宜模型以及地貌景观空间异质性-生物群落多样性关联模型,这4种模型的一体化整合,基本概括了河流生态系统结构功能的整体特征。     

Late Quaternary megafloods from Glacial Lake Atna, Southcentral Alaska, U.S.A.

Geomorphic, stratigraphic, geotechnical, and biogeographic evidence indicate that failure of a Pleistocene ice dam between 15.5 and 26 ka generated a megaflood from Glacial Lake Atna down the Matanuska Valley. While it has long been recognized that Lake Atna occupied ≥ 9000 km² of south-central Alaska's Copper River Basin, little attention has focused on the lake's discharge locations and behaviors. Digital elevation model and geomorphic analyses suggest that progressive lowering of the lake level by decanting over spillways exposed during glacial retreat led to sequential discharges down the Matanuska, Susitna, Tok, and Copper river valleys. Lake Atna's size, ∼ 50 ka duration, and sequential connection to four major drainages likely made it a regionally important late Pleistocene freshwater refugium. We estimate a catastrophic Matanuska megaflood would have released 500–1400 km³ at a maximum rate of ≥ 3 × 10⁶ m³ s^{− 1}. Volumes for the other outlets ranged from 200 to 2600 km³ and estimated maximum discharges ranged from 0.8 to 11.3 × 10⁶ m³ s^{− 1}, making Lake Atna a serial generator of some of the largest known freshwater megafloods.     

Roles of Biogeochemical Processes in the Oceanic Carbon Cycle Described with a Simple Coupled Physical-Biogeochemical Model

To evaluate the contribution of biogeochemical processes to the oceanic carbon cycle and to calculate the ratio of calcium carbonate to organic carbon downward export, we have incorporated biological and alkalinity pumps in the yoked high-latitude exchange/interior diffusion-advection (YOLDA) model. The biogeochemical processes are represented by four parameters. The values of the parameters are tuned so that the model can reproduce the observed phosphate and alkalinity distributions in each oceanic region. The sensitivity of the model to the biogeochemical parameters shows that biological production rates in the euphotic zone and decomposition depths of particulate matters significantly influence horizontal and vertical distributions of biogeochemical substances. The modeled vertical fluxes of particulate organic phosphorus and calcium carbonate are converted to vertical carbon fluxes by the biological pump and the alkalinity pump, respectively. The downward carbon flux from the surface layer to the deep layer in the entire region is estimated to be 3.36 PgC/yr, which consists of 2.93 PgC/yr from the biological pump and 0.43 PgC/yr from the alkalinity pump, which is consistent with previous studies. The modeled rain ratio is higher with depth and higher in the Pacific and Indian Oceans than in the Atlantic Ocean. The global rain ratio at the surface layer is calculated to be 0.14 to 0.15. This value lies between the lower and higher ends of the previous estimates, which range widely from 0.05 to 0.25. This study indicates that the rain ratio is unlikely to be higher than 0.15, at least in the surface waters.     

1950～2000年黄河入海水沙的逐日变化及其影响因素

对 195 0～ 2 0 0 0年的 5 1年黄河经利津水文站入海的逐日水沙实测资料进行统计分析 ,展示了黄河入海水沙的极端情况 ,如洪峰和沙峰等逐渐变少到消失的过程及逐日入海水沙量的变化规律 ,并对其影响因素进行了初步分析。结果显示 :在黄河年均入海水沙锐减的背景下 ,2 0世纪 90年代日均流量 <5 0 0m3 /s的天数增加到了是 2 0世纪 5 0年代的 3倍多 ;>2 0 0 0m3 /s的洪季流量由初期频发至 1997年消失 ;>40 0 0m3 /s的洪峰流量自 1989年以后消失 ;>60 0 0m3 /s的洪峰流量从 1986年就不再发生。 >5 0 0t/s的日均输沙率 (4 3 .2× 10 6t/d的沙峰 )都出现在 1989年以前 ;>70 0t/s的日均输沙率 (60 .5× 10 6t/d的沙峰 )出现在 1977年以前 ;含沙量 >80kg/m3 的历时和可能产生异重流的含沙量天数都逐步减少。进入 2 0世纪 90年代以来基本不存在大洪灾及由沙峰造成的河口河道快速堆积而使河流改道现象 ,引起这些变化的因素除降雨外主要为流域耗水量不断增加及大中型水库的建成运用等 ,黄河入海水沙的这种锐减及水沙峰的极端情况都会对河口演变和河口区的生态环境产生重要的影响。