汶川Ms8.0地震前InSAR垂直形变场变化特征研究

利用D-InSAR技术,选用汶川地震前日本ALOS/PALSAR数据,提取了汶川地震前4个条带的形变场,形变场覆盖了映秀镇、茂县、北川县、平武和青川县.结果显示,汶川地震前形变场沿断层呈“凸”状对称形变分布特征,沿发震断层附近出现隆起形变,而远离发震断层两盘均出现下沉,且随着远离断层距离的增加,沉降幅度逐步增加.在断层两侧附近的平武、北川、安县、江油一带出现了大面积形变隆起,幅度为5～10 cm,且断层西侧抬升范围大于东侧.在映秀镇和汶川地震震中附近,沿断层两侧呈现出小范围斑块状隆起,范围在10～15 cm.该隆起区域与汶川震中位置和破裂最强烈段落基本一致.在远离断层的两盘区域出现沉降,绵阳至成都一带沉降范围在0～ -10 cm之间,松潘至文县一带沉降范围在-5～ -10 cm之间.研究表明对于处于闭锁阶段的逆冲断层,震前的垂直变形可能是其主要变形特征.虽然获得的震前形变变化可能存在5 cm的DEM和对流层大气延迟造成的误差,但这种震前垂直形变场变化趋势仍然存在,可能为地震监测预报提供科学依据.     

X射线衍射增强成像的折射角信息提取算法综述

本文简要地介绍了衍射增强成像方法的物理原理,根据折射角信息提取所需要的DEI图像采样的数量进行分类,分别详细介绍了利用两幅DEI图像、三幅DEI图像以及多幅DEI图像进行折射角信息提取的算法,并依次分析了它们的特点及性能.对于不同的实际应用需要,灵活的选择使用这些折射角信息提取方法,可以获得更好的图像效果.     

Fe,Mn, P and S Speciation in Sediments from the Capivara Hydroelectric Dam Lake (Brazil) as an Indicator of Anthropogenic Influences

The conservation of large water resources is essential for the preservation of human life. The quantification and, more importantly, the speciation of chemical substances that indicate the presence of anthropogenic contamination in water resources are of great importance. This paper presents the results of analysis for the determination of organic, inorganic and total phosphorus, pseudo‐sulfur, and iron and manganese, in five fractions, in water sediments collected from the Capivara Hydroelectric Power Plant, Brazil. A study on the seasonal variation of these parameters was conducted, with data having been collected in the winter and in the summer, at two sites along the dam, 5 km apart, close to the city of Primeiro de Maio. Phosphorous was found in sediments and adjacent soil in the organic form (OP), and was used as an indicator of anthropogenic influence on the reservoir banks. Speciation of potentially toxic Mn showed that it is present in the exchangeable fraction of the 0–5 cm depth layer (sediment/water interface), making its transfer to the water column possible. Results from this study showed that domestic and industrial effluent treatment measures are needed for the preservation of the quality of aquatic environments.     

基于SOFM神经网络的边坡稳定性评价

针对边坡工程稳定性分析中参数的不确定性,在分析自组织特征映射神经网络（SOFM）基本学习算法的基础上,从提高算法收敛速度和性能出发,将自组织特征映射神经网络基本学习算法加以改进,据此建立了评价边坡稳定状态的SOFM神经网络模型。然后用收集到的边坡稳定工程实例作为样本,对该模型进行训练和检验,并与BP神经网络判别结果对比。结果表明,SOFM神经网络性能良好、预测精度高,是边坡稳定性评价的一种有效方法。     

遥感技术提取海岸线的研究进展

海岸带是比较活跃和脆弱的地段,快速而准确地监测海岸线的动态变化对于海域的使用管理具有十分重要的意义.遥感技术具有宏观、快速、综合、高频、动态和低成本等突出优势.重点介绍了利用阈值分割、边缘检测、色差算子提取、区域生长提取及神经网络分类等方法自动提取瞬时水边线,通过潮位校正进而提取海岸线的研究进展,分析了各种提取方法的优缺点,并就其存在的不足展望了今后的研究方向.     

Insights from a Simple Hotelling Model of the World Oil Market

This paper uses annual data on world oil price and consumption from 1965 to 2006 to calibrate a Hotelling model of optimal nonrenewable resource extraction. Numerical solutions are generated for various specifications of the elasticity of demand for both isoelastic demand and linear demand under each of two possible market structures: perfect competition and monopoly. Prior to the 1973 oil crisis, the model that best fits actual data is one of perfect competition with linear demand and a demand elasticity of −0.4. For the periods 1973–1981 and 1981–1990, the model that best fits actual data is one of monopoly with linear demand and demand elasticities of −0.8 and −0.7, respectively, suggesting that the market was strongly influenced by OPEC during this time. Under the model that best fits the most recent period (perfect competition with linear demand and demand elasticity −0.5), the real oil price (in 1982–1984 U.S.$) should fall in the range $60.87–$66.31/barrel over the years 2010–2030.

新疆旅游资源的类型、等级及空间分布特征

在全面掌握新疆旅游资源的实查资料基础上,对全疆旅游资源做系统分类与定量评价,总结其类型、等级和空间分布特征,并从新疆地理环境变迁和多民族、多文化的社会环境两方面分析新疆高品质旅游资源的成因。结果表明:新疆旅游资源类型多样,与全国相比,主类、亚类齐全,基本类型占66.5%;八大类中建筑与设施和地文景观的种类较丰富;建筑与设施类景点最多,水域风光和生物景观次之;新疆旅游资源等级较高,优良级占43.6%,整体为中间大两头小的谷仓型结构;高等级集中于凸峰、观光游憩湖区、林地、草地、野生动物栖息地、废城与聚落地、石窟、边境口岸、特色街巷、传统手工产品与制品、民间演艺等类;空间分布呈现为三带两环状和六点状集聚特征,这与新疆地貌格局和高品质景点的聚群作用有关;新疆自然旅游资源是整个地理环境演变过程的产物;而多民族、多文化的社会环境是人文类的主要成因。     

Shallow groundwater dynamics in North China Plain

The groundwater level of 39 observation wells including 35 unconfined wells and 4 confined wells from 2004 to 2006 in North China Plain (NCP) was monitored using automatic groundwater monitoring data loggers KADEC-MIZU II of Japan. The automatic groundwater sensors were installed for the corporation project between China and Japan. Combined with the monitoring results from 2004 to 2006 with the major factors affecting the dynamic patterns of groundwater, such as topography and landform, depth of groundwater level, exploitation or discharge extent, rivers and lakes, the dynamic regions of NCP groundwater were gotten. According to the dynamic features of groundwater in NCP, six dynamic patterns of groundwater level were identified, including discharge pattern in the piedmont plain, lateral recharge– runoff–discharge pattern in the piedmont plain, recharge–discharge pattern in the central channel zone, precipitation infiltration–evaporation pattern in the shallow groundwater region of the central plain, lateral recharge–evaporation pattern in the recharge-affected area along the Yellow River and infiltration–discharge–evaporation pattern in the littoral plain. Based on this, the groundwater fluctuation features of various dynamic patterns were interpreted and the influencing factors of different dynamic patterns were compared.     

地热开采对聊古1井地下流体动态的影响及其对策

简要介绍了聊古1井井区的水文地质条件,全面调查了聊城地震水化站外围地热资源开发的现状,在此基础上分析了地热开发对地震地下流体观测及其动态的影响。结果表明,井区周围地热开发导致聊古1井断流,引起了各项动态异常的出现;该井区碳酸盐岩岩溶性水的开采对地下流体观测及其动态产生影响,特别是冬季供暖期的开采对地下水物理动态产生严重干扰。为了消除或减弱这种影响,通过改造井口装置实现人工自流的方法,保证了各项观测,而且部分测项的观测条件得到改善,多数测项的动态资料可连续,只有少数测项动态受到较大影响,井口改造取得了一定实效。然而,根本的出路还应是保护观测系统,停止同层地热开发     

汶川8.0级地震序列活动的分段性研究

在汶川8.0级地震序列的跟踪研究中, 发现汶川地震序列具有明显的空间分段活动特点。 根据对汶川地震余震序列的部分测震学指标计算, 结果表明, 汶川地震序列可能是由以绵竹为界, 其西南段的汶川主-余震序列和绵竹北东段的北川－青川6级震群地震序列组成, 汶川地震可能具有龙门山活动构造的继承性运动特点。