巨厚松散层下煤层开采的抗渗透性破坏和煤柱安全性研究——以口孜东矿为例

采掘诱发裂隙导通顶板上覆含水砂层中产生的水力坡度是渗透型溃砂的关键判断依据之一,但是,到目前为止主要是采用定流量下的稳定流水力坡度表达式计算,而实际上,上覆含水层中水动力条件和涌水量在溃水溃砂过程中都是非稳定的。本文依据非稳定流理论,给出了二维潜水、承压水单井定降深模型下的水力坡度J的解析公式,并分析了J随时间和距离的演变特征。结果表明,对于潜水,J随与井的距离r的增加而下降,下降速度随r的增加而减小;存在拐点r′,当r<r′时,J随时间延长而下降,在r>r′时,J随时间延长而增加;随着地下水头H₀的增加,J是增加的;本文获得的潜水的非稳定流条件下的J大于潜水稳定流的J。对于承压水,J随r的增加而下降,下降速度随r的增加而减小;与潜水不同的是,在不同r处,J随时间延长而下降,不存在拐点;随着H₀的增加,J是增加的;本文获得的承压水的非稳定流条件下的J不总大于承压水稳定流的J。最后,在伊犁河谷某矿对本文方法进行了初步应用。     

胶结钙质土的室内试验研究进展

天然胶结钙质土是广泛分布于热带及亚热带海洋中由生物碎屑经碳酸钙胶结或固结而形成的碳酸盐岩类。其独特的工程性质常常给岩土工程设计与施工带来麻烦,也正因此引起了研究者的兴趣并对其开展了较为全面的试验研究工作。针对天然胶结钙质土、人工胶结钙质土的室内试验以及人工胶结钙质土试样的制备等3方面取得的研究进展进行总结回顾,汇总了胶结钙质土的基本应力-应变行为以及围压、初始密度及胶结度等主要参数的影响规律,指出了研究中尚存在的问题,并对胶结钙质土的进一步的研究工作进行了展望。该工作必将对此领域的研究具有借鉴和指导意义。     

基于粗糙集理论的地震前兆综合预测研究

以实际震例的异常数据为样本,利用粗糙集理论的离散、约简和推理功能,对地震前兆异常属性进行约简,进而对地震震级进行推理分类.初步结果表明,该方法可以在一定程度上找到异常数据与震级之间的内在联系,是一种可行的地震前兆综合预测方法.     

基于可靠度理论的滑坡稳定性及其影响因素分析

基于可靠度理论,利用Morgenstern-Price法、Ordinary法、Bishop法和Janbu法等4类极限平衡方法对台州市北水南调工程朱溪引水段Ⅷ号滑坡的稳定性进行了分析,设计了最不利组合、最有利组合、平均值组合的确定性分析方案,目的是为可靠度计算结果提供对比基准;设计了Monte-Carlo循环次数为5 000,50 000,500 000,5 000 000次等4种计算工况,岩土参数的概率分布函数为正态分布、三角形分布和均匀分布等3种情况,方差等于0.5,1.0,2.0,3.0,4.0,5.0倍初始实验方差等6种计算方案,岩土参数间相关性在-1.0～1.0间按0.25等幅变化的9种情况。研究发现,循环次数仅对安全系极值有较大影响,对可靠度指标影响不大;分布函数和数据离散性均会对结果精度造成影响;参数相关性仅对失效概率造成较大影响。     

易县地震台四分量钻孔应变观测震前异常特征

通过对河北易县地震台钻孔应变资料进行处理,发现在2014年9月6日涿鹿4.3级和2015年9月14日昌黎4.2级地震前,该台四分量钻孔应变观测到显著前兆异常变化,与2012年5月28日唐山4.8级地震前出现的异常相似度较高,异常形态均表现为"来快去慢",均在极值附近维持数日后,逐渐恢复原值过程中发生地震。     

多维地震下考虑不同破坏准则的输电塔-线体系倒塌分析

研究了基于不同失效准则多维地震激励下输电塔-线体系的倒塌。根据实际工程,运用ABAQUS有限元分析软件,考虑材料非线性和几何非线性,建立了包含两基输电塔与3跨输电线的大跨越输电塔-线体系三维有限元模型。提出了2种不同的杆件失效准则,采用用户材料子程序,基于动力显式分析方法,研究了大跨越输电塔-线体系在3条典型天然地震波作用下考虑不同失效准则的倒塌机理,并对输电塔的杆件失效、节间位移角以及相对薄弱位置进行了分析。分析结果可以为大跨越输电塔-线体系的抗震设计提供参考。     

Reliability of mooring lines and piles for a permanently manned vessel in a tropical cyclone environment

The factors of safety for stationkeeping systems in current standards (ISO, API) are not derived or validated using reliability analyses. As the oil and gas exploration and production is breaking new boundaries, deploying new floating systems and moving into regions with harsher environments, it is of paramount importance to understand what level of reliability these new marine structures are achieving. This paper presents a reliability analysis of the mooring system of a Floating LNG (FLNG) vessel permanently moored and permanently manned offshore North West Australia in a tropical cyclone environment. The reliability analysis addresses both the mooring chain and the pile foundation. The analysis accounts for the long term characteristics of the environment, including the short term variability, in response to a given sea state and the variability and uncertainty in strength of the mooring chain and the pile. The stationkeeping system was analysed using detailed time domain simulations, capturing system non-linearities and low frequency oscillations as well as wave frequency responses and, thereby, reducing modelling uncertainties to a minimum.It is found that for the conditions modelled, neither the chain nor the pile meet a target reliability of 10⁻⁴/annum using the factors of safety commonly used in design following current ISO and API standards. New factors of safety are proposed to achieve this target reliability. For the pile design, one complicating factor is that current design standards do not explicitly define the exceedance probability that should be associated with the characteristic value of the undrained shear strength to be used in the design. It is demonstrated that the required factor of safety is crucially dependent on the definition of this characteristic value and on the level and the type of uncertainty in the soil strength profile. A recommendation is made regarding the definition of this characteristic value and the associated factor of safety. Furthermore, it is found that designing the mooring system to an environmental condition with a return period of 10,000 yr (as an Abnormal Limit State event), and setting the factor of safety to unity, meets the target reliability of 10⁻⁴/annum for the pile, if the characteristic undrained shear strength is a lower bound, defined in this paper by the 10th percentile value. For the chain however, this target reliability is not achieved.     

语用迁移与跨文化交际能力的培养

随着我国改革开放的进展 ,跨国度、跨文化之间的交往越来越频繁。由于文化因素上的差异 ,交际行为在不同的文化中往往产生不同的意义 ,语用迁移难免会造成理解失误或交际失败。因而外语教学在培养学生整体语言技能的同时 ,应注意文化因素的渗透 ,提高学生的跨文化交际能力     

Optimal precursor of the transition from Kuroshio large meander to straight path

We used the conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation(CNOP) method to explore the optimal precursor of the transition from Kuroshio large meander(LM) to straight path within a barotropic inflowoutflow model,and found that large amplitudes of the optimal precursor are mainly located in the east of Kyushu,which implies that perturbations in the region are important for the transition from LM to straight path.Furthermore,we investigated the transition processes caused by the optimal precursor,and found that these processes could be divided into three stages.In the first stage,a cyclonic eddy is advected to the formation region of the Kuroshio large meander,which enhances the LM path and causes a cyclonic eddy to shed from the Kuroshio mainstream.This process causes the LM path to change into a small meander path.Subsequently,the small meander is maintained for a period because the vorticity advection is balanced by the beta effect in the second stage.In the third stage,the small meander weakens and the straight path ultimately forms.The positive vorticity advecting downstream is responsible for this process.The exploration of the optimal precursor will conduce to improve the prediction of the transition processes from LM path to straight path,and its spatial structure can be used to guide Kuroshio targeted observation studies.     

BDS卫星失效对区域定位精度的影响评估

基于STK软件实现了2016-09 BDS系统星座结构的仿真,并选取可见卫星数、DOP值、系统可用性作为评估BDS卫星星座设计结构的指标,分析单颗与全部倾斜轨道卫星（IGSO）、地球静止轨道卫星（GEO）失效后对我国大陆地区BDS系统可用性的影响。结果表明,IGSO4卫星与GEO5卫星失效后对BDS在区域的定位性能影响较大,失效后的GDOP值分别为1.98、2.16。取BDS卫星正常运行时区域平均GDOP最大值(S=2.60)作为系统可用性阈值时,系统可用性分别降低了1.79%、32.63%;阈值取2S(5.20)、3S(7.80)、4S(10.40)、5S(13.00)时,系统可用性均可达100.00%。GEO整体失效后BDS系统在高精度定位中仍部分可用,而IGSO整体失效后BDS系统可用性受到大幅度限制。因此,增加在轨备份卫星时需重点考虑GEO5、IGSO4,并适当增加IGSO卫星的数目。