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121.
《水文科学杂志》2013,58(4)
Abstract The management of water excesses and deficits is a major task in semiarid Mediterranean regions, where the variability of rainfall inputs is high at different time and space scales. Thus intense hydrometeorological events, which generate both potential resource and hazards, are of major interest. A simple method is proposed, with the example of the Skhira basin (192 km2) in central Tunisia, to account for the event space–time variability of rainfall in a rainfall–runoff model, in order to check its influence on the shape, magnitude and timing of resulting hydrographs. The transfer function used is a geomorphology-based unit hydrograph with an explicit territorial significance. Simulations made for highly variable events show the relevance of this method, seen as the first step of a downward approach, and its robustness with respect to the quality and the density of rainfall data. 相似文献
122.
《水文科学杂志》2013,58(5)
Abstract A revised approach to the calculation of baseflow using the method originally proposed by the United Kingdom Institute of Hydrology is presented. The revisions resolve two aspects of the method that lead to less than optimal results; that is, the calculation of values of baseflow that exceed the corresponding values of streamflow and the dependence of the calculated values on the origin of the five-day segmentation of the input streamflow data. The approach is illustrated using streamflow monitoring information that is typical for areas of southern Ontario, Canada, where baseflow is primarily the result of groundwater discharge. 相似文献
123.
《水文科学杂志》2013,58(3)
Abstract Abstract Generating pulses and then converting them into flow are two main steps of daily streamflow generation. Three pulse generation models have been proposed on the basis of Markov chains for the purpose of generating daily intermittent streamflow time series in this study. The first one is based on two two-state Markov chains, whereas the second uses a three-state Markov chain. The third model uses harmonic analysis and fits Fourier series to the three-state Markov chain. Results for a daily intermittent streamflow data series show a good performance of the proposed models. 相似文献
124.
《水文科学杂志》2013,58(1)
Abstract Abstract The aim of this study was to estimate the uncertainties in the streamflow simulated by a rainfall–runoff model. Two sources of uncertainties in hydrological modelling were considered: the uncertainties in model parameters and those in model structure. The uncertainties were calculated by Bayesian statistics, and the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm was used to simulate the posterior parameter distribution. The parameter uncertainty calculated by the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm was compared to maximum likelihood estimates which assume that both the parameters and model residuals are normally distributed. The study was performed using the model WASMOD on 25 basins in central Sweden. Confidence intervals in the simulated discharge due to the parameter uncertainty and the total uncertainty were calculated. The results indicate that (a) the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm and the maximum likelihood method give almost identical estimates concerning the parameter uncertainty, and (b) the uncertainties in the simulated streamflow due to the parameter uncertainty are less important than uncertainties originating from other sources for this simple model with fewer parameters. 相似文献
125.
《水文科学杂志》2013,58(2)
Abstract Abstract The role of accuracy in the representation of infiltration on the effectiveness of real-time flood forecasting models was investigated. A simple semi-distributed model of conceptual type with adaptive estimate of hydraulic characteristics included in the infiltration component was selected. Infiltration was described by a very accurate approach recently formulated for complex rainfall patterns, or alternatively through a simpler formulation known as an extension of the classical time compression approximation. The results indicated that, for situations involving a significant rainfall variability in space, the inaccuracy in the representation of infiltration cannot be corrected by the adaptive component of the rainfall–runoff model. A preliminary analysis of the role of an approximation of saturated hydraulic conductivity to be used in each homogeneous area of the semi-distributed model used both in non-adaptive version and in real-time is also presented. 相似文献
126.
《水文科学杂志》2013,58(2)
Résumé Des mesures hydrométriques classiques et l'imagerie 2-D de résistivité électrique (IRE) détaillée ont été combinées avec le prélèvement de traceurs pour identifier les processus hydrologiques en jeu dans un bassin versant semi-aride de la province Cap-Oriental, en Afrique du Sud. L'étude des événements de précipitation et d'écoulement a souligné la forte relation qui existe entre les précipitations et les caractéristiques de la génération des écoulements. L'observation du potentiel hydrique du sol ainsi que du niveau d'eau souterraine a mis en évidence le développement d'une nappe perchée dans le sol. Ces résultats sont confirmés par des séparations d'hydrogrammes à base de traceurs et illustrent le rôle important des écoulements souterrains superficiels. L'étude par IRE a permis de mieux connaître la structure du sous-sol. Finalement, l'étude par IRE, combinée avec des mesures obtenues par réflectométrie en domaine temporel (TDR), a permis d'extrapoler à des mesures sélectives de teneur en eau. Pour récapituler, l'utilisation et la combinaison de différentes méthodes de terrain ont mené au développement d'un modèle conceptuel du fonctionnement hydrologique de ce bassin versant. Le rôle dominant des mécanismes de subsurface a été démontré. 相似文献
127.
Ana Moreno Blas L. Valero‐Garcés Montserrat Jiménez‐Sánchez María José Domínguez‐Cuesta M. Pilar Mata Ana Navas Penélope González‐Sampériz Heather Stoll Pedro Farias Mario Morellón J. Pablo Corella Mayte Rico 《第四纪科学杂志》2010,25(7):1076-1091
A sedimentological and geochemical study of the Lago Enol sequence (Cantabrian Mountains, northern Spain), together with detailed geomorphological mapping, provides a first record of glacier evolution and climate change over the last 40 ka in the Picos de Europa National Park. The Enol glacier retreated from its maximum extent prior to 40 ka BP as demonstrated by the onset of proglacial lacustrine sedimentation in two glaciated depressions: the Comella hollow to the north (before 40 ka BP) and the Lago Enol (before 38 ka BP). These results support previous evidence that the maximum extent of southern European glaciers occurred earlier than in northern Europe. Alternation of homogeneous and laminated proglacial sediments during the glacier retreat illustrate a dynamic glacial evolution during the Marine Isotope Stage (MIS) 3 (40–26 ka BP). A slight warming is detected at 26 ka ago with the change from proglacial sediments (in a lake located in contact to the glacier) to glaciolacustrine sedimentation (in a non‐contact or distal lake). Finally, the onset of organic‐rich sediments took place at 18 ka ago. This last transition occurred in two phases, similarly to the North Atlantic Last Termination, suggesting a link between North Atlantic Deep Water formation oscillations and palaeohydrological variability in the Cantabrian Mountains. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
128.
本文将南极海冰分为4个区:SPI1(0°-120°E),东南极海冰;SPI2(120°E-120°W),以罗斯海为主体的海冰区;SPI3(120°W-0°),以威德尔海为主体的海冰区;SPI4,全南极海冰区。北极海冰区分为3个区:NPI1(90°E-180°-90°W),太平洋侧冰区;NPI2(90°W-0°-90°E),大西洋侧冰区;NPI3,全北极冰区。本文使用了WDC-A的SIGRID海冰资料,以分析南极和北极各冰区之间的相互关系。发现两极各冰区之间存在着非常复杂的相互作用。其中最突出的特征是:两极海冰之间相互作用的振源是NPI2。SPI3是影响南极海冰的正反馈中心。SPI2则是南北两极海冰的负反馈中心。NPI2,SPI3和SPI2之间的相互作用最强,形成涛动关系。这种涛动关系不是同时期的,而是有较长的滞后时间差。两极海冰形成周期变化,其周期为5-6年,正与NPI2和SPI3自身变化周期一致。另外还有更长的循环周期9-11年 相似文献
129.
130.
Liu Xiaojin 《地理学报(英文版)》1994,(Z1)
l.Introducti0nIntheseveraldecadestilltheendofthe1970s,therewasnoanyleastd0ubtthatChinahadbeenfollOwingabalancedregi0naldevelopmentstrategy.0bligedtotlledolnesticandinternationalsituationofthattime,capitalinvestlnentxvasn1ost1yf0rcedt0beputintotheundevel0pedarea(westeconomiczone),thisstrategyprovedtobelesseffectiveandincurredahugelossofinvestmentbenefit.Althoughthewestzoneisabundantinnatllralresources(mineral,energyresourcesetc.),thelevelofregionaldevel0pmentfromeastzonet0westzoneisgradua1lydec… 相似文献