地震活动热红外异常的影响因素分析

对地表热红外辐射的基础理论和各类地物的热红外辐射特性进行了简略介绍;对地形地貌、地物类型和气象等非震因素对地表热红外辐射的影响及地表热红外亮温的时空变化特征进行了详细的分析;对各类非震因素的去除方法进行了探讨。初步认为,充分研究活动构造区带在各类非震因素影响下的热红外影像特征,掌握无震条件下的红外亮温时空演化过程,建立红外亮温变化的基准模型及各类非震因素的扣除模型,将有可能较好地排除非震因素的影响,检测出与地震活动有关的热异常。     

1949—2014年福建沿海沙地动态演变及其驱动因素

福建是中国南方地区沙化土地面积较大的省份,是华南沿海沙地的典型分布区。为定期、准确掌握福建沿海沙化土地现状及动态变化趋势,按照国家要求,福建省已先后开展了5次（1994、1999、2004、2009、2014年）沙化监测工作。采用历次监测数据及前期相关历史资料、多期卫星遥感影像等,分析了1949—2014年福建沿海沙地动态演变特征及驱动因素。结果表明：65年来福建沿海沙地面积总体呈现减少趋势。1949—1989年,沿海沙地总量保持稳定,但不同类型之间转换频繁。1989—2014年,沿海沙地总量减少迅速,大量以森林为主的固定沙地（丘）和沙化耕地向以居民点、工矿建设用地和养殖用地为主的非沙化地转变。海岸侵蚀和岸线后退是导致沿海沙地减少的重要自然原因,1949年以来国家及地方的治沙造林政策和沙荒地开垦耕种是1949—1989年沙化土地变化的主要原因,沿海沙地的开发建设等人为活动是近25年间沿海沙地动态变化的主要驱动因素。     

Elasto-Plastic Analysis of Tubular Joints of Offshore Platforms by Finite Element Method

The plastic node method is reformulated by the variational principle and is applied to elasto-plastic finite element analysis of tubular joints, eventually including the effect of internal and external gussets, stiffener rings, etc., if necessary. Four different joints are studied here in detail for the elasto-plastic behavior, the strain at the hot spot, the strain concentration factor around the intersection line, and the propagation of the plastic region with loading up to collapse in order to determine the ultimate strength, safety factor, and development of the plastic field. The present results are in good agreement with the experimental results.     

Analysis of accidents in Greek shipping during the pre- and post-ISM period

In shipping, safety depends on the reliability of the technical and human components of the ship-system, although the marine environment itself may sometimes be so hostile as to give rise to accidents that are beyond technical and human control. The need for a continuous analysis of shipping accidents is dictated by the accumulated evidence for the predominance of the human factor and the ever-increasing pressure for further improvement on the safety record of shipping. In this context, the effectiveness of enforced regulations towards the promotion of safety policy in shipping is assessed and the debate and focus on this issue are maintained.     

我国地质勘查行业全要素生产率测算分解实证研究北大核心CSCD

研究地质勘查行业发展战略时应充分考虑技术进步对行业发展的贡献。本文以2010~2020年全国31省(区、市)非油气地质勘查单位的投入产出数据为样本,基于DEA-Malmquist指数法测算了我国地质勘查行业近十年的全要素生产率(TFP)变化,结合技术进步率(TP)、技术效率(EC)、纯技术效率(PC)和规模效率(SC)等分解项得出:我国地质勘查行业近十年平均全要素生产率指数偏低,其主要原因是技术进步率较低,因为技术进步率与我国地质勘查行业的发展水平关系密切。各地区地质勘查行业发展不平衡,西部地区地质勘查行业的TFP指数普遍高于东部地区和中部地区,但大量的资产和劳动力投入仍在东部地区,导致市场资源配置的扭曲,是我国地质勘查行业TFP指数整体偏低的重要原因。     

三峡工程蓄水运用以来水库排沙效果

针对三峡水库蓄水运用以来排沙比问题,在深入研究三峡水库不同蓄水运用阶段水库排沙效果的基础上,着重研究各年年内蓄水排沙过程,系统地分析水库排沙效果的影响因素。结果表明:库区河道特性、入库水沙条件以及坝前水位的高低是水库排沙比变化的主要影响因素。2003年6月~2010年12月,水库排沙比为26.1%。水库排沙主要集中在汛期5~10月,排沙比为29.0%。尤其是在洪峰期间,库区水流流速较大,水流挟沙能力强,进入水库的泥沙大部分能输移到坝前,水库排沙比较大,当入库流量大于30000m³/s时,水库最大排沙比可达81.0%。此外,随着汛期坝前水位的抬高,水库排沙效果有所减弱,尤其是粗颗粒泥沙的多少也很大程度上影响水库排沙效果,水流的挟沙能力随着水流流速的减小而减小,粗颗粒泥沙的排沙比随之发生较全沙更为明显的减小。     

Calculating Method and Verification of Wave Pressure Distribution on the Breast Wall of Mound Breakwater

In this paper, the calculating charts and formulae about wave pressure on the breast wall are derived with seven parameters on the basis of physical model study. The verification shows that the charts agree with the example, and are adopted in the Specifications of Fishery Harbours Breakwater by the Ministry of Agricultures.     

7月份降雨分布型的预报方法

综述了我国７月份雨型的划分方法，各种雨型的多雨特点及环流特征，总结了各类雨型的预报判据，着眼于赤道东太平洋海温（ＳＳＴ），冬季（１－３月）５００ｈＰａ环流，春季（３－５月）西太平洋副热带高压，夏季（６－８月）赤道平流层纬向风准两年振荡（ＱＢＯ）等方面，分析了与７月雨型的关联。该方法对业务预报有很好的指导意义。     

皖南南山钨钼多金属矿地质特征及控矿因素

南山钨钼多金属矿是皖南近年来的找矿成果之一。矿体主要赋存于岭脚黑云母花岗闪长岩体北、南部变质接触带内的寒武系杨柳岗组和震旦系兰田组地层内。矿床的形成得益于岭脚岩体的侵入,促使钨、钼等元素大量进入热水溶液,形成含矿流体,同时伴随着北东向断裂的活动,矿液得以运移至由成分复杂的碳酸盐岩矽卡岩化形成的角岩类中富集成矿。南山钨钼矿床是岭脚岩体的侵入作用、热液蚀变作用、围岩条件、热液运移和区域构造活动等因素综合作用的结果,是受一定层位控制的接触变质-中高温热液充填交代型矿床。本文中,笔者通过对南山钨钼矿床地质特征及控矿因素和矿化富集规律的分析,总结了区域上寻找该类矿床的找矿标志,为皖南地区进一步的地质找矿提供实践经验和理论依据。     

A multivariate statistical study of copper mineralization in the central section of Mosaboni Mine, Eastern Singhbhum, India

A multivariate statistical analysis was carried out with log-transformed values of Cu, Ni, Co, Pb, Zn, Ag, Cr, Mn, Ca, and Sr in several sets of samples collected across the mineralized base metal zone in sheared soda granite, feldspathic schist, and chlorite schist from the central section of Mosaboni Mine of the famous Singhbhum Copper Belt of eastern India. Linear correlation coefficient matrices of two sets of ore samples (>0.5% Cu)—one from levels 18 and 21 and the other from levels 25 and 28—indicate two well-defined and distinct clusters comprising Cu, Ni, Co, Pb, and Zn on one hand and Ca, Sr, and Mn on the other. Varimax-rotatedR-mode factor analysis of two above-noted sample sets, taken along with available geologic information, indicates that over 80% of the variability in data matrices for 9–10 elements can be accounted for by four distinct processes: (a) an early phase of copper mineralization which apparently replaced Mn, Ca, and Sr in the host rock; (b) a silicate-cum-oxide phase of crystallization/recrystallization of host rock; (c) remobilization of sulfide-forming ore elements (Cu, Ni, Co, Pb, and Zn); and (d) a phase of mineralization of Ag which appears to have replaced Cr, Ca and Cu. Process (c) was quantitatively most important. Factor score studies are suggestive of preferred introduction of Ni, Co, Pb, and Zn along central parts of preexisting copper-mineralized zones.