冬季南极涛动对欧亚大陆地表气温的影响

基于1962~2011年NCEP/NCAR逐日再分析资料,本文研究了北半球冬季南极涛动（Antarctic Oscillation,AAO）对欧亚大陆地表气温的影响及其物理过程。线性回归结果表明,在扣除冬季ENSO信号后,1月AAO与2月欧亚大陆地表气温呈显著正相关关系。当1月AAO处于正位相时,东南太平洋出现显著的位势高度正异常,这对应着南半球副热带高压的增强。该高度正异常在空间上从南半球向北扩展至北半球东太平洋地区,在时间上可一直持续到2月,它在南北半球相互作用过程中起重要作用。2月,北半球东太平洋高度正异常随高度向北倾斜,在对流层上层位于美国西南侧,该位置对应着北大西洋风暴轴入口处。进一步的相关分析表明,美国西南侧的高度正异常与地中海西北侧的瞬变波活动显著正相关,进而对应着斯堪的纳维亚半岛地区的高度负异常的形成。该负异常通过向下游频散波能量,引起贝加尔湖西侧高度正异常,形成典型的负位相斯堪的纳维亚环流型。该环流型对应60°N附近的西风异常,抑制了北侧冷空气南下,进而引起欧亚大陆地表气温正异常,反之亦然。     

Water–Rock interactions in the basement beneath Long Valley Caldera: an oxygen isotope study of the Long Valley Exploratory Well drill cores

The Long Valley Exploratory Well, at the center of the Resurgent Dome of Long Valley caldera, penetrated pre-caldera basement rocks at a depth of 2101.72–2313.0 m, beneath the caldera-forming Bishop Tuff and post-caldera Early Rhyolite. The basement rocks contain prominent quartzites, with ubiquitous milky white quartz veins (with minor calcite and pyrite) and fractures of varied orientation and geometry. The other members of the basement sequence are very fine-grained quartz-rich graphitic pelites with calcite veins, spotted hornfels, and shallow intrusive rocks. Previous studies established the presence of a post-caldera, paleohydrothermal system (500–100 ka) to a depth of 2000 m that affected the Bishop Tuff and a recent (40 ka to present) hydrothermal system at shallow depth (<1 km). The deeper extent of these hydrothermal activities is established in this paper by a detailed oxygen isotope analysis of the drill core samples. 238 analyses of δ¹⁸O in 50 quartz veins within the 163.57 m depth interval of basement rocks reveal extreme heterogeneity in δ¹⁸O values (8–19.5‰). Majorities of the 84 bulk analyses of quartzites show variation of δ¹⁸O within a narrow range of 14–16‰. However, certain samples of these quartzites near the contacts with veins and fractures exhibit sharp drops in δ¹⁸O. The interbedded pelitic rocks and spotted hornfels have whole-rock δ¹⁸O ranging from 2.2 to 11.8‰. Clear, euhedral vuggy quartz that partially fills earlier open fractures in both the quartzites and quartz veins, has distinctive δ¹⁸O, ranging between −3.2 and +8.4‰. Low values of δ¹⁸O are also found in the hydrothermal minerals and whole rocks adjacent to the thin veins, clearly indicating infiltration of meteoric water. Three distinct observed patterns of fractionation in δ¹⁸O between veins and host quartzites are analyzed with the principles of mass balance, equilibrium oxygen isotope fractionation in closed system, and kinetically controlled oxygen isotope exchange in an open system. This analysis suggests that the early quartz veins formed due to a magmatic-hydrothermal activity with no influx of external water once the system comprising the sedimentary envelope and a magmatic-hydrothermal fluid phase became closed. Two-stage isotopic exchange processes caused fractionation in the δ values that originally formed arrays with slope 1 in a δ_{vein quartz}–δ_{host quartzite} space. Another array in the same space, with near zero slope was also formed due to variation in temperature, initial isotopic compositions of the quartzite sequence and the fluid phase. Variation in temperature was mostly in the range of 300–400°C giving Δ (=δ_{vein quartz}–δ_{host quartzite})≈−2.8 to +2.8. The δ¹⁸O of the fluid could range from −5 to +10; however a narrower range of +5 to +10 can explain the data. This episode of hydrothermal activity could take place either as a single pulse or in multiple pulses but each as a closed system. A later, fracture-controlled, meteoric water (δ¹⁸O−0.46 to −12.13) flow and interaction (at 250°C) is interpreted from the analysis of δ¹⁸O values of the coexisting quartz and calcite pairs and existence of markedly ¹⁸O-depleted pelitic horizons interbedded with ¹⁸O-enriched quartzite layers. Thus, the interpreted earlier magmatic-hydrothermal activity was overprinted by a later meteoric-hydrothermal activity that resulted in steep arrays of δ¹⁸O values in the δ_{vein quartz}–δ_{host quartzite} space. Calculations show that the likely life span of the post-caldera, hydrothermal activity in the depth range of 2.1–2.3 km beneath Long Valley was 0.08–0.12 Ma. Diffusive ±advective transport of oxygen isotopes from fracture-channelized meteoric water to nearly impermeable wall rocks caused a lowering of δ¹⁸O values in the quartz over short distances and in calcites over greater distances. Thus, the hydrothermal activity appears pervasive even though the meteoric water flow was primarily controlled by fractures.     

基于信息扩散理论的干旱区农业旱灾风险分析——以甘肃省民勤县为例

 针对小区域历史灾情资料缺乏，获得的只是小样本数据，使用传统统计模型进行风险分析精度不高的特点，作者基于信息扩散原理，利用正态信息扩散技术将单一的样本观测值变为一模糊集的模糊数学方法，提出了农业旱灾风险定量分析模型，并以甘肃省民勤县为例，对干旱区农业旱灾风险进行了分析。计算结果表明，民勤的旱灾尽管年年发生，但农业受损程度并不大，受损程度主要集中在20%以内，受损程度在30%以上的可能性很小;但也不能忽视旱灾风险，受损10%以上旱灾发生概率在76%，结果符合实际。对信息扩散理论在现代风险分析技术中的应用提供了一个新途径。     

“西藏红色长石”的围岩和表面残留物特征

＂西藏红色长石＂的真伪及是否经过扩散处理是国内外珠宝界最激烈争议的话题之一,对该长石材料的研究意义重要。采用传统的岩石学研究和现代岩矿测试相结合的方法,运用偏光显微镜,电子探针,X射线光能谱仪等测试手段对＂西藏红色长石＂的围岩和表面残留物的宝石学特征进行了研究。结果表明,＂西藏红色长石＂原生围岩是中基性侵入岩,围岩中含有玻璃和气孔,围岩和长石表面的残留物中含有大量的Cu,Fe元素;围岩和残留物经过了后期人为的高温烧结作用,部分暗色矿物和外来物质在烧结过程形成为玻璃,并产生大量的气泡;绝大部分＂西藏红色长石＂样品都经过了Cu扩散处理。     

Statistical characteristics and mechanisms of mesoscale eddies in the North Indian Ocean

The statistical characteristics and mechanisms of mesoscale eddies in the North Indian Ocean are investigated by adopting multi-sensor satellite data from 1993 to 2019. In the Arabian Sea(AS), seasonal variation of eddy characteristics is remarkable, while the intraseasonal variability caused by planetary waves is crucial in the Bay of Bengal(BOB). Seasonal variation of the eddy kinetic energy(EKE) is distinct along the west boundary of AS,especially in the Somali Current region. In the BOB, lar...     

Rainfall–runoff,flood inundation and sensitivity analysis of the 2014 Pakistan flood in the Jhelum and Chenab river basin

ABSTRACT

The major flood of 2014 in the two eastern, transboundary rivers, the Jhelum and Chenab in Punjab, Pakistan, was simulated using the two-dimensional rainfall–runoff model. The simulated hydrograph showed good agreement with the observed discharge at the model outlet and intervening barrages, with a Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency of 0.86 at the basin outlet. Further, simulated flood inundation extent showed good agreement with the MODIS imagery with a fit (%) of 0.87. For some affected areas that experienced short-duration flooding, local housing damage data confirmed the simulated results. Besides the rainfall–runoff and flood inundation modelling, parameter sensitivity analysis was undertaken to identify the influence of various river and floodplain parameters. The analysis showed that the river channel geometric parameters and the roughness coefficients exerted the primary influence over flood extent and peak flow.     

四川地震灾害致灾因子风险分析

分别应用直方图法、信息扩散法和内集-外集模型评估方法,对四川的历史地震灾害进行了致灾因子风险分析.这3种方法在高风险水平区间计算所得到的风险值比较一致.分析结果认为:四川发生8.0级左右地震的超越概率大约是0.03.换言之,四川这种风险水平的地震为33～34 a一遇.根据这一结果,四川地区上次发生7.9级地震的时间是1973年,那么本次发生该风险水平的地震时间应该是2006-2007年,与实际上的2008年四川汶川地震发生的时间相差1～2 a.     

BOOK REVIEWS

Book Reviewed in this article: The Rice Economy of Asia . Randolph Barker and Robert W. Herdt with Beth Rose. Using Microcomputers: A Guidebook for Writers, Teachers, and Researchers in the Social Sciences . Blaine A. Erie—the Lake that Survived . Noel M. Burns. Geology and Society . Donald R. Coates. Caves and Karst of Kentucky . Percy H. Dougherty, ed. Altered Harvest: Agriculture, Genetics, and the Fate of the World's Food Supply . Jack Doyle. The Middle East and North Africa, A Political Geography . Alasdair Drysdale and Gerald H. Blake. Clamor at the Gates. The New American Immigration . Nathan Glazer, ed. Development and the Landowner: An analysis of the British experience . Robin Goodchild and Richard Munton. Discovering Landscape in England and Wales . Andrew Goudie and Rita Gardner. The Modern Plantation in the Third World . Edgar Graham and Ingrid Floering. Social Relations and Spatial Structures . Derek Gregory and John Urry, eds. The World Food Problem 1950–1980 . David Grigg. Costa Rica: A Geographical Interpretation in Historical Perspective . Carolyn Hall. The Urbanization of Capital: Studies in the History and Theory of Capitalist Urbanization . David Harvey Consciousness and the Urban Experience: Studies in the History and Theory of Capitalist Urbanization . David Harvey. Reviving Main Street . Deryck Holdsworth, ed. Rural Roads and Poverty Alleviation . John Howe and Peter Richards, eds. Uneven Development in Southern Europe: Studies of Accumulation, Class, Migration and the State . Ray Hudson and Jim Lewis, eds. Karst Geomorphology . J. N. Jennings. The Geomorphology of North-west England . R. H. Johnson, ed. Climate Impact Assessment: Studies of the Interaction of Climate and Society . Robert Kates, Jesse Ausubel, Mimi Berberian, eds. Public Service Provision and Urban Development . Andrew Kirby, Paul Knox, and Steven Pinch, ed. State and Market: The Politics of the Public and the Private . Jan-Erik Lane, ed. Living Cities . Twentieth Century Fund Task Force on Urban Preservation Policies. World Climatic Systems . John G. Lockwood. Urban Ethnicity in the United States. New Immigrants and Old Minorities . Lionel Maldonaldo and Joan Moore, eds. Culture and Conservation: The Human Dimension in Environmental Planning . Jeffrey A. McNeely and David Pitt, eds. The Andean Past. Land, Societies, and Conflicts . Magnus Mörner. Gaia: An Atlas of Planet Management . Norman Myers, ed. Progress in Industrial Geography . Michael Pacione, ed. Progress in Political Geography . Michael Pacione, ed. Rivers and Landscape . Geoff Petts and Ian Foster. Urbanization and Planning in the 3rd World: Spatial Perceptions and Public Participation . Robert B. Potter. One Island, Two Nations? A Political Geographical Analysis of the National Conflict in Ireland . D. G. Pringle. Circulation in Third World Countries . R. Mansell Prothero and Murray Chapman. The Ozarks Outdoors: A Guide for Fishermen, Hunters, and Tourists . Milton D. Rafferty. Suburban Burglary: A Time and a Place for Everything . George Rengert and John Wasilchick. Geomorphology and Soils . K.S. Richards, R.R. Arnett, and S. Ellis, eds. The Homes and Homeless of Post-War Britain . Frederick Shaw. Indochinese Refugees in America . Paul J. Strand and Woodrow Jones, Jr. Wild Horses and Sacred Cows . Richard Symanski. Forever Wild: Environmental Aesthetics and the Adirondack Forest Preserve . Philip G. Terrie. The Regional Economic Impact of Technological Change . A.T. Thwaites and R.P. Oakey, eds. The Good Life . Yi-Fu Tuan.     

Seasonal response of surface wind to SST perturbation in the Northern Hemisphere

The seasonal response of surface wind speed to sea surface temperature (SST) change in the Northern Hemisphere was investigated using 10 years (2002-2011) high-resolution satellite observations and reanalysis data. The results showed that correlation between surface wind speed perturbations and SST perturbations exhibits remarkable seasonal variation, with more positive correlation is stronger in the cold seasons than in the warm seasons. This seasonality in a positive correlation between SST and surface wind speed is attributable primarily to seasonal changes of oceanic and atmospheric background conditions in frontal regions. The mean SST gradient and the prevailing surface winds are strong in winter and weak in summer. Additionally, the eddy-induced response of surface wind speed is stronger in winter than in summer, although the locations and numbers of mesoscale eddies do not show obvious seasonal features. The response of surface wind speed is apparently due to stability and mixing within the marine atmospheric boundary layer (MABL), modulated by SST perturbations. In the cold seasons, the stronger positive (negative) SST perturbations are easier to increase (decrease) the MABL height and trigger (suppress) momentum vertical mixing, contributing to the positive correlation between SST and surface wind speed. In comparison, SST perturbations are relatively weak in the warm seasons, resulting in a weak response of surface wind speed to SST changes. This result holds for each individual region with energetic eddy activity in the Northern Hemisphere.     

基于流网单元的污染物优势运移数值模型

垃圾填埋场滤出液、入侵海水、核废物及生产生活废水等污染物随地下水的迁移威胁人类生存。地下水渗流的随机性导致溶质运移问题更加复杂。根据流网特点,利用流线与水头等势线对求解域进行离散,基于质量守恒原理建立流网单元内溶质浓度求解的隐式有限体积差分格式。基于多孔介质孔隙流速分布规律,利用蒙特卡洛法建立流管单元随机流速场进行溶质运移过程的数值模拟,最后根据数值模拟和模型试验的结果对比,验证了数值模拟方法的准确性。基于流网单元的数值模型中沿流线方向的物质交换由对流和扩散共同作用,而流管间的物质交换只有扩散作用,因此,可在不使用弥散系数下进行污染物运移的模拟。引入随机方法确定流管内流速为研究非均匀流场中染污物的优势迁移提供了新的思路。