基于堆积层厚度变化的侏罗系顺向岸坡变形机制转换研究

三峡库区侏罗系顺向岸坡堆积体滑坡众多,其滑动模式存在一定差异。首先统计分析了192个三峡库区侏罗系层位发育的堆积体滑坡滑体及碎石土的工程地质性质和强度参数。在此基础上,运用数值分析软件对堆积体厚度变化引起的滑坡变形机制进行模拟分析。结果表明:堆积体厚度范围在15m及以下滑坡会沿着岩土界线面滑动、15~35m时滑坡会沿着层内剪切面滑动;厚度范围在35m以上时,堆积体滑坡内部可能存在着多层滑带,即滑坡可能沿着层内剪切面滑动或者沿着岩土界线面滑动。堆积体厚度范围在15m及以下时滑坡的治理措施可采用布置抗滑桩;厚度范围15~35m时可采用排水+布置抗滑桩的滑坡治理措施;厚度范围在35m以上时,可采用滑坡前期监测预报+后期根据滑坡发育情况相结合的滑坡防治措施。     

内蒙古突泉盆地南部中侏罗世植物群初探

报道了突泉盆地南部牤牛海地区发现的植物大化石15属26种,主要包括有节类Noecalamites sp.、Equisetites sp.,真蕨类Todites goeppertianus、T.williamsoni、Cladophlebis argutula、C.hsiehiana、C.shansiensis,松柏类Pityospermum staratschini、P.nordenskioldi、Podozamites schenki、P.lanceolotus,银杏类Czekanowskia rigida、Ginkgo huttoni、Ginkgoites cf.Sibiricus、G.sibiricus、G.cf.marginatus、G.lepidus、Vittifoliolum paucinerve、Phoenicopsis speciosa、Sphenobailra sp.,苏铁类Nilssonia sinensis以及裸子植物花果和种子Carpolithus sp.等,其中以真蕨类（26.9%）和银杏类（38.5%）占优势,松柏类（19.2%）占一定比重,含少量的木贼类（7.7%）、苏铁类（3.8%）以及裸子植物花果和种子化石（3.8%）.结合前人在该地区发现Raphaelia diamensis,指示该套含可采煤层的细碎屑岩组合具有浓厚的中侏罗世早期的时代特征,应为中侏罗世万宝组.根据植物组合中主要发育真蕨纲的Cladophlebis,银杏纲银杏目的Ginkgo、Ginkgoites、Sphenobailra以及松柏纲苏铁衫杉科的Podozamites等分子,结合当时整个万宝组植物群面貌以及地层中含煤、发育沉积铁矿等特征,可推测研究区当时具有温暖潮湿的古气候环境.     

北黄海盆地东部坳陷勘探突破对我国近海残留“黑色侏罗系”油气勘探的启示

最新的勘探和研究证实,北黄海盆地东部坳陷发育了中、上侏罗统2套有效烃源岩并以上侏罗统为主力烃源岩层,在其供烃范围内形成了上侏罗统-下白垩统"下生上储式"和中-上侏罗统"自生自储式"2类成藏组合,取得了我国东部海域以侏罗系为唯一源岩的含油气盆地勘探突破。为进一步探索我国近海盆地残留"黑色侏罗系"的资源潜力和勘探前景,本文采用地震-地质综合解释、烃源岩地球化学分析、盆地模拟等方法,综合分析了我国近海主要盆地残留"黑色侏罗系"的分布和地球化学特征。结果表明,我国近海残留侏罗系暗色泥岩烃源岩非均质性较强,多属"中等"级别,局部发育"中等-好"、"中等-差"级别烃源岩,侏罗系烃源岩大多存在早（J₃-K₁）、晚（E₂末-N₁）2期生、排烃高峰,生烃总量达1.4×10¹¹ t,资源前景乐观,预测可形成侏罗系"自生自储式"和侏罗系-白垩系（或新生界）"下生上储式"2类源储组合。     

Early Jurassic basal sauropodomorpha dominated tracks from Guizhou,China: Morphology,ethology, and paleoenvironment

The newly discovered large(350 m^2) Yantan dinosaur tracksite, in the Lower Jurassic Ziliujing Formation of Guizhou Province, China, reveals at least 250 footprints of which ~97 can be resolved into trackways of sauropodomorphs. All the trackways are sub parallel likely indicating gregarious behavior. One theropod track(cf. Grallator) was recorded. The sauropodomorph tracks predominantly represent quadrupedal progression(Morphotype A), and footprint morphology is similar to the ichnospecies Liujianpusshunan, characterized by outward pes rotation. Three trackways indicate bipedal progression, and two of these(Morphotype B) indicate inward pes rotation, accompanied by elongate pes digit scratch marks. For the latter phenomenon three possible scenarios are discussed:(1) significant rotation changes accompanying changes in gait,(2) swimming behavior,(3) formation of undertracks.Sedimentological evidence indicates the tracks were made on a linguloid rippled, muddy, immature sandstone substrate characterized by significant differences in substrate consistency across the trackbearing surface. Microbially induced sedimentary structures(MISS) characterized by distinctive wrinkle marks indicate a stressed, probably semi-arid, paleoenvironment that was not conducive to habitation by invertebrate organisms. This is consistent with other evidence that Lower Jurassic sauropodomorph tracks are often associated with semi-arid paleoenvironments.     

焉耆盆地焉耆隆起区石油地质条件初探

焉耆盆地经历了20多年的勘探开发,取得了一系列认识,但目前急需开辟新的油气勘探领域来缓解增储上产的压力。焉耆隆起区是盆地的油气远景区,通过新焉参1井钻探,初步分析了研究区石油地质条件,明确了其缺失中生界大部分地层,缺乏油源和有效的油气运移通道。讨论后认为应继续探索隆起区油气成藏的可能性,加强焉耆隆起区与博湖坳陷构造演化关系的研究,寻找有效的油气运移通道及隐蔽型油气藏。这些认识对今后焉耆盆地的勘探具有重要意义。     

阿尔金山前下—中侏罗统页岩气成藏地质条件分析

阿尔金山前侏罗系出露大套厚层的暗色泥页岩,生烃潜力优越,具备陆相页岩气形成条件,是有利的勘探接替区。通过野外地质调查、样品采集和测试分析,研究下—中侏罗统泥页岩的沉积展布、有机地球化学特征及储集性能,并探讨了该区页岩气的勘探潜力。研究表明: 富有机质泥页岩主要处于滨浅湖—半深湖相、沼泽相沉积环境中,其在平面上呈NE向展布,单层厚度和累计厚度均较大; 泥页岩的有机质类型主要为Ⅱ₁、Ⅱ₂型干酪根; TOC含量为0.55%~10%,平均为2.28%; 镜质体反射率(R_o)为1.0%~1.6%,平均为1.269%,处于成熟—高成熟阶段,为页岩气藏形成提供良好的生烃条件; 其矿物特征表现为脆性矿物含量高,大于51%,有利于后期的水力压裂改造和页岩气开采; 通过扫描电镜观察,泥页岩储层发育微孔隙及微裂缝,为页岩气提供了良好的储集空间和运移通道。初步预测,后期改造相对较弱的月牙山地区为页岩气勘探的有利目标区。     

An ensemble approach for the analysis of extreme rainfall under climate change in Naples (Italy)

In the present paper, an ensemble approach is proposed to estimate possible modifications caused by climate changes in the extreme precipitation regime, with the rain gauge Napoli Servizio Idrografico (Naples, Italy) chosen as test case. The proposed research, focused on the analysis of extremes on the basis of climate model simulations and rainfall observations, is structured in several consecutive steps. In the first step, all the dynamically downscaled EURO‐CORDEX simulations at about 12 km horizontal resolution are collected for the current period 1971–2000 and the future period 2071–2100, for the RCP4.5 and the RCP8.5 concentration scenarios. In the second step, the significance of climate change effects on extreme precipitation is statistically tested by comparing current and future simulated data and bias‐correction is performed by means of a novel approach based on a combination of simple delta change and quantile delta mapping, in compliance with the storm index method. In the third step, two different ensemble models are proposed, accounting for the variabilities given by the use of different climate models and for their hindcast performances. Finally, the ensemble models are used to build novel intensity–duration–frequency curves, and their effects on the early warning system thresholds for the area of interest are evaluated.     

MICROPALAEONTOLOGY

正20141597 Cai Yanfeng(Key Laboratory of Plateau Lake Ecology and Global Change,Yunnan Normal University,Kunming650500,China);Zhang Hucai The Ostracods Assemblages and Environmental Evolution of the Qingtu Lake,Minqin County,Gansu Province since 7Ka B.P.(Acta Micropalaeontologica Sinica,ISSN1000-0674,CN32-1189/Q,30(3),2013,p.263-274,5 illus.,64 refs.) Key words:Ostracoda,sedimentary evolution,     

“一带一路”成员国居民健康状况的时空统计分析

健康是影响不同国家和地区发展的关键因素,全面了解“一带一路”成员国的居民健康状况,是探讨“一带一路”成员国之间健康医疗合作的重要基础。本文选择了4个代表性的健康状况指标（出生期望寿命、总生育率、过早非传染性疾病死亡率和结核病发病率）,利用Moran's I指数、Getis-Ord G指数对“一带一路”135个成员国的健康状况进行时空统计,分析了健康状况的空间相关性和空间分布模式,研究了健康状况的时空格局。研究发现：① 2000—2016年“一带一路”大部分成员国的各项健康状况指标均朝着改善和优化方向发展;健康状况指标均呈现显著的正空间自相关性;② 总体而言,在“一带一路”成员国中,欧洲国家的居民健康状况最好;南北美洲和大洋洲国家的居民健康状况良好;亚洲国家的居民健康状况总体良好,但东南亚部分国家的结核病发病率较高;非洲国家的居民健康状况虽有明显改善,但仍处于较低状态。因此,“一带一路”成员国应进一步加强健康医疗合作,共同推动健康丝绸之路的发展。     

基于GIS的海底电缆运行环境在线监控系统研究

由于海底电缆敷设环境复杂,水文气象条件多变,海缆运行安全受环境影响较大。本文运用地理信息技术,解析了海底电缆保护中多源环境监控数据。通过对海底电缆运行环境的可视化表达、船舶动态监控及风险评估,实现了海底电缆运行环境监测的自动化和智能化,有效提高了航行船舶对海底电缆破坏风险预警的可靠性及效率。