Flood seasonality and generating conditions in the Tay catchment, Scotland from 1200 to present

The new maximum recorded river flows in Scotland since 1988 have triggered widespread interest in whether floods are becoming more frequent and in the conditions that generate floods of different magnitudes and frequencies. There are questions about the longer-term variability in flood-generating characteristics, and whether there are past analogues for present hydroclimatic variability. The present paper builds on previous work reconstructing a detailed historic flood chronology for the Tay, the largest catchment in Scotland, and its tributaries over the past 800 years, extending the gauged discharge record (1952 onwards). It categorizes flood-generating factors in the Tay catchment and analyses the hydro-meteorological conditions that have generated extreme and moderate floods over a historical period. This work is placed in a broader literature context of historical 'climaxes of storminess', periods of higher storm frequency, flood patterns observed in Scotland and Europe during the Little Ice Age and longer-term rainfall and temperature patterns. The paper concludes that the variability in flood-generating characteristics is highly dependent on the timescale of observation. Inevitably the relative dominance of winter and early spring flooding can vary from year to year and within specific time-periods, but so can the level of augmentation of the flood series with summer and autumn floods to produce notable 'flood years' and flood clusters. The Tay provides a good 'all-Scotland surrogate' for historical flood patterns, reflecting its gathering areas in eastern and western Scotland. The value of a historical approach to the assessment of flood seasonality and generating characteristics is clearly demonstrated.     

用于可重构机床控制系统的电力线通信技术

介绍了可重构机床对通信系统的要求,提出了一种基于宽带电力线通信（PLC,PowerLine Communication）技术的新型通信系统．通过对机床电力线的信道特性和噪声频谱的分析与测量,选定了通信系统的载波频率和带宽等参数．为了对抗电力线信道的多径效应,提高频谱利用率,实现可靠高效的数据传输,采用正交频分复用技术（OFDM,Orthogonal Frequency Division Multiplex）作为调制解调方式．开发了PLC调制解调器,定义了物理层帧结构．最后以机床主轴伺服系统为例对该通信系统进行了实验验证．实验结果表明,该系统实现了有效数据传输率10Mbit／s,误比特率（BER,Bit Error Rate）小于10^-8的高效数据传输．     

Discrete modeling of strain accumulation in granular soils under low amplitude cyclic loading

An advanced understanding of the strain accumulation phenomenon in granular soils subjected to low amplitude cyclic loading with relatively high frequency is needed to enhance the ability to predict the settlement of granular soils induced by vibrations. In the current study, the discrete element method is used to study this phenomenon. A loose and a medium dense sample composed of a relatively large number of spheres are considered. A series of stress controlled cyclic triaxial tests with different excitation amplitudes and frequencies is performed on these samples at different static stress states. The response of these samples at the macroscopic and microscopic scales is analyzed. The sample density, the cyclic stress amplitude and the static stress state importantly affect strain accumulation. However, the cyclic excitation frequency has a small effect on strain accumulation. At the microscopic scale, frictional sliding occurring at a few contacts continuously dissipates energy and the fraction of these contacts varies periodically during cyclic loading. The coordination number of these samples increases slightly as strain accumulates. However, the anisotropy remains almost constant during low amplitude cyclic excitation. A qualitatively good agreement between numerical and experimental results is found.     

基于线粒体Cytb基因的10种石珊瑚的系统发育关系

通过PCR扩增直接测序得到10种徐闻石珊瑚线粒体Cyt b基因部分序列,分析其碱基组成和变异频率,并采用Neighbor-Joining和Maximum Parsimony法构建系统发育树。结果显示:序列中A+T比例为61.0%,G+C比例为39.0%,前者明显高于后者,碱基替换主要发生在密码子第3位;滨珊瑚科分类与传统分类存在一定差异,揭示传统形态学分类可能受珊瑚骨骼生长可塑性限制,造成分类不准确;刺柄珊瑚属与蜂巢珊瑚科各属亲缘关系较近。     

频率可切换的矩形缝隙环频率选择表面

基于金属屏上周期排列的缝隙单元结构的通带特性,提出矩形缝隙环(Rectangular Slot Ring,RSR)加载短路线的单元结构实现频率可调频率选择表面(Frequency Selective Surface,FSS).谐振缝隙单元开路与短路时相对应的谐振频率分别为13 GHz和15 GHz.RSR-FSS选用Rogers RO4003介质作为基板,按照12×12的方阵进行周期排列,利用全波电磁仿真软件CST对其进行了电磁传输特性仿真.最终,通过实验验证了该频率选择表面在Ku波段通过连通和断开短路线可以进行频率的切换.     

陕西省近47a来降水变化分析

利用陕西省78个气象观测台站1961—2007年逐日降水量资料,分析了陕西地区降水变化特征及其对旱涝的影响。结果表明,47a来陕西地区的年降水量呈明显的减少趋势,减少幅度为18.4mm/10a,主要表现为春秋季降水的减少;降水日数的变化呈减少趋势,递减率为3.2d/10a,主要体现在小雨和中雨事件频率的下降;但是平均降水强度总体呈微弱的增强趋势,主要原因是大雨和暴雨频次的增加。在显著变暖的20世纪90年代以后,雨日减少,但暴雨增多,强度增强,该区域降水有向不均衡、极端化发展的趋势,旱涝灾害也有加重趋势。     

EFFECT OF WATER DEPTH ON WIND-WAVE FREQUENCY SPECTRUM Ⅰ.SPECTRAL FORM

Wen et al.'s odhed dewiogh to obtain wind-wave frequency spectrum in deep was used toderive the spectrum in finite depth water. The spedrum S(ω) (ω bein angular frequency) when normalizedwith the zeroth moment m and peak frequercyω。 contains in adrition to the peakness factor P=ω。S(ω。)/m。, a twth parameter n=(2πm。)_(1/2)d (d being water depPth), so the spatrum behavior can bestudies for different ware growth stages and water depths.     

DIAGNOSIS ON LOW FREQUENCY COMPONENT OF ENSO VARIABILITY—PART Ⅱ:ORIGIN OF THE COMPONENT

Diagnosis is undertaken on the origin for the low-frequency component (LFC) of ENSOvariability in the context of 1979—1990 OLR and u-wind datasets.Evidence suggests that ① apower spectrum-yielded maximum,significant statistically,is derived from the OLR monthlyanomalies in a 3—5-year period range over the tropical central/western Pacific;②compositeanalysis of the signals of the monthly anomaly low frequency component (period>3 years)confirms further the dynamic features of the component as documented in Part Ⅰ:③serving asforcing on ENSO,the related monsoon region represents the source area of the component;④theone-point correlation maps of unfiltered OLR monthly anomalies with zonal wind on a lagged,asimultaneous and a leading basis show clearly the close relation between the u wind-associatedeastward travelling low-frequency wave and the low-frequency oscillation of low-latitude central/western Pacific large-scale convection and the east-moving mode is likely to be excited by theoscillation at a 3—5-year period range.It follows that the large-scale convection oscillation showsup as the origin of the eastward waves,i.e.,ENSO LFC.     

同时满足多个阻尼反应谱的人造地震动时程合成

应用Ｍ．Ｈｉｒａｓａｗａ和Ｍ．Ｗａｔａｂｅ（１９９２）提出的方法,进行了相应的数学推导：即以满足某个阻尼比的反应谱的人造地震动作为初始时程,采用奇异值分解法,通过解线性方程组求出校正时程,并多次叠以逐步辐近     

基于数值模拟的强震区典型泥石流堵江模式分析

受512汶川强震影响,大量崩滑体出现在震中岷江流域,伴随极端降雨天气它们逐步转化为泥石流灾害。2011年7月3日,受强降雨影响震中附近高家沟暴发泥石流,完全摧毁沟口地物,并且部分堵塞岷江,严重威胁高速公路隧道入口及国道。为了减少强震区泥石流堵江带来的损失,本文选取强震区岷江流域高家沟泥石流作为研究对象,采用数值模拟的方法,模拟不同降雨强度下（5a、20年、50a、100年）高家沟泥石流的运动特征,进而分析其不同程度的堵江模式。经过野外验证2011a73高家沟泥石流数值模拟精度可达81.4%,模拟结果表明,高家沟泥石流5年一遇降雨条件下没有松散堆积物冲出,20年一遇降雨条件下虽有部分松散堆积物进入岷江但未形成堵江,50年一遇降雨条件下则出现部分堵断岷江现象,100年一遇降雨条件下则完全堵塞岷江。该研究结果将为今后强震区泥石流堵江判识及监测预警提供科学依据。