A new probabilistic approach to estimating marine gastropod densities from baited traps

A new probabilistic approach is proposed to assess muricid species population abundances at scales relevant to both Ancient and Modern coastal fisheries. Motivated by the long‐term goal of reconstructing the dynamics of exploited murex populations during Antiquity, the objective was to estimate the population density of the banded dye‐murex, Hexaplex trunculus (Linnaeus, 1758) from successive captures with baited traps, using a method similar to the technique employed in the Mediterranean purple dye industry. The stochastic model developed simulates cumulative captures while accounting for high variability. It was calibrated with data acquired during a field trapping experiment (Crete Island, Greece). Traps’ catchability and Effective Area of Attraction (EAA) were estimated using the individual speed and behavioural response towards bait from laboratory experiments. Average density of H. trunculus was estimated as 2.2 ± 1.4 SE individuals per square metre, with no significant differences between seagrass and rocky habitats. The clearing time of successive capture experiments averaged 84 ± 6 SE hr. Clearing ca. 0.4 ha of subtidal area would be necessary to produce ca. 1.0 g of pure Tyrian purple pigment. The method described is generalizable to making population abundance estimates for similar groups, such as whelks, in modern fisheries.     

栖息地分布与种内竞争对刺参集群特征的影响

为探究刺参(Apostichopusjaponicus)种内竞争与栖息地对其群体分布的影响,作者通过缩时摄像机拍摄及视频分析,研究了刺参集群分布特征,结果发现:刺参在礁石栖息地的栖息时间显著高于在缸壁处的栖息时间(P 0.05),刺参对栖息地有明显偏好性;刺参在运动时并未聚集在同一栖息地,而离散分布在多处栖息地中(P 0.05);当密度增大到15头/缸(11.31头/m~2, d=1.3 m)时,刺参在栖息地内的平均聚集率和平均聚集时间比例会显著下降(P 0.05),种内竞争加剧,刺参多呈斑块状分布,在密度过高时种内竞争压力上升,刺参个体间选择分散以减少竞争。本研究查明了实验室条件下栖息地分布和种内竞争对刺参集群特征的影响,可为野外刺参增养殖与资源持续利用提供理论参考。     

未胶结钙质砂静力和循环强度的单剪试验研究

通过等体积的单调和循环单剪试验研究南海未胶结钙质砂的静、动力反应,讨论应力水平和相对密实度对钙质砂静、动力强度的影响,并与典型的石英砂性质进行比较。在单调单剪试验中,中密和密实钙质砂在100～400 k Pa范围的初始竖向应力下都表现出应变硬化的性质,有效内摩擦角随剪应变增大。在循环单剪试验中,钙质砂的反应与相对密实度和初始竖向应力密切相关,但中密和密实钙质砂中的等效孔压都能达到初始竖向应力的85%～90%,此时剪应变突增,试样发生破坏。与相近密实度的石英砂相比,钙质砂抵抗液化的能力更强。提出了南海钙质砂动强度的归一化表达式,建立了不排水静强度、不排水动强度和循环次数之间的关系。     

大都市区城市扩张过程及形态对比分析——以东京、纽约和上海为例

大都市区化是全球城市化进程中的普遍现象,研究大都市区域城市扩张进程对理解其未来增长趋势、区域可持续发展具有重要意义。大都市区土地扩张及区域间的对比分析,以及都市区发育过程中城市扩张的一般化空间模式还未被深入理解。论文选取东京、纽约和上海3个大都市区,获取1990—2015年间3期Landsat影像数据,使用梯度和格网分析法,采用城市土地密度函数和城市扩张指数,从建设用地数量变化及其时空分布、城市形态变化等方面,多角度对比分析各城市不同阶段建设用地增长的时空差异。结果表明：① 大都市区边界仍在不断扩展,建设用地在研究期内持续增长;20多年间东京、纽约和上海的建设用地面积分别增长了63%、53%和233%;上海一直处于高强度扩张状态,而纽约的城市扩张在后期几近停滞。② 大都市区建设用地密度从中心向外呈圈层递减式分布,城市核心区和边缘区半径的增长最明显;城市形态均趋向于紧凑。③ 新增建设用地时空异质性明显。东京的远郊新城不断建设,纽约一些尚有发展潜力的区域次中心仍在扩张但速率逐渐放缓,上海的核心区外围增长剧烈并逐渐向远城区推进。④ 大都市区域扩张先后经历高速期—缓慢期—停滞期,扩张进程表现为核心区膨胀—次中心及新城建设—逐步形成稳定的多中心结构。     

中国城市碳排放强度的空间溢出效应及驱动因素探究（英文）

In this study, we adopt kernel density estimation, spatial autocorrelation, spatial Markov chain, and panel quantile regression methods to analyze spatial spillover effects and driving factors of carbon emission intensity in 283 Chinese cities from 1992 to 2013. The following results were obtained.(1) Nuclear density estimation shows that the overall average carbon intensity of cities in China has decreased, with differences gradually narrowing.(2) The spatial autocorrelation Moran's I index indicates significant spatial agglomeration of carbon emission intensity is gradually increasing; however, differences between regions have remained stable.(3) Spatial Markov chain analysis shows a Matthew effect in China's urban carbon emission intensity. In addition, low-intensity and high-intensity cities characteristically maintain their initial state during the transition period. Furthermore, there is a clear "Spatial Spillover" effect in urban carbon emission intensity and there is heterogeneity in the spillover effect in different regional contexts; that is, if a city is near a city with low carbon emission intensity, the carbon emission intensity of the first city has a higher probability of upward transfer, and vice versa.(4) Panel quantile results indicate that in cities with low carbon emission intensity, economic growth, technological progress, and appropriate population density play an important role in reducing emissions. In addition, foreign investment intensity and traffic emissions are the main factors that increase carbon emission intensity. In cities with high carbon intensity, population density is an important emission reduction factor, and technological progress has no significant effect. In contrast, industrial emissions, extensive capital investment, and urban land expansion are the main factors driving the increase in carbon intensity.     

Spatial spillover effect and driving forces of carbon emission intensity at the city level in China

Journal of Geographical Sciences - In this study, we adopt kernel density estimation, spatial autocorrelation, spatial Markov chain, and panel quantile regression methods to analyze spatial...     

粗粒料级配缩尺后最大干密度试验研究

对某级配粗粒料,采用剔除法、等量替代法、相似级配法和混合法等4种不同缩尺方法,依据规范要求进行缩尺。缩尺后替代级配料的最大颗粒粒径分别为20、40、60 mm。对各替代级配料采用振动台法进行了最大干密度试验,基于试验成果,结合分形理论,提出了一种将最大干密度与级配及细粒含量之间关系归一化的方法,并拟合了最大干密度与试验前级配的分形维数、小于5 mm颗粒的含量及最大粒径之间的关系,据此可推求出原型级配料的最大干密度,探讨了缩尺方法对替代料试验前后粒径分布曲线变化幅度的影响,总结出颗粒破碎分形维数与试验前级配的分形维数、小于5 mm颗粒含量及最大粒径之间的关系式,据此可推求出填筑后原型级配料的颗粒破碎分形维数。     

浙江矿产时空分布规律综述

通过对浙江省主要矿产的矿床数量、规模、矿产组合时间演化以及成矿分带性、丛聚性等特征的分析与归纳,概要总结了浙江省矿产资源的时空分布规律。通过系统收集和整理浙江省同位素成矿年龄资料,建立起全省成矿年代学谱系,并结合大地构造演化,将浙江省的成矿活动划分了5个时段。通过矿床数量、矿床规模以及矿产组合对比分析各时段的成矿信息和演化特征,构建了成矿时间演化图。依据浙江省矿产资源空间分布特征,将浙江省划分了4个Ⅲ级成矿带和7个Ⅳ级成矿亚带,从成矿密度和成矿强度的角度探讨各Ⅳ级成矿亚带矿床的分布规律。其中成矿密度划分了1个高密度区、4个中密度区和2个低密度区,综合矿产成矿强度划分了3个强成矿强度区、1个中成矿强度区和3个弱成矿强度区,以此为找矿方向和规划部署提供新思路。     

Crust1. 0地壳模型及其应用:以长江中下游成矿带为例

地壳是地球系统的重要组成部分,了解各圈层的结构及相互作用是研究地球物质深部交互过程的核心问题,如何探测地壳内部的物质组成和形态结构一直是地球系统科学的研究热点。随着海量地球探测数据的积累和挖掘,地球科学学家提出了不同细节层次的地壳模型,当前最为详细,分辨率最高的全球地壳模型是Crust1. 0地壳模型。本文首先详细介绍了Crust1. 0地壳模型沉积层厚度和壳幔密度差的数据来源和分布特征。然后,基于Crust1. 0地壳模型信息,对长江中下游成矿带及邻区的卫星重力数据进行沉积层校正后,采用变密度界面计算方法,获得的长江中下游地区的Moho界面深度分布。长江中下游成矿带的Moho面形态呈现为“V”字型幔隆带,通过分析矿床、岩体及深大断裂的分布规律与幔隆带形成的关系,进一步证实了长江中下游成矿带深部的地幔隆起是形成巨型矿床的根本原因。研究结果表明,Crust1. 0在研究区域地壳结构、成矿动力学深部背景等基础地学和地球系统科学研究中具有广泛的应用前景。     

小浪底水库“腾库迎洪”期异重流形成分析

小浪底水库异重流的形成与运行规律是关系黄河调水调沙方案拟定的重要指标。基于现场调研、理论探讨与预测分析结合等手段,明晰了2018年“腾库迎洪”期小浪底水库来水来沙过程,根据水库调度与库区淤积形态等边界条件,观测了异重流的形成与运行,采用基于流速分布的水库异重流潜入点预测公式进行了计算分析。结果表明:2018年7月库区产生的剧烈冲刷,在潜入点处发生大量淤积,水深大幅减小,引起潜入点下移;潜入点位置随入库水沙增大、坝前水位降低及库区淤积的推进向坝前移动,计算与实测结果反映了该变化过程。