Seismic reliability assessment of urban water networks

We present a framework for the seismic risk assessment of water supply networks, operating in either normal or abnormal conditions. We propose a methodology for assessing the reliability of water pipe networks combining data of past non‐seismic damage and the vulnerability of the network components against seismic loading. Historical data are obtained using records of damages that occur on a daily basis throughout the network and are processed to produce‘survival curves’, depicting their estimated survival rate over time. The fragility of the network components is assessed using the approach suggested in the American Lifelines Alliance guidelines. The network reliability is assessed using graph theory, whereas the system network reliability is calculated using Monte Carlo simulation. The methodology proposed is demonstrated both on a simple, small‐scale, network and also on a real‐scale district metered area from the water network of the city of Limassol, Cyprus. The proposed approach allows the estimation of the probability that the network fails to provide the desired level of service and allows the prioritization of retrofit interventions and of capacity‐upgrade actions pertaining to existing water pipe networks. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

基于各向异性梯度的裂缝密度反演

裂缝密度是评价裂缝性储层的重要参数. 本文提出一种利用各向异性梯度计算裂缝密度的新方法,即运用裂缝介质等效理论将高陡倾角裂缝介质等效为横向各向同性介质,得到裂缝介质AVO响应特征,从而得到裂缝介质的各向异性梯度,之后由该梯度与裂缝密度的关系得到裂缝介质的裂缝密度. 实际处理中可以根据地震数据直接求取裂缝介质的各向异性梯度,最后求取裂缝介质的裂缝密度. 模型试算表明, 该方法能得到裂缝介质准确的裂缝密度. 反演结果与初始模型基本一致验证了该方法的正确性; 另外地震记录添加一定的信噪比后也能反演得到准确的裂缝密度,证明了该方法的稳定性.      

Oblique wave scattering by undulating porous bottom in a two-layer fluid: Fourier transform approach

The problem involving scattering of oblique waves by small undulation on the porous ocean bed in a two-layer fluid is investigated within the framework of linearised theory of water waves where the upper layer is free to the atmosphere. In such a two-layer fluid, there exist waves with two different wave numbers (modes): wave with lower wave number propagates along the free surface whilst that with higher wave number propagates along the interface. When an oblique incident wave of a particular mode encounters the undulating bottom, it gets reflected and transmitted into waves of both modes so that some of the wave energy transferred from one mode to another mode. Perturbation analysis in conjunction with Fourier transform technique is used to derive the first-order corrections of velocity potentials, reflection and transmission coefficients at both modes due to oblique incident waves of both modes. One special type of undulating bottom topography is considered as an example to evaluate the related coefficients in detail. These coefficients are shown in graphical forms to demonstrate the transformation of water wave energy between the two modes. Comparisons between the present results with those in the literature are made for particular cases and the agreements are found to be satisfactory. In addition, energy identity, an important relation in the study of water wave theory, is derived with the help of the Green’s integral theorem.     

Homogeneous planar and two-dimensional mean-field antidynamo theorems with zero mean flow

In an electrically conducting fluid, two types of turbulence with a preferred direction are distinguished: planar turbulence, in which every velocity in the turbulent ensemble of flows has no component in the given direction; and two-dimensional turbulence, in which every velocity in the turbulent ensemble is invariant under translation in the preferred direction. Under the additional assumptions of two-scale and homogeneous turbulence with zero mean flow, the associated magnetohydrodynamic alpha- and beta-effects are derived in the second-order correlation approximation (SOCA) when the electrically conducting fluid occupies all space. Limitations of the SOCA are well known, but alpha- and beta-effects of a turbulent flow are useful in interpreting the dynamo effects of the turbulence. Two antidynamo theorems, which establish necessary conditions for dynamo action, are shown to follow from the special structures of these alpha- and beta-effects. The theorems, which are analogues of the laminar planar velocity and two-dimensional antidynamo theorems, apply to all turbulent ensembles with the prescribed alpha- and beta-effects, not just the planar and two-dimensional ensembles. The mean magnetic field is general in the planar theorem but only two-dimensional in the two-dimensional theorem. The two theorems relax the previous restriction to turbulence which is both two-dimensional and planar. The laminar theorems imply decay of the total magnetic field for any velocity of the associated turbulent ensemble. However, the mean-field theorems are not fully consistent with the laminar theorems because further conditions beyond those arising from the turbulence must be imposed on the beta-effect to establish decay of the mean magnetic field. In particular, negative turbulent magnetic diffusivities must be restricted. It is interesting that there is no inconsistency in the alpha-effects. The failure of the SOCA with the two-scale approximation to simply preserve the laminar antidynamo theorems at the beta-effect level is a further demonstration of the restricted validity of the theory and shows that negative diffusivity effects derived by approximation methods must be treated cautiously.     

楼盘施工注浆及荷载对唐山矿井水位的影响分析

2010年唐山矿井水位上升速率明显加快,上升幅度明显高于往年同期。本文从地下水动力学和荷载效应角度,利用抽（注）水试验模型和均布荷载下半无限大的弹性空间理论模型,分析井孔附近楼盘施工注浆及建成后荷载作用对井水位的影响。结果表明,距井孔200～700m范围内注浆,每天注浆2500 m3,注浆270d,能引起井水位上升8～11m的变化;大面积的楼盘荷载作用可以引起井水位上升约4m的变化。通过对这些影响因素的分析,认为唐山矿井水位的上升异常与楼盘施工注浆及建成后的荷载作用有一定的相关性。     

Dynamic analysis of slab track on multi-layered transversely isotropic saturated soils subjected to train loads

The dynamic responses of a slab track on transversely isotropic saturated soils subjected to moving train loads are investigated by a semi-analytical approach. The track model is described as an upper Euler beam to simulate the rails and a lower Euler beam to model the slab. Rail pads between the rails and slab are represented by a continuous layer of springs and dashpots. A series of point loads are formulated to describe the moving train loads. The governing equations of track-ground systems are solved using the double Fourier transform, and the dynamic responses in the time domain are obtained by the inverse Fourier transform. The results show that a train load with high velocity will generate a larger response in transversely isotropic saturated soil than the lower velocity load, and special attention should be paid on the pore pressure in the vicinity of the ground surface. The anisotropic parameters of a surface soil layer will have greater influence on the displacement and excess pore water pressure than those of the subsoil layer. The traditional design method taking ground soil as homogeneous isotropic soil is unsafe for the case of RE 1 and RG 1, so a transversely isotropic foundation model is of great significance to the design for high train velocities.     

基于生态需水的石羊河北部平原生态保障技术研究

针对石羊河流域日益严峻的生态环境问题,选择干旱区生态需水计算为切入点,以变异理论为基础,利用Mann-Kendall非参数检验的方法确定石羊河北部平原区地下水位恢复的目标年,用生态功能区划方法划分生态功能区,利用达西定律、阿维里扬诺夫公式计算了地下水恢复及生态目标条件下的生态需水量,并提出了相应的生态保障措施. 结果表明：石羊河北部平原区划分为5个生态功能亚区及16个三级区,地下水位恢复的目标年份为1977年,地下水恢复到1977年的生态需水量为 55.95×10⁸~74.10×10⁸ m³,2015年和2020年生态目标条件下的生态需水分别为1.66×10⁸ m³和1.80×10⁸ m³. 考虑到地下水恢复的缓慢性和现实性,建议优先考虑设定目标条件下的植被正常生长生态需水,其次通过继续压缩人均耕地面积和灌溉定额的方式保证地下水恢复.     

层状盐岩造腔仿真软件开发及其实用性验证

国内层状盐岩具有夹层多、不溶物含量高等特点,现有造腔软件不能很好地模拟国内层状盐岩水溶造腔过程。基于流体力学和化学动力学等理论,建立能够描述盐岩造腔过程的数学模型,并提出了夹层垮塌判据。结合国内层状盐岩水溶造腔工艺特征,开发出能模拟含夹层盐岩水溶造腔的软件Salt Cavern Builder V1.0。该软件可模拟纯盐岩、多夹层盐岩的水溶造腔过程,能较好地反映出造腔方案在现场造腔过程中每个阶段的实施效果。通过大尺寸型盐造腔相似试验,模拟无夹层和含单一夹层的腔体形状扩展过程。基于相似理论基础,在现场造腔工艺条件下,造腔软件模拟出的结果与试验得到的结果接近,验证了该软件的实用性。     

扩展的证据理论在遥感影像围填海检测中的应用

针对全国海域使用情况的监测需求,本文应用扩展的证据理论进行围填海区域检测,预设类别空间为{围填海,海水}。实验结果显示基于扩展的证据理论不仅能够较准确地检测出围填海区域,而且将浅海中的水下沙脊或小岛划分为不确定的未知类别。说明扩展的证据理论能够更好地完成围填海的检测,体现了扩展的证据理论解决实际问题的能力,同时,也为全海域的围填海监测提供了新的思路和扩展空间。