京津冀周边秸秆燃烧对PM2.5无机组分影响

华北平原是我国主要农作物产区,田间秸秆焚烧现象普遍存在,选取秋收季节（2014年10月）分析了秸秆燃烧的排放特征,利用区域化学传输模型WRF-Chem模拟研究了燃烧排放对气态前体物及其氧化产物的影响,以及最终导致的PM_2.5中硫酸盐、硝酸盐和铵盐的变化。研究表明:2014年秋收季节,河南和山东等省份的秸秆燃烧排放会在东南风的输送作用下影响京津冀地区;秸秆燃烧排放大量挥发性有机物（VOCs）,导致火点源及周边地区大气中主要氧化剂浓度上升,提升了区域大气氧化能力;当携带大量VOCs的秸秆燃烧烟羽与以化石燃料排放为主的城市气团相混合时,大气氧化性增强会加速城市地区人为源排放的NO_x和SO₂等气态前体物的氧化过程,提高硫酸盐和硝酸盐的形成速率、促进二次无机气溶胶的生成。     

利用改进型MODIS火点探测算法实现河北省秸秆焚烧火点识别

为准确地了解河北省秸秆焚烧火点的空间分布,为秸秆焚烧监测的实现、禁烧工作的开展、环境质量改善提供支持.基于MODIS L1B数据、MODIS标准火点产品MOD14、全国秸秆焚烧火点日报数据为基础,采用改进型MODIS火灾探测算法,并通过IDL语言实现,得到秸秆焚烧火点空间分布信息,并进行空间与定量精度分析.研究表明:火点大部分位于河北省南部的一些地区,其中尤以邢台、石家庄、邯郸火点数量最为突出;该算法运算速度快,获取的秸秆焚烧火点数据具有一定检测精度和可靠性,对秸秆焚烧的监测具有一定的实用价值.     

农情遥感监测云服务平台建设框架

准确及时的农情信息是国家与地方政府保障粮食安全与社会稳定的必要条件。云计算的出现为这一需求的实现提供了契机。本文阐述了农情遥感监测云服务平台建设的重要意义、设计思想、总体架构、组成部分以及建设内容。在此基础上,以农情遥感监测产品信息服务为例,开发了一个农情遥感监测信息在线原型系统。该系统是农情遥感监测云服务平台的重要组成部分,负责多尺度时间序列农情遥感监测结果与信息的管理、存储和维护,并且向用户提供查询与下载服务。农情遥感监测云服务平台建设框架的设计为全面整合专家智慧、IT技术、数据资源、服务方式以及平台的实现提供理论指导与建设依据。该平台的建立,将深刻改变农情遥感应用的模式,推动农情遥感的广泛应用与产业化发展。     

Generation of high spatial and temporal resolution NDVI and its application in crop biomass estimation

Abstract

While data like HJ-1 CCD images have advantageous spatial characteristics for describing crop properties, the temporal resolution of the data is rather low, which can be easily made worse by cloud contamination. In contrast, although Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) can only achieve a spatial resolution of 250 m in its normalised difference vegetation index (NDVI) product, it has a high temporal resolution, covering the Earth up to multiple times per day. To combine the high spatial resolution and high temporal resolution of different data sources, a new method (Spatial and Temporal Adaptive Vegetation index Fusion Model [STAVFM]) for blending NDVI of different spatial and temporal resolutions to produce high spatial–temporal resolution NDVI datasets was developed based on Spatial and Temporal Adaptive Reflectance Fusion Model (STARFM). STAVFM defines a time window according to the temporal variation of crops, takes crop phenophase into consideration and improves the temporal weighting algorithm. The result showed that the new method can combine the temporal information of MODIS NDVI and spatial difference information of HJ-1 CCD NDVI to generate an NDVI dataset with both high spatial and high temporal resolution. An application of the generated NDVI dataset in crop biomass estimation was provided. An average absolute error of 17.2% was achieved. The estimated winter wheat biomass correlated well with observed biomass (R ² of 0.876). We conclude that the new dataset will improve the application of crop biomass estimation by describing the crop biomass accumulation in detail. There is potential to apply the approach in many other studies, including crop production estimation, crop growth monitoring and agricultural ecosystem carbon cycle research, which will contribute to the implementation of Digital Earth by describing land surface processes in detail.     

ASSESSING THE SUITABILITY OF THE EPIC CROP MODEL FOR USE IN THE STUDY OF IMPACTS OF CLIMATE VARIABILITY AND CLIMATE CHANGE IN WEST AFRICA

The EPIC (Erosion Productivity Impact Calculator) crop model, developed by scientists of the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA), has been successfully applied to the study of erosion, water pollution, crop growth and production in the US but is yet to be introduced for serious research purposes in other countries or regions. This paper reports on the applicability of the EPIC 8120 crop model for the assessment of the potential impacts of climate variability and climate change on crop productivity in sub‐Saharan West Africa, using Nigeria as the case study. Among the crops whose productivity has been successfully simulated with this model are five of West Africa's staple food crops: maize, millet, sorghum (guinea corn), rice and cassava. Thus, using the model, the sensitivities of maize, sorghum and millet to seasonal rainfall were demonstrated with coefficients of correlation significant at over 98 per cent confidence limits. The validation tests were based on a comparison of the observed and the model‐generated yields of rice and maize. The main problems of validation relate to the multiplicity of crop varieties with contrasting performances under similar field conditions. There are also the difficulties in representing micro‐environments in the model. Thus, some gaps appear between the observed and the simulated yields, arising from data or model deficiencies, or both. Based on the results of the sensitivity and validation tests, the EPIC crop model could be satisfactorily employed in assessing the impacts of and adaptations to climate variability and climate change. Its use for the estimation of production and the assessment of vulnerabilities need to be pursued with further field surveys and field experimentation.     

Influence of multipurpose trees on agricultural crops in arid regions of Haryana, India

The effects of multipurpose trees on the productivity of agricultural crops were studied in the arid regions of Haryana. In one of the experiments, wheat was grown on irrigated farms having scattered trees ofDalbergia sissoo, Azadirachta indica, Prosopis cinerariaandAcacia nilotica. Data of wheat yield for each tree species at different distances (1, 3, 5, and 7 m) and four directions (East, West, North and South) from the tree bases and control (no trees) were collected. Results indicate thatAzadirachta indicaandProsopis cinerariadid not produce any significant difference in the wheat yield while the other two species (Dalbergia sissooandAcacia nilotica) gave a reduction in yield.A. niloticahad a more significant and prominent effect and a reduction of 40 to 60 % wheat yield was observed.Dalbergia sissooreduced yield by 4 to 30 % but the reduction was only up to a distance of 3 m. In general, the impact of trees on productivity was observed up to 3 m distance and there was little, if any, impact up to 5 m and almost no impact at 7 m.In another experiment,D. sissoo(18-years-old) was raised as windbreak and productivity of cotton was assessed. The tree belt reduced the wind speed by 15 to 45 %, depending on season and wind speed. The influence of trees on cotton yield was observed to be negative up to 2H (36 m), where H is tree height, i.e. 18 m. Cotton productivity was observed to be maximum between 2H and 5H. Depending upon orientation of tree belt, the increase in cotton yield was found to be 4 to 10 %.     

农作物产量对夏季累积高温的气候响应——以南京市为例

利用南京站1949—2008年逐日气温、逐月降水距平百分率资料及南京市统计年鉴数据,分析农作物产量对夏季累积高温的气候响应特征。结果表明：1949年以来南京市夏季累积高温呈波动上升趋势;最近60年（1949—2008年）和最近30年（1979—2008年）夏季累积高温的线性增长率分别为0.35℃/a和2.88℃/a;夏季累积高温与夏、秋粮产量均存在显著的负相关,相关系数分别为-0.66和-0.62,油料作物对夏季累积高温的变化也有一定的响应,但不如前两者显著,棉花产量对夏季累积高温变化不敏感。     

The economic impact of climate change on Kenyan crop agriculture: A Ricardian approach

This paper measures the economic impact of climate on crops in Kenya. We use cross-sectional data on climate, hydrological, soil and household level data for a sample of 816 households. We estimate a seasonal Ricardian model to assess the impact of climate on net crop revenue per acre. The results show that climate affects crop productivity. There is a non-linear relationship between temperature and revenue on one hand and between precipitation and revenue on the other. Estimated marginal impacts suggest that global warming is harmful for crop productivity. Predictions from global circulation models confirm that global warming will have a substantial impact on net crop revenue in Kenya. The results also show that the temperature component of global warming is much more important than precipitation. Findings call for monitoring of climate change and dissemination of information to farmers to encourage adaptations to climate change. Improved management and conservation of available water resources, water harvesting and recycling of wastewater could generate water for irrigation purposes especially in the arid and semi-arid areas.     

高原地区农作物水热指标与特点的研究进展

通过对作物农业气象条件鉴定、作物农业气象试验研究、作物生态气候适应性分析和作物农业气候区划以及农业气象灾害调查记载对比评估分析等手段, 整理和总结了髙原地区7种粮食作物、6种经济作物、6种特色作物、7种瓜果作物和4种中药材等共计30种农作物水热指标以及冬小麦和春小麦土壤水分指标. 高原地区作物水热指标具有4个明显特点, 釆用不同积温界限值来确定不同作物属性热量指标, 喜凉、中性、喜温和喜热作物分別釆用≥0 ℃、≥5 ℃、≥10 ℃和≥15 ℃积温界限值作热量指标. 不同温度带作物适宜的热量指标差异明显, 有随温度带愈冷凉作物热量指标呈偏低的趋势. 不同水分气候区作物水分指标差异较大, 有随湿润度增加作物水分指标呈递减的趋势. 作物水热指标随气候变化而发生缓慢变化, 气候变暖使作物全生长期延长, 对同一熟性品种而言, 需要热量指标比变暖前有提高趋势; 气候变干使作物水分指标有增加趋势. 农作物水热指标是衡量作物适生种植的重要标准, 是引种、作物布局、栽培管理、髙产优质安全生产的重要科学依据, 是气象为农业服务必不可少的基础资料, 也是服务工作的前提.     

中国北方苹果种植需水特征及降水适宜性

以中国北方7个苹果主产省为研究区域,基于研究区域及周边100 m范围内210个气象站1970—2019年逐日气象数据和1 km分辨率的数字高程数据,采用最小湿度法对作物系数（Kc）进行逐日估算,并利用基于样条函数插值理论的专业气象插值软件ANUSPLIN对逐日气象数据进行空间插值,计算苹果各关键生育期需水量和降水适宜度。结合苹果优势主产区地理分布确定降水适宜度阈值范围。利用相关数理统计方法明确苹果需水特征和降水适宜度时空变化特征,并对苹果全生育期降水适宜性进行评价。结果表明：苹果全年平均需水量大多数区域为500.0~800.0 mm,萌芽-幼果期、果实膨大期和着色-成熟期平均需水量占全年平均需水量的比率分别为0.186~0.282,0.392~0.562和0.159~0.282。苹果全年、萌芽-幼果期、果实膨大期和着色-成熟期降水适宜度阈值范围分别为0.49~2.07,0.25~1.70,0.54~2.25和0.46~2.65。各生育阶段降水适宜度处在阈值范围内的区域分别占85.4%,87.4%,85.6%和84.9%。苹果全生育期降水的最适宜、次适宜和不适宜区分别占研究区域的31.9%,50.6%和17.5%。