不同风格旅游网络地图点状符号有效性眼动实验研究

地图新显示载体的出现,要求制图者不能继续沿用纸质地图符号的设计原则进行符号设计.以旅游网络地图点状符号设计为例,在对单个点状符号进行认知实验的基础上,将符号成图可视化显示,应用眼动跟踪技术,采用统计学的样本标准偏差方法分析被试者阅读地图的眼动数据分布状态,从易学性、地图信息易获取性、易记性等三个指标评估点状符号的有效性,从而得到点状符号设计改进原则,为旅游网络地图设计提供了参考依据.     

影响我国北方冬半年气旋的气候特征及年际变率

本文首先对气旋进行了客观定义,实现了气旋的自动识别与跟踪算法,利用NCEP/NCAR再分析资料建立了近60年(1951～2010)我国北方冬半年气旋活动数据集。对气旋的气候特征与年际变率进行了探讨。结果表明:蒙古国中西部、雅布洛诺夫山脉东麓等为主要气旋源地;蒙古国东南部、内蒙古东南部、松嫩平原是气旋活跃区;内蒙古东南部、东北地区中北部为气旋消亡区与快速填塞区;初春、仲秋季节气旋较活跃,冬季气旋最少;随季节推移,气旋活动区域向南、向东推进;气旋移动以偏东路径居多,其次是东南、东北路径;700 hPa风场对气旋移动趋势具有较好的指示意义;24 h标准加深率大于0.5 Bergeron的快速发展气旋,位于内蒙古东部、东北地区中北部、日本海中部等地;爆发性气旋则主要位于日本海附近,我国大陆极少;极端最强气旋主要集中在1980年代以前的仲秋与初春;1980年代以来,气旋频次相对较少,强气旋有逐渐增加的趋势;气旋频次减少与东亚中高纬度大气低层斜压性减弱有关。     

电力系统潮流量的微机快速跟踪测量

提出了一种电力系统潮流量的快速跟踪测量方法，其响应时间只有一个采样时间间隔。实验表明，其准确度可满足实用要求。     

Flounders follow the tides to feed: Evidence from ultrasonic tracking in an estuary

Ultrasonically tagged flounders were tracked in the estuary of the River Bann, Northern Ireland, for periods of between 2 and 12 h (11 fish for a total of 92 h and 2·5 km), during their summer residence. Positions were determined by triangulation with two receivers.All fish remained within 400 m of the release point; on average flounders moved about 270 m during one tidal cycle, equivalent to 830 body lengths, or just over 1 body length per minute. Movements were most likely at dusk, but other parameters were not contingent upon time of day, although no data were gathered at dawn. Frequency, direction, distance, speed and duration of movement and turn rate were all significantly contingent upon state of the tide. The movement data are interpreted in terms of feeding behaviour, supported by results from other parts of the study. At high tide flounders made active but meandering searches for food on the inundated mudflats. Similar but faster searches heading downstream on falling tides reflected (a) completion of feeding while littoral invertebrates were still available and (b) avoidance of stranding. Flounders made infrequent but long and linear passages downstream at low tide, when they tended to bury themselves at the edge of the main channel where there was little food. Subsequently, the fish followed the rising tide upstream so that the cycle of movements kept most fish in the same area of the estuary in the short term. It is suggested that tolerance of changing salinities enables flounders, more than other flatfish species, to exploit dense populations of estuarine intertidal invertebrates as food.     

用CE-318太阳光度计资料研究银川地区气溶胶光学厚度特性

根据CE-318数据,利用Bouguer定律计算了银川地区的大气气溶胶光学厚度,并分析其变化特征。结果表明,该地区大气气溶胶光学厚度具有明显的日变化和季节变化。日变化有4种类型：1)变化相对稳定;2)整体上呈上升的趋势;3)早晚小,中午大;4)早晨09-11时出现峰值,其他时间变化较小。季节变化则是冬、春季节大,秋季次之,夏季最小;春季大气中的主要成分是沙尘,冬季大气的主要成分是人类活动排放的颗粒物,夏季由于降水多,气溶胶数浓度较低,气溶胶光学厚度较小。     

A technique for modeling the Earth’s gravity field on the basis of satellite accelerations

A technique is proposed for Earths gravity field modeling on the basis of satellite accelerations that are derived from precise orbit data. The functional model rests on Newtons second law. The computational procedure is based on the pre-conditioned conjugate-gradient (PCCG) method. The data are treated as weighted average accelerations rather than as point-wise ones. As a result, a simple three-point numerical differentiation scheme can be used to derive them. Noise in the orbit-derived accelerations is strongly dependent on frequency. Therefore, the key element of the proposed technique is frequency-dependent data weighting. Fast convergence of the PCCG procedure is ensured by a block-diagonal pre-conditioner (approximation of the normal matrix), which is derived under the so-called Colombo assumptions. Both uninterrupted data sets and data with gaps can be handled. The developed technique is compared with other approaches: (1) the energy balance approach (based on the energy conservation law) and (2) the traditional approach (based on the integration of variational equations). Theoretical considerations, supported by a numerical study, show that the proposed technique is more accurate than the energy balance approach and leads to approximately the same results as the traditional one. The former finding is explained by the fact that the energy balance approach is only sensitive to the along-track force component. Information about the cross-track and the radial component of the gravitational potential gradient is lost because the corresponding force components do no work and do not contribute to the energy balance. Furthermore, it is shown that the proposed technique is much (possibly, orders of magnitude) faster than the traditional one because it does not require the computation of the normal matrix. Hints are given on how the proposed technique can be adapted to the explicit assembling of the normal matrix if the latter is needed for the computation of the model covariance matrix.Acknowledgments. Professor R. Klees is thanked for support of the project and for numerous fruitful discussions. The authors are also thankful to Dr. J. Kusche for useful remarks and to Dr. E. Schrama, his solid background in satellite geodesy proved to be very helpful. A large number of valuable comments were made by Dr. S.-C. Han, Dr. P. Schwintzer, and an anonymous reviewer; their contribution is greatly acknowledged. The satellite orbits used in the numerical study were kindly provided by Dr. P. Visser (Aerospace Department, Delft University of Technology). Access to the SGI Origin 3800 computer was provided by Stichting Nationale Computerfaciliteiten (NCF), grant SG-027.     

CINRAD/SA雷达两种识别跟踪产品的评估分析

以中国气象局气象探测中心提供的2007--2008年灾害性天气个例档案为基础,对CINRAD／SA雷达风暴识别跟踪和中气旋产品做了定量评估,同时就评估结果与美国同类产品做了对比。结果表明,风暴识别与跟踪产品基本能满足临近预报的需要,但存在漏识别和错误跟踪现象,且30min以后单体位置预报误差较大。中气旋产品评估结果与美国产品差异不大,基本能自动识别风暴涡旋,但存在漏报,且虚警率较高。     

一次致雹强风暴的多普勒雷达特征分析

利用NCEP再分析资料和北京、天津的多普勒天气雷达产品对2007年7月9日华北中部地区一次伴有短时暴雨、局地冰雹和短时大风等强对流天气过程进行分析研究。分析表明,此次天气过程发生前高空转为前倾槽,并具有较强的不稳定层结;近地层的风切变线是雷暴生成的条件。物理量诊断分析表明：降水前水汽辐合区已从近地层扩展到850 hPa,但比较浅薄;低层辐合、高层辐散的配置加强了垂直上升运动;强对流天气发生区域处于垂直上升运动最强的区域内。多普勒天气雷达产品分析表明：致雹风暴具有中气旋特征和类似强降水超级单体的性质;路径预报的准确率与雷暴的总数目和移动异向性有关,雷暴的实际移向角度与雷达的路径预报相比存在明显偏差,总体偏差在29～67°之间,但路径预报产品仍对天气预报具有一定指示性;风廓线产品中3-7 km高度内垂直风切变矢量随高度呈顺时针旋转,在这种有利的条件下风暴有可能发展成强降水超级单体。     

临近预报系统(SWIFT)中风暴产品的设计及应用

介绍了临近预报系统"SWIFT"(Severe Weather Integrated Forecasting Tools)中的风暴产品的设计,包括风暴识别、风暴追踪和风暴预报。在识别风暴时,采用了多反射率因子阈值、特征核抽取和相近单体处理技术,并保留远距离上的强的2D风暴,该方法在面对成串或成簇多单体时,能够分离多个单体核,并准确定位。在风暴追踪和预报算法中,对当前时刻识别出来的风暴,利用匹配方案,将其与前1时刻的风暴建立对应关系,追寻历史轨迹,匹配方案是在空间位置相关的前提下,按照相似原则进行;风暴预报采用TREC(Tracking Radar Echoes by Correlation)技术获取的移动矢量场进行外推,提供未来1小时内的风暴移动位置。在北京奥运会天气预报示范项目(Forecast Demonstration Project,简称FDP)第二次测试期间,该风暴产品得到应用。分析表明:在预报时效为30分钟时,风暴产品在X轴和Y轴上的平均绝对误差为7.1和6.2 km,样本数为3891个;随着预报时效的增加,风暴产品的平均绝对误差增大,且在经向上的误差略大于纬向上;在径向上,风暴产品的预报出现了系统性的偏慢,而在纬向上,预报出现了系统性的偏快。     

风暴单体识别与跟踪(SCIT)算法评估

利用兴义新一代多普勒天气雷达复合体扫资料及WSR-88D提供的风暴单体识别与跟踪(SCIT)算法对2007-2008年发生在贵州省黔西南地区的40次天气过程个例进行验证、分析,分别从单体识别、单体跟踪评估、单体位置预报、单体算法评估效果与季节关系分析、单体算法评估效果与距离关系分析、冰雹暴雨评估对比分析6个方面进行评估、分析。在充分考虑了当地地理环境、气候背景的前提下对算法评估不太理想的情况进行了误差分析,并进行了算法补偿,提出了解决的办法,一是降低识别阈值,将SCIT的7个反射率阈值降低一个等级,二是提取反射率因子垂直梯度,用上述两个改进方法对2007-2008年的40次天气过程重新进行评估,并与算法改进前的评估效果进行对比检验,结果表明,算法改进后评估效果有所提高。