全文获取类型
收费全文 | 3594篇 |
免费 | 826篇 |
国内免费 | 835篇 |
专业分类
测绘学 | 271篇 |
大气科学 | 1411篇 |
地球物理 | 1120篇 |
地质学 | 1395篇 |
海洋学 | 298篇 |
天文学 | 6篇 |
综合类 | 232篇 |
自然地理 | 522篇 |
出版年
2024年 | 25篇 |
2023年 | 65篇 |
2022年 | 93篇 |
2021年 | 142篇 |
2020年 | 185篇 |
2019年 | 181篇 |
2018年 | 136篇 |
2017年 | 167篇 |
2016年 | 162篇 |
2015年 | 189篇 |
2014年 | 237篇 |
2013年 | 362篇 |
2012年 | 210篇 |
2011年 | 220篇 |
2010年 | 168篇 |
2009年 | 216篇 |
2008年 | 195篇 |
2007年 | 281篇 |
2006年 | 249篇 |
2005年 | 217篇 |
2004年 | 204篇 |
2003年 | 199篇 |
2002年 | 136篇 |
2001年 | 134篇 |
2000年 | 135篇 |
1999年 | 129篇 |
1998年 | 113篇 |
1997年 | 105篇 |
1996年 | 102篇 |
1995年 | 66篇 |
1994年 | 63篇 |
1993年 | 51篇 |
1992年 | 29篇 |
1991年 | 18篇 |
1990年 | 28篇 |
1989年 | 10篇 |
1988年 | 9篇 |
1987年 | 9篇 |
1986年 | 1篇 |
1985年 | 5篇 |
1984年 | 4篇 |
1982年 | 1篇 |
1981年 | 1篇 |
1979年 | 2篇 |
1978年 | 1篇 |
排序方式: 共有5255条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
51.
Elizabeth S. Garcia 《水文科学杂志》2013,58(1):204-220
AbstractThis work presents a method for calculating the contributions of sea-level rise and urban growth to flood risk in coastal flood plains. The method consists of hydraulic/hydrological, urban growth and flood-damage quantification modules. The hydraulic/hydrological module estimates peak annual flows to generate flood stages impacted by sea-level rise within flood plains. A model for urban growth predicts patterns of urbanization within flood plains over the period 2010–2050. The flood-damage quantification module merges flood maps and urbanization predictions to calculate the expected annual flood damage (EAFD) for given scenarios of sea-level rise. The method is illustrated with an application to the Tijuana River of southern California, USA, and northwestern Mexico, where the EAFD is predicted to increase by over US$100 million because of sea-level rise of 0.25–1.0 m and urban growth by the year 2050. It is shown that urbanization plays a principal role in increasing the EAFD in the study area for the range of sea-level rise considered.Editor Z.W. KundzewiczCitation Garcia, E.S. and Loáiciga, H.A., 2013. Sea-level rise and flooding in coastal riverine flood plains. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 59 (1), 204–220. 相似文献
52.
This study investigated the effect of urbanization on runoff from the On-Cheon Stream watershed in Pusan, Korea. This watershed has been experiencing considerable urbanization since the 1960s. There are two gauging stations in the watershed. For one of the stations there are recent flow data and for the other flow data were observed in the past. A linear reservoir model was chosen and runoff was analysed for several flood events. The linear reservoir model has been found to generate flood hydrographs accurately for both gauging stations, and its applicability to the study area has also been established. Using two methods of computing effective rainfall or rainfall excess (ϕ-index and constant percentage method), the results of runoff analyses were investigated. The ϕ-index method yielded better results than the constant percentage method. A comparison of hydrographs observed in the past with the simulation results at the Ie-Sup bridge site revealed that the peak discharge increased and the mean lag time of the study area decreased owing to urbanization over the past two decades. It is also possible to evaluate the effect of urbanization quantitatively. © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
53.
This paper outlines the application of a new data‐based mechanistic (DBM) modelling methodology to the characterization of the sediment transmission dynamics in a small upland reservoir, Wyresdale Park, Lancashire. The DBM modelling strategy exploits advanced statistical procedures to infer the dynamic model structure and its associated parameters directly from the instrumented data, producing a parametrically efficient, continuous time, transfer function model which relates suspended sediment load at the reservoir inflow to the outflow at the event scale. The associated differential equation model parameters have physical attributes which can be interpreted in terms of sediment transmission processes and associated reservoir trap efficiency. Sedigraph analysis suggests that wind‐induced resuspension episodically supplies an additional load to the reservoir outlet. The stochastic nature of the DBM model makes it ideal for evaluating the effects of uncertainty through Monte Carlo simulations (MCS) for discharge and sediment transmission. Copyright © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
54.
lintroductionFlooddi~rbringsaboutgreatdamagestopropellesandseriouslossoflives.InChina,onetenthofterritory,500billionPeople,3300X104haofculhvatedland.morethan100largeandndddiecihesand70%ofindusthalandagricultoloutputvaluearethreatenedbyfloodings'l.Watershedflooddisastermanagementconcernsmonitoringandforecastingflood,assessingtheflooddamageandfloodcontrolanddiSasterreduchondecision-makinginthescopeofthewholewatershed.RemotesensingandGeographicalinfonnahonSystemarepowerfultoolstoconstIUctWate… 相似文献
55.
台湾“莫拉克”台风诱发山地灾害成因与启示 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
2009-07"莫拉克"台风在台湾岛内滞留大于40 h,受中央山脉地形以及西南季风的影响,形成"北部风强,南部雨大"的局面.本次降雨为台湾历年之冠,24 h降雨量1 825 mm,48 h雨量2 467 mm,逼近世界降雨极值.全台湾计有31个雨量站过程降雨量超过1 000 mm,23个雨量站超过1 500 mm, 15个雨量站超过2 000 mm,南部部分区域甚至出现6-10日累积降雨量超过其年降雨量情形.最大总雨量位于阿里山,2009-08-06-10累计雨量达2 884 mm.长时间持续强降雨,造成了大量的泥石流、堰塞湖、崩塌、滑坡、山洪等山地灾害.大量的崩塌、滑坡阻塞河道,形成了16处堰塞湖.这些灾害淤埋村镇,毁坏道路、桥梁、堤防、建筑、输电和通讯设施.由于道路交通受损,电力、通讯信号中断,使得许多村庄与外部隔绝,成为孤岛,救援设施与救援物资无法到达灾区,延缓救援进度.受灾较重的乡镇有高雄县甲仙乡、桃源乡、六龟乡、那玛夏乡、杉林乡,南投县鹿谷乡、信义乡、国姓乡,嘉义县阿里山乡、梅山乡、中埔乡,屏东县高树乡、三地门乡、春日乡,台南县南化乡,台东县金峰乡等.截至2009-08,造成全台共619人死亡、肢体74件、76人失踪,其中小林村和新开部落被完全毁灭.台风暴雨、陡峻地形和丰富的松散固体物质等自然因素决定了山地灾害形成的基本因素,高强度长历时的暴雨是直接激发因素,坡地过度开发、道路建设、河道不合理利用等人为因素则加剧了灾情.莫拉克台风暴雨灾害对人们的启示是合理确定开发度,科学利用土地资源; 确保山区溪流行洪空间,把防洪需求作为河谷地开发的限制条件; 注意环境保育,尽量减少工程建设对斜坡的扰动; 提高山地灾害预警标准,建立巨灾监测预警机制;进行灾害风险分析与管理,开展有机结合资源利用与减灾防灾的流域理性开发. 相似文献
56.
57.
58.
59.
60.
基于集对分析的洪水分类研究 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
为避免常规分类方法复杂的数学理论和繁琐的计算,提出了基于集对原理的洪水分类新方法——集对分析法(SPAM)。系统地给出了集对分析法的基本思路和计算步骤。建议方法概念清晰,结构简单,计算简洁,易操作,是一种有效的分类途径。以实测洪水过程为例,应用研究表明集对分析法的分类结果是可行的。 相似文献