Progress in isotope paleohydrology using lake sediment cellulose

Recent advances in sample preparation techniques and mass spectrometry have fostered more routine oxygen isotope analysis of aquatic cellulose in lake sediment cores, a proxy for lake water oxygen isotope history. These methodological developments have significantly increased the feasibility of incorporating this approach into high-resolution, multi-site, and multi-proxy studies, which are frequently necessary to answer complex hydrological, hydroecological and hydroclimatic questions requiring a paleoenvironmental perspective. Direct translation of lake sediment aquatic cellulose oxygen isotope composition into lake water oxygen isotope composition offers appreciable opportunity for quantitative paleohydrological reconstructions, as evidenced by studies conducted over the past 15 years that span Holocene and pre-historical timescales.     

Spatial Analysis Techniques as Successful Mineral-Potential Mapping Tools for Orogenic Gold Deposits in the Northern Fennoscandian Shield,Finland

Geoscientific Information Systems (GIS) provide tools to quantitatively analyze and integrate spatially referenced information from geological, geophysical, and geochemical surveys for decision-making processes. Excellent coverage of well-documented, precise and good quality data enables testing of variable exploration models in an efficient and cost effective way with GIS tools. Digital geoscientific data from the Geological Survey of Finland (GTK) are being used widely as spatial evidence in exploration targeting, that is ranking areas based on their exploration importance. In the last few years, spatial analysis techniques including weights-of-evidence, logistic regression, and fuzzy logic, have been increasingly used in GTK’s mineral exploration and geological mapping projects. Special emphasis has been put into the exploration for gold because of the excellent data coverage within the prospective volcanic belts and because of the increased activity in gold exploration in Finland during recent years. In this paper, we describe some successful case histories of using the weights-of-evidence method for the Au-potential mapping. These projects have shown that, by using spatial modeling techniques, exploration targets can be generated by quantitatively analyzing extensive amounts of data from various sources and to rank these target areas based on their exploration potential.     

居民城市公共安全感知与社区环境——基于北京大规模调查问卷的分析

新型冠状病毒肺炎疫情的爆发使得民众对公共安全问题的关注到了前所未有的程度,社区作为社会治理基本单元,在防疫减灾中所发挥的作用尤为突出.本文基于北京2019年城市体检问卷调查数据,采用多层线性模型检验个体属性及社区环境指标对公共安全感知的影响.研究发现,公共安全感知的差异主要来自个体属性的不同,老年人及健康状况一般或较差...     

全球地缘经济合作的空间模式与空间机理——基于商品贸易规模的实证研究

运用1996—2016年全球各国商品贸易规模的面板数据,借助探索性空间数据分析方法揭示全球地缘经济合作的空间模式,构建空间误差混合回归模型进一步解释全球地缘经济合作的空间机理,得出如下结论：① 全球地缘经济合作存在空间正相关,呈现出“核心-边缘”的空间模式,表现为板块化和多极化的发展趋势;② 全球地缘经济合作的空间依赖性受到生产要素流动与国际分工的传导与驱动,国家规模是地缘经济合作的基础因素,生产要素禀赋是地缘经济合作的内生动力,创新是地缘经济合作的引擎,政治脆弱性是地缘经济合作的壁垒,地缘经济合作的空间依赖性在创新要素跨国流动影响下趋于弱化;③ 中国需在空间上遵循“邻近国家-欧亚区域-全球范围”的三环递进原则,有层次地布局地缘经济资源,在内容上发挥规模优势和要素禀赋优势,强化科技创新国际竞争力,有差异地制定地缘经济政策,在策略上激发地缘经济对地缘政治的渗透效应,最大化地缘经济杠杆作用。     

航空流网络解构与空域资源动态配置研究——以京-成空中廊道为例

空中廊道作为一种新型航空流组织与空域资源分配方式,是一种复杂的航空流网络,解析其结构特征并评估其结构性能是实现空域资源动态配置的前提。该文通过构建网格时空图方法,以京—成空中廊道为例进行航空流网络解构研究,包括基于航迹簇的网络构型、流量时空波动与航空流聚合分化三方面,据此提出空域资源动态配置方案。研究结论如下:1)以多种邻近阈值指示航迹交叉角度持续增大,检测出航空流网络存在平行流、交叉流、全覆盖流和半覆盖流4种构型,基于其占比和特征的显著差异性提出并行扩容调整方案;2)以高频数网格点状或短线状集中分布指示流量时空波动,检测出航空流网络存在两个不同内涵的时间高峰、以距离中值区为近似对称轴的空间高峰以及在区段间漂移的时空交互高峰,进而提出时间错峰调整方案;3)以网格属性指示聚合分化点的分布,检测出航空流网络阶梯递减、高值集聚和叠合特征,相应提出动态快速分化分流调整方案。     

国家需求结构演变理论及其应用——以中俄北极合作为例

首先,提出国家需求概念,在总结国家需求结构及其演变特点的基础上,提出双边关系中国家需求结构演变的三个模型：相对稳定型、合作优化型、关系紧张型。认为国家需求和人的需求一样,存在由低层次向高层次跃升的演变趋势。“低层次需求得到满足”是需求层次升级的前提条件,但这种满足具有方向性、主观性、阶段性。其次,运用国家需求结构演变模型分析了中俄北极开发合作的地缘政治环境,提出了维持中俄北极合作良好态势的对策建议：美国是中俄北极合作发生变数的能动力量,妥善处理好中美关系是重中之重;政治互信是中俄北极合作的决定性因素,加强双方在国际关系理论研究领域的合作是行之有效的政策工具;提高合作项目的透明度,向国际社会分享项目对生态环境和原住民影响的相关数据;加强战略沟通扩大共同利益,维持与美国盟友的合作伙伴关系;作为非北极国家,中国应该坚持对北极事务“有所为有所不为”的原则。最后,本研究得出如下几点结论：国家需求结构演变理论能够解释西方国际关系理论三大学派的核心观点;双边国家需求结构演变模型关注国际关系发生突变的规律性;国家需求结构演变理论能够为不同层次不同规模国家制定外交政策提供理论参考。     

Dependence on pressure of conduction by hopping of small polarons in minerals of the Earth's lower mantle

Electrical conductivity of the lower mantle-like assemblage (Mg,Fe)SiO₃ perovskite-(Mg,Fe)O magnesiowüstite is usually analyzed using the quasi-chemical Arrhenian approach of diffusion. The conductivity of this assemblage has often been attributed to hopping of small polarons, because of the low value of the activation energy and the small negative activation volume. However, the solid-state physics approach can provide more arguments, for or against conduction by polarons. We have tried to bridge the gap between the two approaches and identify the physical quantities entering the phenomenological activation parameters. In particular, we have investigated the pressure dependence of the activation energy, and the physical meaning of the activation volume. Hopping is controlled by the binding energy of the polaron and by the value of the exchange integral, which increases with pressure causing the observed decrease of the activation energy. From the physical theory and the results of experiments at pressures up to 40 GPa and temperatures up to 400 ^∘C, we have estimated the values of parameters characteristic of polarons: radius, mobility, time between jumps and adiabaticity. These values are compatible with conduction by small adiabatic polarons. The consequences for extrapolations to lower mantle conditions of the presence of a temperature dependent preexponential term in the expression for conductivity have been examined. It was found that the extrapolations are not significantly different from those using the Arrhenius equation. Received: 5 November 1998 / Revised, accepted: 4 May 1999     

广清高速公路改扩建工程岩溶塌陷主要影响因素分析

岩溶塌陷对工程建设的影响不容小视。为了研究广清高速公路改扩建工程中影响岩溶塌陷的两个主要因素冲击荷载作用和地下水下降对塌陷的影响程度,在资料收集和现场调研的基础上,统计工程区12处岩溶塌陷的基本情况,总结塌陷特征并分析影响塌陷的主要因素,建立与实际覆盖层结构相符的塌陷地质模型-砂土+粉质黏土+灰岩地质模型。根据极限平衡理论,分别在冲击荷载和水位下降两种力学作用下对塌陷地质模型进行稳定性计算。通过计算得出,最大冲击荷载的作用在一定程度上会影响覆盖层的稳定性,但不是导致地面塌陷的主要因素,而地下水位下降对工程区岩溶塌陷起到了决定性的作用。通过进一步分析水位下降对塌陷的影响程度,确定水位降幅4m为警戒值, 6m为危险值,为保证施工的安全性提供一定的理论依据。     

地幔橄榄岩中橄榄石的指示意义

橄榄石是地幔橄榄岩和辉石岩的主要组成矿物,但也经常以斑晶和捕虏晶的形式出现在玄武质岩石中。结合近年来在地幔橄榄岩的主要元素(如Mg和Fe)组成特征以及Li、Mg和Fe稳定同位素地球化学方面的研究成果,重点对橄榄石的地球化学特征与华北克拉通岩石圈地幔演化过程之间的联系进行了讨论,旨在加深对华北克拉通岩石圈地幔演化过程的理解。现有研究表明:地幔橄榄岩中橄榄石的矿物学特征、元素和同位素地球化学组成能够很好地指示岩石圈地幔的特征及其演化过程,因而具有重要的意义。对于克拉通地区的地幔橄榄岩来说,橄榄石的Mg#通常可以指示岩石圈地幔的属性,古老、难熔的地幔橄榄岩中的橄榄石一般具有较高的Mg#(>92),而新生的岩石圈地幔橄榄岩中的橄榄石则具有较低的Mg#(<91)。因此,地幔橄榄岩中橄榄石的Mg#在一定程度上具有年龄意义。橄榄岩中橄榄石的Li、Mg和Fe同位素组成也可以明确指示岩石圈地幔的属性及其所经历的演化过程,正常地幔的δ7Li、δ26Mg和δ57Fe组成相对均一,如果上述同位素组成偏离正常地幔值,则说明岩石圈地幔经历了熔体/流体的交代作用。华北克拉通地区地幔橄榄岩捕虏体中橄榄石的Li、Mg和Fe同位素组成研究表明:该区的岩石圈地幔经历了多个阶段、不同来源的熔体/流体的改造过程。