A new method for indentifying the model error of adjustment system

Some theory problems affecting parameter estimation are discussed in this paper. Influence and transformation between errors of stochastic and functional models is pointed out as well. For choosing the best adjustment model, a formula, which is different from the literatures existing methods, for estimating and identifying the model error, is proposed. On the basis of the proposed formula, an effective approach of selecting the best model of adjustment system is given.     

Mapping burns and natural reforestation using thematic Mapper data

Remote sensing techniques are specially suitable to detect and to map areas affected by forest fires. In this work, Landsat 5 Thematic Mapper (TM) data has been used to study a number of forest fires that occurred in the province of Valencia (Spain) and to monitor the vegetation regeneration over burnt areas.

A reference area (non‐burnt forest) was established to assess the change produced by fire. The radiance in the thermal band (10.4–12.5 μm) and the normalized difference in reflectance between near 1R (0.76–0.90 μm) and middle IR (2.08–2.35 μm) were the most suitable parameters to map burnt areas. This index can also be used for monitoring vegetation regeneration in burnt areas. About a month after the fire, the burns show temperatures of 5–6 °C higher than those found in the reference area, and the vegetation index shows negative values whereas the reference area values remain positive. The differences between the burns and the reference area for the vegetation index decrease with time as vegetation regenerates.     

Application of Backward Nonlinear Local Lyapunov Exponent Method to Assessing the Relative Impacts of Initial Condition and Model Errors on Local Backward Predictability

Initial condition and model errors both contribute to the loss of atmospheric predictability. However, it remains debatable which type of error has the larger impact on the prediction lead time of specific states. In this study, we perform a theoretical study to investigate the relative effects of initial condition and model errors on local prediction lead time of given states in the Lorenz model. Using the backward nonlinear local Lyapunov exponent method, the prediction lead time,also called local backward predictability limit(LBPL), of given states induced by the two types of errors can be quantitatively estimated. Results show that the structure of the Lorenz attractor leads to a layered distribution of LBPLs of states. On an individual circular orbit, the LBPLs are roughly the same, whereas they are different on different orbits. The spatial distributions of LBPLs show that the relative effects of initial condition and model errors on local backward predictability depend on the locations of given states on the dynamical trajectory and the error magnitudes. When the error magnitude is fixed, the differences between the LBPLs vary with the locations of given states. The larger differences are mainly located on the inner trajectories of regimes. When the error magnitudes are different, the dissimilarities in LBPLs are diverse for the same given state.     

豫中地区隐伏铝土矿资源潜力预测

豫中地区是河南省铝土矿的主要产区,通过总结该区铝土矿的成矿规律、分布特征、找矿标志及已有铝土矿及煤矿的勘查资料,系统地编制石炭系上统本溪组铝土矿含矿岩系的底板埋深等深线图,对不同埋深的隐伏铝土矿资源量进行了定量预测,划分了预测区类型。指出该区隐伏铝土矿潜在资源量112142.90万吨,尚有未探明资源量76641.48万吨。     

风电场风资源代表年分析法

针对代表年常规方法的局限性,采用风速年景划分法对风场风资源代表年进行订正。该方法弥补了常规方法的不足,且计算简单,便于应用。     

内蒙古大苏计和曹四夭大型钼矿床的发现及意义

大苏计矿床和曹四夭矿床是近几年在内蒙古中部地区找到的2处大型特大型钼矿床,产出规模分别达到20万吨和200万吨.钼矿化主要在太古宙变质岩及中生代石英斑岩、正长斑岩和花岗斑岩体内呈浸染状、网脉状和脉状产出,并且构成筒状、倒扣“碗状”和囊状矿体.两处矿床无论在产出环境和地质特征上,还是在矿物种属、元素组合和热液蚀变方面,均与美国克莱麦克斯钼矿床和黑龙江岔路口钼矿床较为相似,是中生代构造-岩浆活动的产物,属古大陆碰撞造山后伸展环境产出的斑岩型矿床.文章所提出的地壳4个演化阶段和3个成矿期次的成矿模式对于提高大苏计和曹四夭钼矿床理论研究水平,推动低山丘陵覆盖区大型隐伏钼矿床的找矿勘查工作深入进行,均具有重要意义.     

古溶洞控矿构造在青藏高原中部的发现及意义——以茶曲帕查铅锌矿床为例

青藏高原中部茶曲帕查矿区铅锌矿化与张性碳酸盐岩角砾伴生。钻孔资料揭示,该套角砾岩在平面上、垂向上分布无规律,露头表现为杂乱堆垛,角砾空隙间常充填泥质物,与泥质物接触部位发育同沉积变形,说明角砾为古溶洞内坍塌形成。茶曲帕查矿区古溶洞内含有坍塌灰岩角砾和泥质充填物,分别发育不同形式的铅锌矿化。溶洞的形成很可能与地下水对碳酸盐岩的溶蚀有关,坍塌发生在早中新世,与五道梁组沉积同时发生。古溶洞成矿作用在青藏高原中部的提出,对认识该区矿床成因、区域铅锌找矿模式等方面均具有重要意义。     

双误差回归模型在ICP-MS测定饮用水中锶的不确定度评定的简化应用

在计算电感耦合等离子体质谱法测定饮用水中锶的浓度(x)时,由于标准系列配制和仪器检测过程中信号(y)漂移产生的不确定度会传递给最终的计算结果。普通的一次或多次线性拟合结果不能真实地反映对于x、y值都含误差的数据拟合情况。文章对标准曲线进行了双误差回归计算,从双误差回归线性方程推导出校准曲线拟合过程产生不确定度的计算公式,建立了方法检出限与曲线拟合参数(x、y、曲线截距和斜率)及其相关不确定度之间的关系式,依据误差连续传递公式及不确定度分量计算公式简化了合成不确定度的表达式。从合成不确定度计算公式中可得出,水样中锶含量的浓度越低,其对应的不确定度越大;标准系列配制过程不细致、仪器灵敏度低,方法检出限越差,与实际测试情况符合。     

Review Section

ABSTRACT

The petrology, geochronology, and geochemistry of the early Permian volcanic rocks from Houtoumiao area, south Xiwuqi County in central Inner Mongolia of China, are studied to elucidate the early Permian tectonic setting of the region. The volcanic rocks, which are interbedded with sandstone, feature both mafic and felsic compositions and show a bimodal nature. Zircon U–Pb dating reveals that the volcanic rocks formed at 274–278 Ma, similar to the ages of bimodal magmatism in neighbouring areas. The mafic rocks are composed of tholeiitic basalt, basaltic andesite, basaltic trachyandesite, and trachyandesite. They are rich in Th, U, and LILEs, depleted in HFSEs Nb, Ta, and Ti, and have positive ε_Nd(t) values (+3.6 to +7.9). Geochemical analyses indicate that the mafic rocks originated from metasomatized lithospheric mantle. The felsic volcanic rocks are mainly rhyolite, with minor trachyte and dacite. They have different evolutionary tendencies of major elements, chondrite-normalized REE patterns, and isotopic compositions from the mafic volcanic rocks, which preclude formation by fractional crystallization of mafic melts. The ε_Nd(t) values of the felsic rocks are similar to those of the Carboniferous Baolidao arc rocks in the region. It is suggested that Permian felsic melts originated from the partial melting of Carboniferous juvenile arc-related rocks. By comparison with typical Cenozoic bimodal volcanism associated with several tectonic settings, including rift, post-collisional setting, back-arc basin, and the Basin and Range, USA, the bimodal volcanic rocks in central Inner Mongolia display similar petrological and geochemical characteristics to the rocks from back-arc basin and the Basin and Range, USA. Based on the analysis of regional geological data, it is inferred that the early Permian bimodal volcanic rocks in the study area formed on an extensional continental margin of the Siberian palaeoplate after late Carboniferous subduction–accretion.     

导航电子地图生产过程中的质量控制方法

从分析导航电子地图数据特点和质量特性入手,给出导航电子地图生产过程中从检测标准、质控设置、检验手段到质量改进的质量控制过程。